Everton vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips (4 May) – Premier League

Manchester City return to Premier League business on Monday night with the title race still in their hands, even if Arsenal may have stretched the gap by the time Pep Guardiola’s side walk out at Everton’s new Hill Dickinson Stadium.

City arrive after booking their place in the FA Cup final with a narrow win over Southampton, while Everton are trying to recover from the kind of late defeat that can drain a dressing room. David Moyes’s side were beaten by West Ham United in stoppage time last weekend, just days after suffering derby heartbreak against Liverpool.

For Everton, this is about keeping their outside European hopes alive. For City, it is about continuing the sort of spring charge that has so often turned tight title races into coronation marches. ⚽🔥

Match preview

Everton: Painful defeats, but still competitive

Everton’s recent results have been cruel. They were seconds away from a valuable derby point before Virgil van Dijk struck deep into added time for Liverpool, and another late blow followed when Callum Wilson scored West Ham’s winner in the 92nd minute last weekend.

Those back-to-back 2-1 defeats have slowed a period of genuine progress under Moyes. Between late February and mid-April, Everton took 10 points from five Premier League matches and briefly looked capable of forcing their way into the European conversation.

That dream is not dead, but it is fading. The Toffees sit in the bottom half, and while they remain within touching distance of the top six, they need a major result here to properly revive belief.

The challenge is obvious. Manchester City have been a horrible opponent for Everton for years, and Moyes has rarely found answers against Guardiola. Everton are winless in 17 Premier League meetings with City, while the champions have also won on each of their last eight league visits to Goodison Park.

This will be City’s first trip to Everton’s Hill Dickinson Stadium, which gives the night a different feel. A charged crowd and a new-stage atmosphere could help Everton, but they will need more than emotion. They must defend the box with authority, avoid cheap turnovers and make the most of Beto’s physical presence if he returns to lead the line.

Manchester City: Title rhythm returning at the perfect time

Manchester City have reached the time of year when they usually become ruthless. The EFL Cup is already secured, an FA Cup final against managerless Chelsea is waiting, and the Premier League remains firmly within their control if they win their games in hand.

Guardiola’s side have won six straight matches in all competitions, conceding only twice during that run. They were not spectacular in the 1-0 league win over Burnley or the 2-1 FA Cup semi-final victory against Southampton, but that is often the hallmark of elite sides at this stage of a season: they keep finding the result.

City are unbeaten in 11 Premier League matches and their away form has sharpened considerably. Since January’s surprise derby defeat to Manchester United, they have collected 14 points from their last six league games on the road, almost matching the 17 they earned from their first 11 away fixtures of the season.

The title picture could look awkward by kickoff if Arsenal win earlier in the weekend, but City know the equation. Keep winning, and the pressure returns to North London.

There are still defensive absences to manage, with Josko Gvardiol and Ruben Dias unavailable, but City’s squad depth remains formidable. Erling Haaland should return to the starting XI, while Jeremy Doku and Bernardo Silva are also expected to come back in.

City may not need to produce their most fluent football to win here. Their game management, attacking depth and recent defensive control make them strong favourites.

Form guide 📊

Everton Premier League form:
Improved spell followed by consecutive 2-1 defeats

Everton form (all competitions):
Competitive but damaged by late goals

Manchester City Premier League form:
Unbeaten in 11 league matches

Manchester City form (all competitions):
Six straight wins, only two goals conceded

Everton have improved under Moyes, but recent late defeats could leave a mark. City, by contrast, look increasingly clinical, with their familiar end-of-season rhythm beginning to take shape.

Team news & predicted lineups 🧤

Everton

Everton remain without Jack Grealish, who would have been ineligible against his parent club anyway, but has already been ruled out for the rest of the season after foot surgery.

Jarrad Branthwaite is also sidelined with a thigh injury, leaving Moyes short of one of his most important defensive options.

There is better news in attack, where Beto has completed concussion protocol and is available again. Given his strong form before the injury — four goals and one assist in three appearances — he could immediately replace Thierno Barry as Everton’s centre-forward.

Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; O’Brien, Keane, Tarkowski, Mykolenko; Garner, Gueye; McNeil, Dewsbury-Hall, Ndiaye; Beto

Manchester City

Rodri remains doubtful as he manages a groin problem. Guardiola said the midfielder is improving, but he had not trained before Friday, making his involvement uncertain.

Nico Gonzalez has strengthened his case to start after scoring a spectacular long-range winner in the FA Cup semi-final. With Rodri unlikely to be rushed, Gonzalez could continue in midfield.

Josko Gvardiol and Ruben Dias are both out, but City are otherwise in strong shape. Haaland, Doku and Bernardo Silva are all expected to return to the XI.

Manchester City possible starting lineup:
Donnarumma; Nunes, Khusanov, Guehi, O’Reilly; Silva, Gonzalez; Semenyo, Cherki, Doku; Haaland

Key stats & betting angles 🔍

• Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 11 Premier League matches.
• City have won six consecutive matches in all competitions.
• Guardiola’s side have conceded only two goals across that six-game winning run.
• Everton have lost back-to-back league games 2-1, both after late goals.
• Everton are winless in their last 17 Premier League meetings with Manchester City.
• City won their last eight Premier League away games at Goodison Park.
• Guardiola is unbeaten in 15 Premier League meetings with David Moyes.
• Beto has produced four goals and one assist in his last three Everton appearances.

Prediction ⚽

Everton should make this awkward. Moyes will want his side compact, aggressive and direct, especially if Beto starts and gives them a focal point against a City defence missing key centre-backs.

But City are back in that familiar late-season mode: controlled, patient and brutally efficient. They may have to work for openings, but Haaland’s return and the depth around him should eventually tell.

Everton’s recent habit of conceding late is also a concern against a side that keeps the pressure on until the final whistle.

Likely result: Manchester City win
Correct score: 1-2
Best betting angle: Manchester City to win / Under 3.5 goals

Correct score prediction: Everton 1–2 Manchester City

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