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On the luminous grounds of Wembley, England and Italy reconvene for an epic showdown in the Euro 2024 qualifier on Tuesday, October 17, 2023. As echoes of the Euro 2020 final reverberate, England stands at the cusp of securing their ticket to Germany, but the defending European champions, Italy, won’t be an easy hurdle to surpass.

Analysis:

The setting couldn’t be more theatrical. England, bolstered by an impressive record in recent matches and ten clean sheets from their last 12 ECQ home fixtures, look primed for victory. Manager Gareth Southgate’s men have exhibited immense resilience and skill, with a commendable seven-game unbeaten streak. Their experimental line-up’s recent 1-0 victory over Australia further underscores their depth.

But, shadows of Euro 2020 loom large. Italy, the nemesis that doused England’s fire in the previous championship, remains a potent force to reckon with. Despite challenges off the pitch, with key players like Sandro Tonali and Nicolò Zaniolo accused of illegal betting activity, Luciano Spalletti’s squad has held its nerve, evident in their commanding 4-0 victory over Malta.

AD:

While history backs Italy, with their six-game unbeaten record in England since their 2-0 defeat in 1977, statistics favor the home side. England’s strong home record, combined with their penchant for early goals—thanks to players like Harry Kane—offers them a distinct advantage. Kane’s remarkable form, with five goals in this group, highlights his importance in Southgate’s plan.

For Italy, Davide Frattesi emerges as the danger man, having scored three group goals, two of which came in the opening 30 minutes. Italy’s experience, combined with their motivation to avoid the playoff route after their 2022 World Cup debacle, makes them a formidable opponent.

Gareth Southgate, with an almost full squad at his disposal, might reintroduce the likes of Jude Bellingham, Harry Kane, Phil Foden, and Jordan Pickford into the XI. For Italy, players like Domenico Berardi, after a stellar performance against Malta, are expected to take center stage.

Prediction:

Goal.mu predicts: England 2-1 Italy

The Three Lions, with home advantage and a potent front line led by Kane, are slightly tipped to edge out the Azzurri. Given the recent form and historical stats, this clash promises goals.

Other Betting Markets:

• Both Teams to Score: Yes
• Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

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