Preview

Prediction: Borussia Dortmund vs. Newcastle United – Champions League Preview and Analysis – Nov 7, 2023

In a highly anticipated rematch in Champions League Group F, Borussia Dortmund faces Newcastle United on November 7, 2023, at 5:45 pm UK time. Revenge is on the agenda for Newcastle United after their 1-0 loss to Dortmund in the previous encounter.

Dortmund’s Defensive Solidity:

In their last meeting, Borussia Dortmund’s rock-solid defense stifled Newcastle United, leading to a 1-0 victory for the German side. Felix Nmecha scored the decisive goal, and Dortmund’s defense showed their mettle by thwarting Newcastle’s attacks. With both teams now level on four points in the group, the head-to-head record gives Dortmund the edge.

Despite a recent 4-0 loss to Bayern Munich in Der Klassiker, Borussia Dortmund has been historically strong at home in the Champions League. They have lost just one of their last 16 home group games in the competition, providing them with confidence ahead of this crucial match.

Newcastle’s Resurgence:

Newcastle United has undergone a resurgence since their loss to Dortmund. They secured impressive victories over Manchester United and Arsenal, marking two years since Eddie Howe’s appointment as manager. Their solid away form this season, with a five-game unbeaten run, adds to their confidence.

Historically, Newcastle has performed well in UEFA group stages, losing just three of their last 21 such games. Their strong form matches up well with their historical record of never losing away to German opponents.

Team News:

Dortmund has only three players in the treatment room, with Emre Can, Mateu Morey, and Julian Duranville dealing with injuries. They have several attacking options, with Karim Adeyemi and Felix Nmecha competing for starting spots.

Newcastle United, on the other hand, has several injury concerns, including Jacob Murphy, Dan Burn, Matt Targett, Alexander Isak, Harvey Barnes, Elliot Anderson, Sven Botman, and Javi Manquillo. With defensive issues, Tino Livramento could feature at left-back.

Predicted Lineups:

Borussia Dortmund: Kobel; Wolf, Hummels, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini; Nmecha, Ozcan, Sabitzer; Reus, Fullkrug, Adeyemi

Newcastle United: Pope; Livramento, Schar, Lascelles, Trippier; Longstaff, Guimaraes, Joelinton; Almiron, Wilson, Gordon

Analysis:

Borussia Dortmund holds the advantage in terms of historical home form in the Champions League, but Newcastle United’s recent resurgence and strong away record make this clash highly competitive. Both teams are on four points in the group and will be eager to secure a crucial victory.

Key Battle:

Julian Brandt’s potential return for Dortmund and Miguel Almirón’s attacking prowess for Newcastle could be key factors in this matchup. Brandt has a history of making an impact in important games, while Almirón has been instrumental for Newcastle.

AD:

Hot Stat:

Only one of Dortmund’s last six competitive games was level at halftime, indicating a tendency for early goals.

Prediction: Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Newcastle United

In a closely contested match, we predict a 2-1 victory for Borussia Dortmund. Their historical home strength in the Champions League and attacking options should give them a slight edge, but Newcastle United is expected to put up a strong fight.

Other Betting Predictions:

  • Both Teams to Score: Yes
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5
  • Hot Stat: Consider betting on the First Goal to be scored within the first 30 minutes, given Dortmund’s recent trend of early goals.

(Odds are taken from bet365 and are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.T&Cs apply, 18+)

74 average Markets available for Borussia Dortmund v Newcastle

Full Time Result

Home Win Draw Away Win
2.6 3.5 2.55

Half Time/Full Time

Borussia Dortmund – Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund – Draw Borussia Dortmund – Newcastle Draw – Borussia Dortmund Draw – Draw Draw – Newcastle Newcastle – Borussia Dortmund Newcastle – Draw
4.333 13 23 6.5 6 6 23 13

Half Time/Full Time (cont.)

 

Newcastle – Newcastle
4

Correct Score

Borussia Dortmund #1-0 Borussia Dortmund #2-1 Borussia Dortmund #4-1 Borussia Dortmund #3-2 Borussia Dortmund #6-0 Borussia Dortmund #3-1 Borussia Dortmund #4-0 Borussia Dortmund #6-1
11 10 41 26 351 19 51 251

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Borussia Dortmund #5-2 Borussia Dortmund #5-1 Borussia Dortmund #5-3 Borussia Dortmund #6-2 Borussia Dortmund #2-0 Borussia Dortmund #4-3 Borussia Dortmund #3-0 Borussia Dortmund #4-2
101 81 201 351 15 81 26 51

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Borussia Dortmund #5-0 Draw #2-2 Draw #3-3 Draw #4-4 Draw #0-0 Draw #1-1 Newcastle #5-4 Newcastle #2-1
101 12 41 151 13 7 451 10

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Newcastle #4-3 Newcastle #5-3 Newcastle #3-0 Newcastle #5-0 Newcastle #6-0 Newcastle #2-0 Newcastle #6-1 Newcastle #6-2
67 151 26 101 351 13 251 301

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Newcastle #3-2 Newcastle #4-1 Newcastle #5-1 Newcastle #5-2 Newcastle #4-0 Newcastle #1-0 Newcastle #3-1 Newcastle #4-2
23 41 81 101 51 10 19 51

Winning Margin

Borussia Dortmund by 1 Newcastle by 1 Borussia Dortmund by 2 Newcastle by 2 Borussia Dortmund by 3 Newcastle by 3 Borussia Dortmund by 4+ Newcastle by 4+
4.5 4.5 7.5 7.5 17 15 29 26

Winning Margin (cont.)

 

Score Draw No Goal
4.333 13

Handicap Result

Borussia Dortmund (+1) 1.00 Tie – (Newcastle -1) -1.00 Newcastle (-1) -1.00
1.5 4.5 5

Total Goals

Under 2.50 Over 2.50
2.1 1.7

First Team to Score

Borussia Dortmund No Goals Newcastle
2.05 13 1.833

Half-Time

Borussia Dortmund Draw Newcastle
3.2 2.25 3.1

Total Goal Minutes

Over 150 minutes 130 To 150 minutes inc. Under 130 minutes
2.1 9 1.909

Total Goals Odd/Even

Even Odd
1.9 1.95

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw Draw or Newcastle Borussia Dortmund or Newcastle
1.5 1.5 1.286

Team Total Goals

Borussia Dortmund Over 0.50 Borussia Dortmund Under 0.50 Borussia Dortmund Over 1.50 Borussia Dortmund Under 1.50 Borussia Dortmund Over 2.50 Borussia Dortmund Under 2.50 Borussia Dortmund Over 3.50 Borussia Dortmund Under 3.50
1.25 3.75 2.2 1.615 5 1.167 13 1.04

Team Total Goals (cont.)

 

Borussia Dortmund Over 4.50 Borussia Dortmund Under 4.50 Newcastle Over 0.50 Newcastle Under 0.50 Newcastle Over 1.50 Newcastle Under 1.50 Newcastle Over 2.50 Newcastle Under 2.50
34 1.005 1.25 3.75 2.2 1.615 5 1.167

Team Total Goals (cont.)

 

Newcastle Over 3.50 Newcastle Under 3.50 Newcastle Over 4.50 Newcastle Under 4.50
13 1.04 29 1.007

Both Teams to Score

Yes No
1.615 2.2

Alternative Total Goals

Over 0.50 Under 0.50 Over 1.50 Under 1.50 Over 3.50 Under 3.50 Over 4.50 Under 4.50
1.04 13 1.222 4.333 2.75 1.444 5 1.167

Alternative Total Goals (cont.)

 

Over 5.50 Under 5.50 Over 6.50 Under 6.50 Over 7.50 Under 7.50
10 1.063 21 1.015 41 1.004

Exact Total Goals

0 Goals 1 Goal 2 Goals 3 Goals 4 Goals 5 Goals 6 Goals 7+ Goals
13 5.5 3.75 4 5.5 9 17 21

Alternative Handicap Result

Borussia Dortmund -2.00 Tie – Newcastle 2.00 Newcastle 2.00 Borussia Dortmund -1.00 Tie – Newcastle 1.00 Newcastle 1.00 Borussia Dortmund 2.00 Tie – Newcastle -2.00
11 7.5 1.143 5 4.5 1.5 1.167 7.5

Alternative Handicap Result (cont.)

 

Newcastle -2.00 Borussia Dortmund 3.00 Tie – Newcastle -3.00 Newcastle -3.00
11 1.04 15 26

Exact 1st Half Goals

0 Goals 1 Goal 2 Goals 3 Goals 4 Goals 5+ Goals
3.25 2.6 4 9 23 51

1st Half Goals Odd/Even

Odd Even
2.1 1.727

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result

Borussia Dortmund -1.00 Tie – Newcastle 1.00 Newcastle 1.00 Borussia Dortmund 2.00 Tie – Newcastle -2.00 Newcastle -2.00 Borussia Dortmund 3.00 Tie – Newcastle -3.00
10 4 1.364 1.05 12 34 1.01 41

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result (cont.)

 

Newcastle -3.00
126

2nd Half Result

Borussia Dortmund Draw Newcastle
2.75 2.6 2.75

2nd Half Goals

Over 0.50 Under 0.50 Over 1.50 Under 1.50 Over 2.50 Under 2.50 Over 3.50 Under 3.50
1.182 4.5 1.833 1.833 3.75 1.25 10 1.063

2nd Half Goals (cont.)

 

Over 4.50 Under 4.50
23 1.012

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund – Yes Borussia Dortmund – No Newcastle – Yes Newcastle – No
3.75 1.25 3.75 1.25

Teams to Score

Both Teams Borussia Dortmund Only No Goal Newcastle Only
1.615 5 13 5

Result / Total Goals

Borussia Dortmund & Over 2.50 Borussia Dortmund & Under 2.50 Draw & Over 2.50 Draw & Under 2.50 Newcastle & Over 2.50 Newcastle & Under 2.50
4 6.5 10 4.75 3.75 6.5

Time of 1st Team Goal

Borussia Dortmund – Goal before 50:00 Borussia Dortmund – No Goal before 50:00
1.833 1.833

Time of 1st Team Goal

Newcastle – Goal before 50:00 Newcastle – No Goal before 50:00
1.833 1.833

1st Goal Method

Shot Header Penalty Free Kick Own Goal No Goal
1.444 6 7 21 26 13

To Win From Behind

Borussia Dortmund to win from behind Newcastle to win from behind
10 10

To Win to Nil

Borussia Dortmund to win to nil Newcastle to win to nil
5 5

To Win Either Half

Borussia Dortmund to win either half Newcastle to win either half
1.8 1.8

To Win Both Halves

Borussia Dortmund to win both halves Newcastle to win both halves
9 9

To Score in Both Halves

Borussia Dortmund to score in both halves Newcastle to score in both halves
3.5 3.5

To Score a Penalty

Borussia Dortmund to score a penalty Newcastle to score a penalty
6 5.5

To Miss a Penalty

Borussia Dortmund to miss a penalty Newcastle to miss a penalty
19 19

10 Minute Result

Borussia Dortmund Draw Newcastle
7.5 1.167 7.5

Goals in First 10 Minutes

Over 0.50 Under 0.50
4.333 1.2

Exact 2nd Half Goals

0 Goals 1 Goal 2 Goals 3 Goals 4 Goals 5+ Goals
4.5 2.875 3.4 6 13 23

Half Time Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw Draw or Newcastle Borussia Dortmund or Newcastle
1.364 1.364 1.571

Early Goal

Goal before 27:00 No Goal before 27:00
1.833 1.833

Late Goal

Goal after 75:59 No Goal after 75:59
1.833 1.833

Last Team to Score

Borussia Dortmund No Goal Newcastle
2.05 13 1.833

Number of Goals in Match

Under 2 goals 2 or 3 goals Over 3 goals
4.333 2 2.75

Half with Most Goals

1st Half 2nd Half Tie
3.1 1.952 3.75

First Half Goals

Over 0.50 Under 0.50 Over 1.50 Under 1.50 Over 2.50 Under 2.50 Over 3.50 Under 3.50
1.333 3.25 2.625 1.444 6.5 1.111 19 1.02

Half Time Correct Score

Borussia Dortmund #3-1 Borussia Dortmund #3-0 Borussia Dortmund #4-1 Borussia Dortmund #3-2 Borussia Dortmund #1-0 Borussia Dortmund #2-1 Borussia Dortmund #4-0 Borussia Dortmund #2-0
51 41 201 126 4.75 21 151 13

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

 

Draw #3-3 Draw #0-0 Draw #1-1 Draw #2-2 Newcastle #2-1 Newcastle #3-2 Newcastle #4-2 Newcastle #2-0
451 3.25 7.5 41 21 126 501 13

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

 

Newcastle #3-0 Newcastle #3-1 Newcastle #4-0 Newcastle #4-1 Newcastle #1-0
41 51 151 201 4.75

Time of First Goal Brackets

1-10 11-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-80
4.333 4.75 6 7 8 13 17 21

Time of First Goal Brackets (cont.)

 

81 – Full Time No Goal
21 13

Draw No Bet

Borussia Dortmund Newcastle
1.833 1.833

1st Half – Handicap

Borussia Dortmund 1.00 Tie – Newcastle -1.00 Newcastle -1.00
1.364 3.75 9.5

Result/Both Teams to Score

Borussia Dortmund & Yes Borussia Dortmund & No Newcastle & Yes Newcastle & No Draw & Yes Draw & No
4.75 5 4.5 5 4.333 13

Total Goals/Both Teams to Score

Over 2.5 & Yes Over 2.5 & No Under 2.5 & Yes Under 2.5 & No
1.952 10 6.5 2.75

Home Team Odd/Even Goals

Borussia Dortmund – Even Borussia Dortmund – Odd
1.8 1.909

Away Team Odd/Even Goals

Newcastle – Even Newcastle – Odd
1.8 1.909

Home Team Exact Goals

Borussia Dortmund – 0 Goals Borussia Dortmund – 1 Goal Borussia Dortmund – 2 Goals Borussia Dortmund – 3+ Goals
3.75 2.625 3.6 5

Away Team Exact Goals

Newcastle – 0 Goals Newcastle – 1 Goal Newcastle – 2 Goals Newcastle – 3+ Goals
3.75 2.625 3.6 5

Home Team Highest Scoring Half

Borussia Dortmund – 1st Half Borussia Dortmund – 2nd Half Borussia Dortmund – Tie
3.5 2.4 2.4

Away Team Highest Scoring Half

Newcastle – 1st Half Newcastle – 2nd Half Newcastle – Tie
3.5 2.4 2.4

Home Team to Score in 1st Half

Borussia Dortmund – Yes Borussia Dortmund – No
2 1.727

Away Team to Score in 1st Half

Newcastle – Yes Newcastle – No
2 1.727

Both Teams to Score in 1st Half

Yes No
4 1.222

Half Time Result/Both Teams to Score

Borussia Dortmund & Yes Borussia Dortmund & No Draw & Yes Draw & No Newcastle & Yes Newcastle & No
17 3.6 7 3.25 17 3.6

Half Time Result/Total Goals

Borussia Dortmund & Over 1.5 Borussia Dortmund & Under 1.5 Draw & Over 1.5 Draw & Under 1.5 Newcastle & Over 1.5 Newcastle & Under 1.5
7.5 4.75 7 3.25 7.5 4.75

Home Team to Score in 2nd Half

Borussia Dortmund – Yes Borussia Dortmund – No
1.667 2.1

Away Team to Score in 2nd Half

Newcastle – Yes Newcastle – No
1.667 2.1

Both Teams to Score in 2nd Half

Yes No
2.75 1.4

2nd Half Goals Odd/Even

Odd Even
1.909 1.8

Both Teams to Score 1st Half – 2nd Half

Yes / Yes Yes / No No / Yes No / No
12 5.5 3.5 1.727

Asian Handicap

Borussia Dortmund 0.00 Newcastle 0.00
1.94 1.96

Goal Line

Over 2.75 Under 2.75
1.95 1.95

1st Half Goal Line

Over 1.00 Under 1.00
1.725 2.15

1st Half Asian Handicap

Borussia Dortmund 0.00 Newcastle 0.00
1.925 1.925

Alternative Asian Handicap

Borussia Dortmund -1.75 Newcastle 1.75 Borussia Dortmund -1.50 Newcastle 1.50 Borussia Dortmund -1.25 Newcastle 1.25 Borussia Dortmund -1.00 Newcastle 1.00
6.6 1.11 5 1.17 4.4 1.2 4 1.23

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Borussia Dortmund -0.75 Newcastle 0.75 Borussia Dortmund -0.50 Newcastle 0.50 Borussia Dortmund -0.25 Newcastle 0.25 Borussia Dortmund 0.25 Newcastle -0.25
3 1.375 2.5 1.5 2.2 1.65 1.65 2.2

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Borussia Dortmund 0.50 Newcastle -0.50 Borussia Dortmund 0.75 Newcastle -0.75 Borussia Dortmund 1.00 Newcastle -1.00 Borussia Dortmund 1.25 Newcastle -1.25
1.5 2.5 1.35 3.1 1.225 4.1 1.19 4.5

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Borussia Dortmund 1.50 Newcastle -1.50 Borussia Dortmund 1.75 Newcastle -1.75
1.17 5 1.11 6.6

Alternative Goal Line

Over 1.25 Under 1.25 Over 1.50 Under 1.50 Over 1.75 Under 1.75 Over 2.00 Under 2.00
1.13 5.9 1.22 4.15 1.26 3.7 1.325 3.3

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 2.25 Under 2.25 Over 2.50 Under 2.50 Over 3.00 Under 3.00 Over 3.25 Under 3.25
1.525 2.425 1.7 2.1 2.15 1.675 2.425 1.525

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 3.50 Under 3.50 Over 3.75 Under 3.75 Over 4.00 Under 4.00 Over 4.25 Under 4.25
2.675 1.45 3.3 1.325 4.25 1.21 4.65 1.18

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 4.50 Under 4.50 Over 4.75 Under 4.75
5.25 1.16 6.4 1.115

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap

Borussia Dortmund -0.75 Newcastle 0.75 Borussia Dortmund -0.50 Newcastle 0.50 Borussia Dortmund -0.25 Newcastle 0.25 Borussia Dortmund 0.25 Newcastle -0.25
4.15 1.22 3.1 1.35 2.425 1.525 1.5 2.5

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Borussia Dortmund 0.50 Newcastle -0.50 Borussia Dortmund 0.75 Newcastle -0.75
1.35 3.1 1.22 4.15

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line

Over 0.75 Under 0.75 Over 1.25 Under 1.25 Over 1.50 Under 1.50 Over 1.75 Under 1.75
1.475 2.6 2.15 1.675 2.6 1.475 3.3 1.325

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 2.00 Under 2.00 Over 2.25 Under 2.25 Over 2.50 Under 2.50
5.25 1.16 5.75 1.14 6.4 1.115
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