Villarreal vs. Alaves – Prediction and Betting Tips | Nov 9, 2024
Villarreal will look to continue their recent winning streak as they face Alaves at the Estadi de la Cerámica on Saturday, November 9, 2024, at 3:15 PM UK time. The Yellow Submarine aim to solidify their position in La Liga’s top four, while Alaves seek to gain ground in the league standings.
Match Significance
Villarreal currently occupy fourth place in the La Liga table, boasting 21 points from their 11 matches. Under manager Marcelino, Villarreal have been a formidable force this season, with only Real Madrid and Barcelona managing to defeat them. Their recent form includes victories over Real Valladolid and a Copa del Rey win against Poblense. However, their defense has been a point of concern, conceding 19 goals so far – the highest among the league’s top four.
Alaves, on the other hand, sit 14th in the league, with 13 points from their opening 12 games. They head into this match with two consecutive 1-0 wins in all competitions, over Compostela in the Copa del Rey and Mallorca in La Liga. Despite their defensive strength, Alaves have struggled on the road this season, with five losses in six away games, but they can take confidence from a record of close encounters against Villarreal, including two draws last season.
Team Analysis
Villarreal
Villarreal face injury concerns with key players Gerard Moreno and Juan Foyth unavailable, while Denis Suarez and Alfonso Pedraza are doubtful. However, Ayoze Perez, who recently scored a hat trick in the Copa del Rey, is expected to start in the lineup alongside Thierno Barry. Perez has been sidelined with a muscular issue but is now fully fit and will likely feature in a two-man attack with Barry.
Key Players: Dani Parejo’s playmaking ability and Alex Baena’s work rate in midfield will be essential for Villarreal, while Ayoze Perez’s sharpness in front of goal could make the difference.
Alaves
Alaves are also dealing with injuries, with Hugo Novoa and Carlos Benavidez sidelined. Ander Guevara is set to replace Benavidez in midfield, and Kike Garcia will lead the attack. Carlos Vicente is expected to start on the right wing, while manager Luis Garcia may bring in Stoichkov on the left to provide more creativity.
Key Players: Kike Garcia’s strength and positioning will be pivotal in Alaves’ attack, while Stoichkov’s dribbling ability and Vicente’s pace on the flanks will aim to trouble Villarreal’s defense.
Predicted Lineups:
Villarreal (4-4-2): Conde; Femenia, Albiol, Costa, S. Cardona; Akhomach, Comesana, Parejo, Baena; Barry, Perez
Alaves (4-2-3-1): Sivera; Tenaglia, Abqar, Pica, Sanchez; Blanco, Guevara; Vicente, Guridi, Stoichkov; Kike Garcia
Head-to-Head and Form
Historically, Villarreal have had the upper hand, winning eight of their last 10 encounters with Alaves. However, last season’s meetings were tight, both ending in 1-1 draws. Villarreal’s solid home record and Alaves’ away struggles suggest a slight advantage for the hosts in this clash.
Betting Tips and Predictions
Prediction: Villarreal 2-0 Alaves
Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Villarreal 2-0 Alaves.
Justification: Villarreal’s strong home record and recent form make them favorites, and Alaves’ struggles on the road further tilt the odds.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No. Villarreal’s defensive issues may be mitigated by Alaves’ difficulty in scoring on the road.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5. Villarreal’s defensive struggles could result in a low-scoring affair.
First Goal Scorer: Ayoze Perez. Having scored a hat trick recently, Perez is a strong candidate to open the scoring.
Hot Stat: Villarreal have scored in each of their last 13 league encounters with Alaves.
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