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Monaco vs Aston Villa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview | Jan 21, 2025

The UEFA Champions League group phase heats up as Monaco host Aston Villa at the Stade Louis II on Tuesday, January 21, 2025, at 17:45 GMT. Both teams are fighting for a place in the knockout stages, with Villa aiming to consolidate their position in the automatic qualification spots and Monaco looking to close the gap.

Interesting Fact: Monaco’s 2-1 victory over Barcelona in September remains one of the standout results of their Champions League campaign, while Aston Villa have kept four clean sheets in six matches in the competition.


Team Analysis

Monaco

Monaco started their season strongly, going unbeaten in their first 10 matches across all competitions. However, their form has dipped since October, with just five wins in their last 16 matches. In the Champions League, they have collected 10 points from six matches, leaving them in 16th place but still in contention for the knockout round play-offs.

Current Form:

  • Last 5 matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses.
  • Last match: 3-0 loss to Arsenal in the Champions League.

Key Players:

  • Maghnes Akliouche: The midfielder has been a standout performer, scoring two goals in the Champions League.
  • Takumi Minamino: The Japanese forward has also contributed two goals and provides creativity in attack.

Injuries/Suspensions:

  • Folarin Balogun (out, shoulder injury).
  • George Ilenikhena (out, adductor injury).
  • Krépin Diatta (out, muscle injury).
  • Wilfried Singo (doubtful, back injury).
  • Denis Zakaria (doubtful, illness).

Home Form:
Monaco have been strong at home, with two wins and one loss in their three Champions League matches at Stade Louis II this season.

Aston Villa

Aston Villa have been one of the surprise packages in the Champions League this season, sitting 5th in the table with 13 points. Their strong defensive record, with four clean sheets in six matches, has been key to their success. Domestically, they are also performing well, sitting 8th in the Premier League and just two points off the top four.

Current Form:

  • Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 2 draws.
  • Last match: 3-2 win over RB Leipzig in the Champions League.

Key Players:

  • Jhon Durán: The striker has been in fine form, scoring three goals in the Champions League.
  • John McGinn: The midfielder provides energy and creativity in the middle of the park.

Injuries/Suspensions:

  • Diego Carlos (suspended).
  • Ross Barkley (out, calf injury).
  • Pau Torres (out, ankle injury).
  • Amadou Onana (doubtful, injury).

Away Form:
Aston Villa have been inconsistent on the road, with two wins and one loss in their three Champions League away matches this season.


Head-to-Head and Past Encounters

This will be the first competitive meeting between Monaco and Aston Villa, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the fixture.


Prediction:
Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Monaco 1-1 Aston Villa

Monaco’s home advantage and impressive record at the Stade Louis II make them a formidable opponent in this crucial Champions League clash. The French side have lost just once at home in the competition this season, with victories over Barcelona and Red Star Belgrade showcasing their ability to rise to the occasion on their own turf. Their attacking trio of Maghnes Akliouche, Takumi Minamino, and Breel Embolo has been instrumental in their European campaign, combining creativity, pace, and clinical finishing. However, Monaco’s recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five matches across all competitions. Defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in their 3-0 loss to Arsenal, could be a concern against a well-organized Aston Villa side.

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Aston Villa, on the other hand, have been one of the standout teams in this season’s Champions League, boasting a strong defensive record with four clean sheets in six matches. Their ability to grind out results, even in tough away fixtures, has been key to their success. Unai Emery’s tactical acumen and Villa’s disciplined defensive structure, led by the likes of Ezri Konsa and Tyrone Mings, will be crucial in nullifying Monaco’s attacking threats. In attack, Jhon Durán and Ollie Watkins provide a potent combination of physicality and finishing ability, while John McGinn and Douglas Luiz offer creativity and control in midfield.

Given Monaco’s home strength and Villa’s defensive resilience, this match is likely to be a tightly contested affair. Monaco will look to dominate possession and exploit Villa’s occasional vulnerability on the flanks, while Villa will rely on their counter-attacking prowess and set-piece efficiency. A draw seems a fair outcome, with both teams likely to cancel each other out in a hard-fought battle. Expect a tactical duel with moments of individual brilliance, but ultimately, the spoils will be shared.

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Betting Tips

  1. Both Teams to Score: Yes
    • Both teams have shown attacking prowess in recent matches.
  2. Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Under
    • This could be a tactical battle with fewer goals.
  3. Anytime Goalscorer: Jhon Durán
    • The in-form striker is likely to find the net.

Hot Stat: Aston Villa have kept four clean sheets in their six Champions League matches this season, highlighting their defensive strength.


Possible Lineups

Monaco (4-2-3-1):
Majecki; Henrique, Salisu, Kehrer, Vanderson; Camara, Magassa; Akliouche, Golovin, Ben Seghir; Embolo.

Aston Villa (4-4-2):
Martínez; Digne, Mings, Konsa, Cash; Kamara, Ramsey, Rogers, Tielemans; Bailey, Watkins.

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