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Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid: Prediction, Team News & Lineups | March 12, 2025

One of the fiercest rivalries in world football takes center stage in the UEFA Champions League as Atletico Madrid host Real Madrid in the second leg of their last-16 showdown.

🔹 Real Madrid hold a 2-1 advantage from the first leg.
🔹 Atletico Madrid have not lost a home knockout tie in 28 years.
🔹 Will Atleti’s fortress deny Los Blancos a quarter-final spot?

⚡ Interesting Fact:

🔹 Real Madrid have never lost a two-legged Champions League tie against Atletico Madrid.

🧐 Team Analysis

❤️ Atletico Madrid

Diego Simeone’s side must overturn a 2-1 deficit but can take confidence from their formidable home record.

📊 Current Form:
🏆 Last 5 matches: W2, D2, L1
⚽ Last match: 1-2 loss vs. Getafe (A)

🔥 Key Players:

  • Julian Alvarez – 7 Champions League goals this season.
  • Antoine Griezmann – Atleti’s creative force in attack.
  • Rodrigo De Paul – Key midfield enforcer.

🚑 Injuries & Suspensions:
❌ Koke (out), Azpilicueta (returned to squad).

🏟 Home Form (Champions League):
📌 Played: 4
✅ Wins: 3
❌ Losses: 1

⚪ Real Madrid

Carlo Ancelotti’s side holds the edge but faces a tough task at the Metropolitano.

📊 Current Form:
🏆 Last 5 matches: W4, L1
⚽ Last match: 2-1 win vs. Rayo Vallecano (H)

🔥 Key Players:

  • Vinicius Junior – 7 goals in the Champions League.
  • Kylian Mbappé – Real’s star man in attack.
  • Jude Bellingham – Midfield powerhouse, returning from suspension.

🚑 Injuries & Suspensions:
❌ Dani Carvajal, Eder Militao, Dani Ceballos (injured).

🚀 Away Form (Champions League):
📌 Played: 5
✅ Wins: 3
❌ Losses: 2

📊 Head-to-Head & Past Encounters

✅ Real Madrid 2-1 Atletico Madrid – March 2025, Champions League
🤝 Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid – Jan 2025, La Liga
✅ Real Madrid 3-1 Atletico Madrid – Oct 2024, La Liga
✅ Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid – Aug 2024, Spanish Super Cup

🔹 Key Stats:

  • Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last 5 home cup games vs. Real Madrid.
  • Real Madrid have only won 3 of their last 17 away trips to Atletico.
  • Atletico have not lost a home UCL knockout game in 28 years.

🔮 Prediction

⚽ Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid (Extra time required)

Atletico’s home form makes them favourites on the night, but Real Madrid’s knockout experience could prove decisive over 120 minutes.

💰 Betting Tips

📌 Both Teams to Score: Yes
✅ Atletico have scored in their last 7 UCL games.

📌 Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5
✅ 3 of the last 4 Madrid derbies have seen 3+ goals.

📌 Anytime Goalscorer: Vinicius Junior
✅ Scored in 2 of the last 4 Madrid derbies.

📌 Half-Time Result: Draw (1-1)
✅ Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 Madrid derbies.

📝 Possible Lineups

❤️ Atletico Madrid (4-4-2):

🧤 Oblak
🛡 Molina, Gimenez, Le Normand, Javi Galan
⚡ Simeone, Llorente, De Paul, Lino
🔥 Alvarez, Griezmann

⚪ Real Madrid (4-2-3-1):

🧤 Courtois
🛡 Valverde, Asencio, Rudiger, Mendy
⚡ Tchouameni, Camavinga
🔥 Rodrygo, Bellingham, Vinicius Jr
⚽ Mbappe

📅 Match Details

📅 Match Date: March 12, 2025
🏟 Venue: Metropolitano, Madrid
⏰ Kickoff Time: 8:00 PM UK Time

Final Verdict: Can Atletico Turn the Tide?

With a Champions League quarter-final place at stake, expect an electric Madrid derby. Can Atletico Madrid force extra time and pull off a famous comeback, or will Real Madrid hold firm and march on? Drop your predictions below! 🔥

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