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πŸ† Spain vs. Netherlands: Prediction, Team News & Lineups | Mar 23, 2025

πŸ“‹ Match Preview

The Mestalla Stadium in Valencia plays host to a blockbuster UEFA Nations League quarter-final second leg, as reigning champions Spain welcome the Netherlands, with the tie finely balanced at 2-2 after an absorbing first encounter in Rotterdam.

Thursday’s first leg saw Luis de la Fuente’s side take an early lead through Nico Williams, only for the Oranje to hit back via Cody Gakpo and Tijjani Reijnders, before Mikel Merino salvaged a draw in stoppage time.

With a semi-final against France or Croatia on the line, both sides will be desperate to seize the initiative on Sunday evening.


⚑ Interesting Fact

Spain are unbeaten in 17 competitive matches, a run stretching back to their shock defeat to Scotland in March 2023.


πŸ” Team Analysis

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ Spain

The reigning Nations League champions remain in sparkling form despite being frustrated in Rotterdam. A 17-match unbeaten streak and victory in all three home Nations League group games underline their strength at home.

However, they face a psychological hurdle – Spain have only beaten the Netherlands once in their last nine meetings.

πŸ“Š Recent Form:

πŸ† Last 5 matches: βœ…βœ…βœ…βœ…πŸ€
⚽ Last match: 2-2 draw vs Netherlands (A)

⭐ Key Players:

  • Álvaro Morata – Spain’s talisman; they’ve won by 2+ goals in his last five international scoring games.

  • Nico Williams – Scored and assisted in the first leg.

  • Pedri & Ruiz – Controlling the midfield tempo.

πŸš‘ Injury & Suspension News:

❌ Pau Cubarsi (injured – withdrawn from squad)
βœ… Dean Huijsen expected to make first start in central defence

🏟 Home Form (Nations League):

βœ… Wins: 3 | ❌ Losses: 0 | ⚽ Goals scored: 7 | πŸ’ͺ Goals conceded: 1


πŸ‡³πŸ‡± Netherlands

Ronald Koeman’s side produced a spirited performance in the first leg and will believe they can get the job done in Spain. They were reduced to 10 men after Jorrel Hato’s red card, but still showed their growing quality.

That said, just one win in their last six matches is a concern, and they’ve struggled away in this Nations League cycle.

πŸ“Š Recent Form:

πŸ† Last 5 matches: πŸ€βŒπŸ€βœ…πŸ€
⚽ Last match: 2-2 draw vs Spain (H)

⭐ Key Players:

  • Cody Gakpo – Scored in the first leg and thrives in big games.

  • Memphis Depay – Creative outlet with proven goalscoring ability.

  • Tijjani Reijnders – Dynamic presence in midfield.

πŸš‘ Injury & Suspension News:

❌ Jorrel Hato (suspended – red card)
❌ Jurrien Timber (illness)
βœ… Ian Maatsen called up
πŸ” Frimpong and Geertruida to switch flanks in defence

πŸ›£οΈ Away Form (Nations League):

βœ… Wins: 0 | 🀝 Draws: 2 | ❌ Losses: 1 | ⚽ Goals scored: 2 | 😬 Goals conceded: 4


βš”οΈ Head-to-Head & Recent Encounters

βœ… Spain 2-2 Netherlands – Mar 2025 (Nations League QF Leg 1)
🀝 Spain 1-1 Netherlands – Nov 2020 (Friendly)
❌ Netherlands 5-1 Spain – Jun 2014 (World Cup)
βœ… Spain 1-0 Netherlands – Jul 2010 (World Cup Final)

πŸ”Ή Key Stats:

  • Spain are unbeaten in 17 competitive matches (W14, D3)

  • Netherlands have won just one of their last six internationals

  • The last three Spain vs Netherlands meetings have produced over 2.5 goals


🎯 Prediction (Goal.mu/Mauri.bet)

⚽ Prediction: Spain 2-1 Netherlands (AET)

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Spain’s depth and home support should see them edge a tight contest, especially with the Netherlands missing key defenders. However, extra time could be required if the Dutch keep it compact.


πŸ’° Betting Tips

πŸ“Œ Both Teams to Score: Yes βœ…

  • Both teams have scored in three of the last four H2H meetings.

πŸ“Œ Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 βœ…

  • All signs point to another open contest after the 2-2 draw.

πŸ“Œ Anytime Goalscorer: Álvaro Morata βœ…

  • When he scores, Spain tend to win big.

πŸ“Œ Half-Time Result: Draw (0-0 or 1-1) βœ…

  • Cautious approach expected early on.

πŸ“Œ Extra Time Winner: Spain βœ…

  • Spain’s bench options could make the difference late on.


πŸ† Possible Lineups

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ Spain (4-3-3):

🧀 Simon
πŸ›‘οΈ Porro – Le Normand – Huijsen – Cucurella
βš™οΈ Pedri – Zubimendi – Ruiz
⚑ Lamine Yamal – Morata – Nico Williams

πŸ‡³πŸ‡± Netherlands (4-2-3-1):

🧀 Verbruggen
πŸ›‘οΈ Frimpong – Van Hecke – Van Dijk – Geertruida
βš™οΈ Reijnders – F. de Jong
⚑ Simons – Kluivert – Gakpo
🎯 Memphis Depay


πŸ“… Match Details

πŸ“… Match Date: March 23, 2025
🏟 Venue: Mestalla Stadium, Valencia, Spain
⏰ Kickoff Time: 7:45 PM UK Time


πŸ” Final Verdict: Who Will Advance?

Spain will lean on home dominance, big-match experience, and squad depth to outlast a talented Dutch team. However, the Oranje cannot be underestimated – Cody Gakpo and Memphis Depay can turn any game on its head.

πŸ”΄ Final Score Prediction: Spain 2-1 Netherlands (AET)
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ Spain progress to the semi-finals!

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