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Atletico Madrid host Las Palmas at the Wanda Metropolitano on Sunday, November 3, 2024, at 1:00 PM (UK time). Both teams enter this clash with contrasting recent form and objectives as Atletico look to reclaim their winning ways, while Las Palmas seek to continue their surprising turnaround.

Match Significance

Atletico Madrid aim to maintain their push towards the La Liga top three after a mixed start that has left them fourth in the standings, trailing leaders Barcelona by 10 points. For Las Palmas, this match presents a chance to continue their escape from the relegation zone after recent spirited performances boosted their confidence.

Team Analysis

Atletico Madrid

Diego Simeone’s Atletico side come into this match on the back of a turbulent few weeks. Their La Liga campaign has seen them accumulate 20 points from 11 matches (five wins, five draws, one loss). Recent setbacks, such as a 3-1 Champions League defeat to Lille and a 1-0 loss to Real Betis, highlighted defensive frailties. However, a 2-0 Copa del Rey victory over Vic, courtesy of a Julian Alvarez brace, hinted at a potential resurgence.

Key to Atletico’s prospects is their formidable home form. The Wanda Metropolitano has been a stronghold, and the leadership of Jan Oblak in goal provides confidence. Antoine Griezmann’s flair and Julian Alvarez’s scoring ability will be pivotal in the attack, supported by a midfield orchestrated by Koke and the versatile Rodrigo De Paul.

Defensive challenges persist due to injuries. Simeone will be without Cesar Azpilicueta, Clement Lenglet, Pablo Barrios, Marcos Llorente, and Robin Le Normand. Thomas Lemar’s involvement remains uncertain after a midweek knock. Axel Witsel and Reinildo will need to marshal the defence alongside Jose Gimenez, who is set to return.

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Las Palmas

Las Palmas have surprised many by stringing together three consecutive victories, including two in La Liga and one in the Copa del Rey. After a slow start that saw them secure only nine points from their first 11 matches, victories over Valencia (3-2) and Girona (1-0), as well as a 7-0 thrashing of Ontinena, have lifted spirits.

Under Diego Martinez’s guidance, Las Palmas have displayed newfound resilience and attacking verve. Fabio Silva leads their line with consistent performances, supported by Alberto Moleiro’s creativity and Kirian Rodriguez’s midfield dynamism. Alex Munoz’s goal-scoring capability from the back adds another threat, but defensive solidity remains an issue. The team has historically struggled against Atletico, conceding 18 goals in their last four top-flight defeats, though they did achieve a 2-1 win in November 2023 that provides hope.

Team News & Possible Lineups

Atletico Madrid: Key players such as Oblak, Griezmann, De Paul, Koke, Gimenez, and Lino will return to the starting lineup. Injury absences include Azpilicueta, Lenglet, Barrios, Llorente, and Le Normand. Thomas Lemar’s participation is doubtful. Sorloth may start on the bench, with Alvarez and Griezmann leading the line.

Expected Lineup: Oblak; Molina, Witsel, Gimenez, Reinildo; De Paul, Koke, Gallagher, Lino; Alvarez, Griezmann

Las Palmas: Marvin Park and Adnan Januzaj remain sidelined. Martinez is expected to stick with the winning formula used against Girona, with Silva leading the attack.

Expected Lineup: Cillessen; Rozada, Suarez, McKenna, Munoz; Essugo, Campana; Fuster, K. Rodriguez, Moleiro; Silva

Head-to-Head History

Atletico have historically dominated, winning 13 of their last 17 La Liga matches against Las Palmas. The visitors’ rare victory came in November 2023 with a 2-1 triumph. Atletico’s strong home form gives them the edge, but Las Palmas’ recent resurgence suggests they could challenge.

Predictions & Betting Tips

Match Prediction Atletico Madrid are likely to edge this contest but face a potentially tough battle.

Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Las Palmas.

Betting Markets Predictions

• Both Teams to Score: Yes. Las Palmas’ attacking form and Atletico’s defensive gaps suggest both sides could find the net.
• Over/Under 2.5 Goals (Full Time): Over 2.5. Given recent match trends, a high-scoring game is likely.
• First Goal Scorer: Julian Alvarez. His form in recent matches positions him as a strong candidate to open the scoring.

Hot Stat: Atletico Madrid have scored at least two goals in their last five home meetings with Las Palmas.

 

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