Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United: Prediction, Team News & Lineups | 25 October 2026

Our Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United prediction gives the hosts a narrow edge at Selhurst Park, where Palace’s strong recent home record in this fixture meets a Newcastle side that has lost three of its last four Premier League matches.

Goal.mu prediction: Crystal Palace 2-1 Newcastle United

Match details

• Competition: English Premier League 2026/27
• Matchweek: 8
• Date: Sunday, 25 October 2026
• Kick-off: 14:00 GMT / 18:00 Mauritius
• Venue: Selhurst Park
• Location: London, England
• Referee: Paul Tierney
• VAR: Darren England

Match preview

Crystal Palace enter 14th with seven points from seven matches, while Newcastle sit 11th with eight points.

Neither side has enjoyed a convincing start. Palace have conceded 17 league goals and Newcastle 14.

Palace were heavily beaten 5-0 by Brighton last weekend, but Thursday’s 2-2 Europa League draw at Beşiktaş offered a more encouraging attacking response.

Newcastle have lost three of their last four league matches and were beaten 1-0 at home by Aston Villa in their latest outing.

The Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United prediction therefore rests on Palace’s home advantage against Newcastle’s superior recovery time.

Premier League context

Only one point separates the teams, and both remain in the lower half of the table.

Palace have scored nine goals and conceded 17; Newcastle have scored 10 and conceded 14.

The defensive numbers are poor on both sides, which increases the likelihood of an open match.

A Palace win would move them above Newcastle, while the visitors can reach 11 points with victory.

Crystal Palace analysis

Pierre Sage’s transition has been difficult because Palace have struggled to maintain defensive compactness.

The 5-0 loss at Brighton exposed those problems brutally, with three goals conceded inside the opening ten minutes.

Palace’s midfield failed to protect the back line and the team never recovered from the early damage.

The second-half response in Istanbul was more positive and may give Sage a platform for Sunday.

Jean-Philippe Mateta’s return

Mateta scored against Beşiktaş and is expected to lead the attack with Jørgen Strand Larsen unlikely to feature.

His physical presence gives Palace a reliable central reference, while his record against Newcastle is particularly encouraging.

He has scored four goals in his last five appearances against the Magpies.

That history makes him one of the strongest individual arguments in favour of the hosts.

Adam Wharton’s influence

Wharton remains central to Palace’s ability to progress the ball through midfield.

His passing under pressure can help the hosts bypass Newcastle’s first line and find Yéremy Pino or Mateta early.

However, Joelinton and Nico González will try to make that process uncomfortable.

Wharton therefore needs to combine creativity with positional discipline.

Palace’s defensive concern

Seventeen goals conceded in seven league matches is the clearest weakness.

Palace are vulnerable when their wing-backs advance and the back three becomes stretched.

Brighton exploited those spaces repeatedly, and Newcastle have enough pace through Harvey Barnes and Yoane Wissa to try the same approach.

Newcastle United analysis

Matthias Jaissle’s early period has been inconsistent.

Newcastle showed promise in the opening weeks but have since lost three of four league matches.

The 4-1 defeat at Coventry exposed major problems with spacing between midfield and defence.

The 1-0 home loss to Aston Villa then highlighted a different issue: possession without enough penetration in the final third.

Harvey Barnes’ threat

Barnes remains one of Newcastle’s most dangerous attacking players.

His movement from the left into central shooting positions can trouble Palace’s right side, especially if Anan Khalaili advances aggressively.

Chris Richards may therefore need to provide additional cover.

That creates a difficult balance for Palace because they also want their wing-backs to contribute offensively.

Yoane Wissa’s responsibility

Wissa is expected to lead the attack and should get chances against a Palace defence that has conceded regularly.

His movement can pull the centre-backs out of position, but Newcastle need the supporting attackers closer to him.

If Barnes, Murphy and Osula combine around the striker more consistently, the visitors should create better opportunities than they did against Aston Villa.

Recent form

Palace’s last five league matches read L-W-D-L-W, with nine goals scored and 11 conceded.

Newcastle’s last five read L-L-W-L-D, with 13 conceded.

The visitors have also scored only four goals across their last four league fixtures.

Neither side therefore arrives with a convincing domestic trend.

Head-to-head

Palace are unbeaten in their last five Premier League home meetings with Newcastle.

They have won two and drawn three during that sequence.

Newcastle’s last league victory at Selhurst Park came in November 2020, and they have won only one of their last 12 visits.

That history gives the hosts a meaningful psychological advantage.

Tactical analysis

Palace’s back three against Newcastle’s movement

Palace are expected to use a 3-4-2-1 structure with Chris Richards, Axel Disasi and Jaydee Canvot.

That shape can protect central areas, but only if the distances remain compact.

Barnes and Murphy will try to stretch the outside centre-backs while Wissa occupies the middle.

Palace cannot afford to leave isolated defenders protecting large spaces.

Mateta against Newcastle’s centre-backs

Mateta gives Palace a direct route through or over Newcastle’s press.

His strength can occupy Sven Botman and Malick Thiaw, while his movement between them can create room for Pino and Sarr.

Newcastle should try to prevent early service into him rather than allow repeated physical duels near the box.

Wharton against Newcastle’s midfield

Wharton faces a difficult battle against Joelinton and Nico González.

If Palace create enough support around him, they can play through Newcastle’s pressure.

If he becomes isolated, the visitors can dominate second balls and sustain attacks.

Barnes against Khalaili

Barnes can attack the space behind Khalaili when the Palace wing-back moves forward.

That transition channel may be Newcastle’s best attacking route.

Palace must decide whether to keep Khalaili deeper or accept the risk in exchange for greater attacking width.

Tyrick Mitchell’s attacking contribution

Mitchell has scored twice in the league and is surprisingly Palace’s leading scorer.

His overlapping runs can create overloads on the left, especially if Newcastle’s right side fails to track him.

That gives Palace another source of attack beyond Mateta and Pino.

Newcastle’s high line

Jaissle wants Newcastle to play aggressively, but the approach has left space behind the defence.

Leeds and Coventry both exploited that problem.

Palace can use the pace of Pino and Sarr to attack those gaps after direct passes into Mateta.

Set pieces

Both teams possess significant aerial quality.

Palace can threaten through Mateta, Disasi and Richards, while Newcastle have Botman, Thiaw, Joelinton and Wissa.

Given the defensive records, dead-ball situations could become decisive.

Key tactical battles

Mateta against Botman is the main physical contest.

Pino against Lewis Hall gives Palace a creative route from the right.

Wharton against Joelinton may determine midfield control.

Barnes against Khalaili is Newcastle’s clearest transition threat, while Wissa against Disasi shapes the central attacking battle.

Injuries and suspensions

Crystal Palace

Quinten Timber, Takehiro Tomiyasu and Chadi Riad are out.

Jørgen Strand Larsen is expected to miss the match, while Dean Henderson remains doubtful.

Axel Disasi and Jean-Philippe Mateta are available.

Newcastle United

Tino Livramento and Ewen Jaouen are out.

Matías Fernández-Pardo is doubtful, while Anthony Elanga could return from the bench.

Jacob Ramsey is unlikely to feature, with Dan Burn and William Osula available.

Predicted lineups

Crystal Palace predicted XI (3-4-2-1): Wálter Benítez; Chris Richards, Axel Disasi, Jaydee Canvot; Anan Khalaili, Adam Wharton, Daichi Kamada, Tyrick Mitchell; Ismaïla Sarr, Yéremy Pino; Jean-Philippe Mateta.

Newcastle United predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Lukáš Horníček; Lewis Miley, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Lewis Hall; Nico González, Joelinton; Jacob Murphy, William Osula, Harvey Barnes; Yoane Wissa.

Key players to watch

Mateta is the obvious Palace player to watch after scoring in Istanbul and because of his record against Newcastle.

Wharton remains crucial to the build-up, while Pino’s creativity can exploit Newcastle’s defensive spaces.

For Newcastle, Barnes is the main wide threat, Wissa the central finisher and Joelinton the player most likely to influence the physical midfield battle.

Key statistics

• Crystal Palace are 14th with seven points.
• Newcastle United are 11th with eight points.
• Palace have conceded 17 league goals.
• Newcastle have conceded 14.
• Both teams have seen five of seven league matches produce at least three goals.
• Newcastle have lost three of their last four league matches.
• Palace are unbeaten in their last five home league meetings with Newcastle.
• Newcastle have won only one of their last 12 visits to Selhurst Park.
• Mateta has scored four goals in his last five appearances against Newcastle.

Schedule and fatigue

Newcastle possess a clear recovery advantage because they last played on 17 October.

Palace faced Brighton on 18 October and then travelled to Istanbul for Thursday’s Europa League match.

That extra workload could become important in the second half.

Newcastle should be physically fresher, but Palace have home advantage and greater recent match rhythm.

Match importance

Both teams need a positive result to avoid becoming further detached from the upper half.

Palace need to restore confidence after the Brighton defeat, while Newcastle need a response after three league losses in four.

The psychological pressure on both sides should encourage an assertive rather than passive approach.

Crystal Palace Vs Newcastle United Prediction

The Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United prediction ultimately favours the hosts by a narrow margin because of their excellent recent home record in this fixture and Mateta’s strong personal history against Newcastle.

Newcastle’s additional recovery time is a meaningful advantage, and the visitors should create opportunities against a Palace defence that has conceded 17 league goals.

However, Newcastle have their own major defensive problems and have struggled badly on recent visits to Selhurst Park.

With both teams conceding regularly, both teams to score and over 2.5 goals are logical supporting angles.

Score prediction: Crystal Palace 2-1 Newcastle United.

Betting tips

• Full-time result: Crystal Palace
• Double chance: Crystal Palace or Draw (1X)
• Both teams to score: Yes
• Goals: Over 2.5
• Safer goals angle: Over 1.5 goals
• Half-time: Draw
• Correct score: Crystal Palace 2-1 Newcastle United

Hot stat

Crystal Palace and Newcastle have conceded 31 Premier League goals between them in just seven matches each, while both clubs have seen five of their seven league fixtures produce at least three goals.