Preview

Prediction: AC Milan vs. Paris Saint-Germain – Champions League Preview and Analysis – Nov 7, 2023

In a decisive encounter in the Champions League, AC Milan takes on Paris Saint-Germain on November 7, 2023, at 8 pm UK time. This match holds immense significance as PSG, the group leaders, aim to maintain their control, while winless AC Milan is at risk of an early exit from European football.

AC Milan’s Struggles:

AC Milan found themselves outclassed by Paris Saint-Germain in their previous encounter, suffering a comprehensive 3-0 defeat. They were unable to contain the talents of 17-year-old Warren Zaire-Emery, who orchestrated PSG’s victory, with Kylian Mbappe and Lee Kang-in capitalizing on his assists. This loss added to Milan’s woes as they had already endured a string of unfavorable results in Serie A.

Milan’s domestic form has taken a hit with no wins in their last three Serie A matches. They faced a defeat at the hands of Udinese, squandered a two-goal lead against Napoli, and lost to Juventus. Their once-staunch defense has now conceded seven goals in their last four games, raising concerns about their performance.

In the Champions League, Milan has struggled to find the back of the net, going five consecutive games without a goal. A defeat in this match would seriously jeopardize their chances of advancing to the knockout stage, especially if Borussia Dortmund or Newcastle United secure victories.

PSG’s Resurgence:

On the contrary, PSG has been on a fantastic run of form. They not only defeated Milan but also secured wins against Dortmund and Brest. Warren Zaire-Emery has been a standout player, contributing both as a creator and scorer. PSG’s five-game winning streak in all competitions, coupled with their strong defensive record, has elevated them to the top of Ligue 1.

While PSG cannot secure qualification to the knockout stage in this fixture, they have the opportunity to eliminate Milan from contention for the top spot in the group. Despite their inconsistent away form in the Champions League, PSG aims to extend their winning streak against Italian opposition.

Team News:

AC Milan’s recent struggles have been compounded by injuries. Defender Pierre Kalulu is sidelined for four months due to a tendon injury, while Simon Kjaer missed the Udinese match with a muscular concern. Marco Pellegrino, Marco Sportiello, Ismael Bennacer, and Mattia Caldara are also unavailable. Theo Hernandez is hopeful to recover from his ankle bruising in time for the match, and Samuel Chukwueze and Christian Pulisic could make their comebacks.

PSG’s defensive concerns continue as Danilo Pereira is sidelined with a hamstring injury, and Nuno Mendes, Sergio Rico, and Presnel Kimpembe remain unavailable. Marco Asensio and Keylor Navas are also dealing with injuries.

Predicted Lineups:

AC Milan: Maignan; Calabria, Tomori, Thiaw, T. Hernandez; Musah, Reijnders, Loftus-Cheek; Pulisic, Giroud, Leao

Paris Saint-Germain: Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Skriniar, L. Hernandez; Dembele, Ugarte, Zaire-Emery, Lee; Kolo Muani, Mbappe

Analysis:

AC Milan’s once-promising season has taken a nosedive with a winless run in their recent competitive fixtures, and the Champions League campaign is hanging in the balance. They have struggled to score goals in their previous matches, making this clash with PSG all the more challenging.

PSG, on the other hand, is on an upward trajectory, with a string of victories and a strong defensive record. They have the opportunity to eliminate Milan from contention for the top spot in the group, and their recent form in Italy bodes well for their chances.

Key Battle:

Olivier Giroud, Milan’s striker, has been effective in scoring goals before halftime. Marquinhos, PSG’s Brazilian defender, will be tasked with containing Giroud. PSG will rely on Marquinhos to prevent Giroud from finding the back of the net.

Hot Streak:

PSG has been consistently scoring three goals in each of their last five matches, indicating their attacking prowess.

Prediction: Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: AC Milan 0-2 Paris Saint-Germain

Considering AC Milan’s struggles to score and PSG’s recent form, we predict a 2-0 victory for Paris Saint-Germain. Milan’s injury woes and lack of goals in the Champions League put them at a disadvantage in this crucial match.

Other Betting Predictions:

  • Both Teams to Score: No
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5
  • Hot Stat: PSG’s recent scoring form suggests they may score in the first half. Consider betting on the First Goal to be scored within the first 30 minutes.

(Odds are taken from bet365 and are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.T&Cs apply, 18+)

74 average Markets available for AC Milan v PSG

Full Time Result

Home Win Draw Away Win
2.875 3.4 2.375

Half Time/Full Time

AC Milan – AC Milan AC Milan – Draw AC Milan – PSG Draw – AC Milan Draw – Draw Draw – PSG PSG – AC Milan PSG – Draw
4.5 13 23 6.5 5.5 6 26 13

Half Time/Full Time (cont.)

 

PSG – PSG
3.75

Correct Score

AC Milan #4-2 AC Milan #6-2 AC Milan #2-1 AC Milan #4-0 AC Milan #4-3 AC Milan #5-0 AC Milan #5-1 AC Milan #1-0
51 451 11 51 81 151 101 11

Correct Score (cont.)

 

AC Milan #2-0 AC Milan #4-1 AC Milan #5-2 AC Milan #3-0 AC Milan #3-2 AC Milan #5-3 AC Milan #6-0 AC Milan #3-1
15 41 126 29 26 201 501 21

Correct Score (cont.)

 

AC Milan #6-1 Draw #0-0 Draw #2-2 Draw #4-4 Draw #1-1 Draw #3-3 PSG #3-2 PSG #4-2
351 12 12 151 6.5 41 23 41

Correct Score (cont.)

 

PSG #5-0 PSG #4-1 PSG #6-0 PSG #6-1 PSG #1-0 PSG #3-0 PSG #5-2 PSG #5-4
101 41 301 201 9.5 23 101 451

Correct Score (cont.)

 

PSG #2-1 PSG #3-1 PSG #5-1 PSG #2-0 PSG #4-0 PSG #4-3 PSG #6-2 PSG #5-3
9.5 17 81 13 41 81 301 151

Winning Margin

AC Milan by 1 PSG by 1 AC Milan by 2 PSG by 2 AC Milan by 3 PSG by 3 AC Milan by 4+ PSG by 4+
4.75 4.333 8.5 7 19 15 34 23

Winning Margin (cont.)

 

Score Draw No Goal
4.333 12

Handicap Result

AC Milan (+1) 1.00 Tie – (PSG -1) -1.00 PSG (-1) -1.00
1.533 4.333 4.5

Total Goals

Under 2.50 Over 2.50
2.05 1.75

First Team to Score

AC Milan No Goals PSG
2.1 12 1.727

Half-Time

AC Milan Draw PSG
3.4 2.25 3

Total Goal Minutes

Over 150 minutes 130 To 150 minutes inc. Under 130 minutes
2.2 9 1.833

Total Goals Odd/Even

Even Odd
1.9 1.95

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw Draw or PSG AC Milan or PSG
1.533 1.4 1.3

Team Total Goals

AC Milan Over 0.50 AC Milan Under 0.50 AC Milan Over 1.50 AC Milan Under 1.50 AC Milan Over 2.50 AC Milan Under 2.50 AC Milan Over 3.50 AC Milan Under 3.50
1.286 3.5 2.375 1.533 5.5 1.143 15 1.03

Team Total Goals (cont.)

 

AC Milan Over 4.50 AC Milan Under 4.50 PSG Over 0.50 PSG Under 0.50 PSG Over 1.50 PSG Under 1.50 PSG Over 2.50 PSG Under 2.50
41 1.004 1.222 4 2.1 1.667 4.5 1.182

Team Total Goals (cont.)

 

PSG Over 3.50 PSG Under 3.50 PSG Over 4.50 PSG Under 4.50
13 1.04 29 1.007

Both Teams to Score

Yes No
1.615 2.2

Alternative Total Goals

Over 0.50 Under 0.50 Over 1.50 Under 1.50 Over 3.50 Under 3.50 Over 4.50 Under 4.50
1.04 12 1.25 4 3 1.4 5.5 1.143

Alternative Total Goals (cont.)

 

Over 5.50 Under 5.50 Over 6.50 Under 6.50 Over 7.50 Under 7.50
11 1.05 21 1.015 41 1.004

Exact Total Goals

0 Goals 1 Goal 2 Goals 3 Goals 4 Goals 5 Goals 6 Goals 7+ Goals
12 5.5 3.75 4 5.5 9.5 19 21

Alternative Handicap Result

AC Milan -2.00 Tie – PSG 2.00 PSG 2.00 AC Milan -1.00 Tie – PSG 1.00 PSG 1.00 AC Milan 2.00 Tie – PSG -2.00
13 8.5 1.111 6 4.75 1.4 1.182 7

Alternative Handicap Result (cont.)

 

PSG -2.00 AC Milan 3.00 Tie – PSG -3.00 PSG -3.00
10 1.046 15 23

Exact 1st Half Goals

0 Goals 1 Goal 2 Goals 3 Goals 4 Goals 5+ Goals
3.25 2.6 4 9 26 51

1st Half Goals Odd/Even

Odd Even
2.1 1.727

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result

AC Milan -1.00 Tie – PSG 1.00 PSG 1.00 AC Milan 2.00 Tie – PSG -2.00 PSG -2.00 AC Milan 3.00 Tie – PSG -3.00
11 4 1.3 1.056 11 34 1.01 41

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result (cont.)

 

PSG -3.00
101

2nd Half Result

AC Milan Draw PSG
3 2.5 2.6

2nd Half Goals

Over 0.50 Under 0.50 Over 1.50 Under 1.50 Over 2.50 Under 2.50 Over 3.50 Under 3.50
1.2 4.333 1.909 1.8 4 1.222 10 1.063

2nd Half Goals (cont.)

 

Over 4.50 Under 4.50
23 1.012

Clean Sheet

AC Milan – Yes AC Milan – No PSG – Yes PSG – No
4 1.222 3.5 1.286

Teams to Score

Both Teams AC Milan Only No Goal PSG Only
1.615 5.5 12 4.5

Result / Total Goals

AC Milan & Over 2.50 AC Milan & Under 2.50 Draw & Over 2.50 Draw & Under 2.50 PSG & Over 2.50 PSG & Under 2.50
4.333 7 10 4.5 3.6 6

Time of 1st Team Goal

AC Milan – Goal before 53:00 AC Milan – No Goal before 53:00
1.833 1.833

Time of 1st Team Goal

PSG – Goal before 48:00 PSG – No Goal before 48:00
1.833 1.833

1st Goal Method

Shot Header Penalty Free Kick Own Goal No Goal
1.5 6.5 7 21 29 12

To Win From Behind

AC Milan to win from behind PSG to win from behind
11 10

To Win to Nil

AC Milan to win to nil PSG to win to nil
5.5 4.5

To Win Either Half

AC Milan to win either half PSG to win either half
1.833 1.727

To Win Both Halves

AC Milan to win both halves PSG to win both halves
10 8

To Score in Both Halves

AC Milan to score in both halves PSG to score in both halves
3.75 3.4

To Score a Penalty

PSG to score a penalty AC Milan to score a penalty
5.5 6

To Miss a Penalty

PSG to miss a penalty AC Milan to miss a penalty
19 19

10 Minute Result

AC Milan Draw PSG
8 1.167 7.5

Goals in First 10 Minutes

Over 0.50 Under 0.50
4.333 1.2

Exact 2nd Half Goals

0 Goals 1 Goal 2 Goals 3 Goals 4 Goals 5+ Goals
4.333 2.875 3.4 6 13 23

Half Time Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw Draw or PSG AC Milan or PSG
1.364 1.3 1.571

Early Goal

Goal before 27:00 No Goal before 27:00
1.833 1.833

Late Goal

Goal after 75:59 No Goal after 75:59
1.833 1.833

Last Team to Score

AC Milan No Goal PSG
2.1 12 1.727

Number of Goals in Match

Under 2 goals 2 or 3 goals Over 3 goals
4 2 3

Half with Most Goals

1st Half 2nd Half Tie
3.1 2 3.75

First Half Goals

Over 0.50 Under 0.50 Over 1.50 Under 1.50 Over 2.50 Under 2.50 Over 3.50 Under 3.50
1.333 3.25 2.625 1.444 7 1.1 19 1.02

Half Time Correct Score

AC Milan #3-0 AC Milan #4-0 AC Milan #2-1 AC Milan #1-0 AC Milan #3-2 AC Milan #4-1 AC Milan #2-0 AC Milan #3-1
51 151 21 5 126 251 15 67

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

 

Draw #1-1 Draw #0-0 Draw #2-2 Draw #3-3 PSG #2-0 PSG #4-0 PSG #1-0 PSG #3-1
7.5 3.25 51 501 13 126 4.5 51

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

 

PSG #3-0 PSG #4-1 PSG #3-2 PSG #4-2 PSG #2-1
41 201 126 501 21

Time of First Goal Brackets

1-10 11-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-80
4.333 4.75 6 7 8 13 17 21

Time of First Goal Brackets (cont.)

 

81 – Full Time No Goal
21 12

Draw No Bet

AC Milan PSG
2 1.727

1st Half – Handicap

AC Milan 1.00 Tie – PSG -1.00 PSG -1.00
1.364 3.75 9

Result/Both Teams to Score

AC Milan & Yes AC Milan & No PSG & Yes PSG & No Draw & Yes Draw & No
5 5.5 4.333 4.5 4.333 12

Total Goals/Both Teams to Score

Over 2.5 & Yes Over 2.5 & No Under 2.5 & Yes Under 2.5 & No
2 10 6.5 2.625

Home Team Odd/Even Goals

AC Milan – Even AC Milan – Odd
1.727 2

Away Team Odd/Even Goals

PSG – Even PSG – Odd
1.8 1.909

Home Team Exact Goals

AC Milan – 0 Goals AC Milan – 1 Goal AC Milan – 2 Goals AC Milan – 3+ Goals
3.5 2.6 3.75 5.5

Away Team Exact Goals

PSG – 0 Goals PSG – 1 Goal PSG – 2 Goals PSG – 3+ Goals
4 2.625 3.5 4.5

Home Team Highest Scoring Half

AC Milan – 1st Half AC Milan – 2nd Half AC Milan – Tie
3.6 2.5 2.375

Away Team Highest Scoring Half

PSG – 1st Half PSG – 2nd Half PSG – Tie
3.5 2.375 2.5

Home Team to Score in 1st Half

AC Milan – Yes AC Milan – No
2.1 1.667

Away Team to Score in 1st Half

PSG – Yes PSG – No
1.909 1.8

Both Teams to Score in 1st Half

Yes No
4.333 1.2

Half Time Result/Both Teams to Score

AC Milan & Yes AC Milan & No Draw & Yes Draw & No PSG & Yes PSG & No
19 3.75 7 3.25 17 3.4

Half Time Result/Total Goals

AC Milan & Over 1.5 AC Milan & Under 1.5 Draw & Over 1.5 Draw & Under 1.5 PSG & Over 1.5 PSG & Under 1.5
8 5 7 3.25 7 4.5

Home Team to Score in 2nd Half

AC Milan – Yes AC Milan – No
1.727 2

Away Team to Score in 2nd Half

PSG – Yes PSG – No
1.615 2.2

Both Teams to Score in 2nd Half

Yes No
3 1.364

2nd Half Goals Odd/Even

Odd Even
1.909 1.8

Both Teams to Score 1st Half – 2nd Half

Yes / Yes Yes / No No / Yes No / No
12 6 3.5 1.727

Asian Handicap

AC Milan 0.25 PSG -0.25
1.81 2.09

Goal Line

Over 2.75 Under 2.75
2.03 1.87

1st Half Goal Line

Over 1.00 Under 1.00
1.775 2.1

1st Half Asian Handicap

AC Milan 0.00 PSG 0.00
2.05 1.8

Alternative Asian Handicap

AC Milan -1.50 PSG 1.50 AC Milan -1.25 PSG 1.25 AC Milan -1.00 PSG 1.00 AC Milan -0.75 PSG 0.75
5.9 1.13 5.5 1.15 4.8 1.175 3.45 1.3

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

AC Milan -0.50 PSG 0.50 AC Milan -0.25 PSG 0.25 AC Milan 0.00 PSG 0.00 AC Milan 0.50 PSG -0.50
2.75 1.425 2.425 1.525 2.075 1.725 1.575 2.35

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

AC Milan 0.75 PSG -0.75 AC Milan 1.00 PSG -1.00 AC Milan 1.25 PSG -1.25 AC Milan 1.50 PSG -1.50
1.425 2.75 1.275 3.55 1.225 4.1 1.2 4.4

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

AC Milan 1.75 PSG -1.75
1.13 5.9

Alternative Goal Line

Over 1.25 Under 1.25 Over 1.50 Under 1.50 Over 1.75 Under 1.75 Over 2.00 Under 2.00
1.14 5.75 1.23 4 1.275 3.55 1.35 3.1

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 2.25 Under 2.25 Over 2.50 Under 2.50 Over 3.00 Under 3.00 Over 3.25 Under 3.25
1.55 2.375 1.775 2.025 2.3 1.6 2.5 1.5

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 3.50 Under 3.50 Over 3.75 Under 3.75 Over 4.00 Under 4.00 Over 4.25 Under 4.25
2.85 1.4 3.45 1.3 4.5 1.19 5 1.17

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 4.50 Under 4.50 Over 4.75 Under 4.75
5.5 1.15 6.8 1.105

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap

AC Milan -0.75 PSG 0.75 AC Milan -0.50 PSG 0.50 AC Milan -0.25 PSG 0.25 AC Milan 0.25 PSG -0.25
4.5 1.19 3.3 1.325 2.675 1.45 1.575 2.35

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

AC Milan 0.50 PSG -0.50 AC Milan 0.75 PSG -0.75
1.375 3 1.24 3.9

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line

Over 0.75 Under 0.75 Over 1.25 Under 1.25 Over 1.50 Under 1.50 Over 1.75 Under 1.75
1.5 2.5 2.2 1.65 2.675 1.45 3.45 1.3

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 2.00 Under 2.00 Over 2.25 Under 2.25 Over 2.50 Under 2.50
5.5 1.15 6 1.125 6.6 1.11
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