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Real Madrid vs. Napoli – Prediction and Betting Tips | Nov 29, 2023

In what promises to be a titanic tussle in Group C of the Champions League, Real Madrid welcomes Napoli to the iconic Bernabeu on Wednesday, November 29th, at 8pm UK time. This clash isn’t just about bragging rights; it’s a strategic battle for top spot in the group, with both teams already having secured their places in the knockout stages. The stage is set for a footballing spectacle, combining tactical brilliance with the raw passion of European football.

Analysis:

Real Madrid, under the astute leadership of Carlo Ancelotti, have been nothing short of formidable this season. Their unblemished record in the group stage, with four wins from four games, makes them overwhelming favourites. A mere point in this game would ensure their top-seed status in the last 16 draw. Real’s home record further tilts the odds in their favour, as they have not tasted defeat at the Bernabeu since early April.

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Their defensive solidity, even in the face of significant injuries to key players like Thibaut Courtois and Eder Militao, has been commendable. This resilience will be crucial against a Napoli side that has demonstrated remarkable potency in front of goal, averaging over two goals per game in their recent outings.

Napoli, under the new management of Walter Mazzarri, faces an uphill battle at the Bernabeu. While they have been impressive on the road, winning seven of their nine away fixtures this season, their historical record against Madrid and at this venue is less inspiring. With a recent managerial change and a left-back crisis to navigate, Napoli’s adaptability and squad depth will be severely tested.

(Odds are taken from bet365 and are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.T&Cs apply, 18+)

Prediction:

Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Real Madrid 2-1 Napoli at 8.50 odds bet365

Justifying this prediction, Real Madrid’s robust home form and defensive solidity, coupled with Napoli’s less convincing track record at the Bernabeu, tilt the balance in favour of the hosts. However, Napoli’s attacking flair, especially in away games, suggests they could find the back of the net.

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Betting Market Predictions:

  • Both Teams to Score: YES. Given Napoli’s scoring ability and Madrid’s occasional defensive lapses, this seems likely.
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: OVER. The attacking nature of both teams makes a higher scoring game probable.
  • Hot Stat: Real Madrid have a nine-match unbeaten run in the UCL at the Bernabeu.

(Odds are taken from bet365 and are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.T&Cs apply, 18+)

74 average Markets available for Real Madrid v Napoli

Full Time Result

Home WinDrawAway Win
1.744.5

Half Time/Full Time

Real Madrid – Real MadridReal Madrid – DrawReal Madrid – NapoliDraw – Real MadridDraw – DrawDraw – NapoliNapoli – Real MadridNapoli – Draw
2.62515344.756.5102115

Half Time/Full Time (cont.)

 

Napoli – Napoli
7.5

Correct Score

Real Madrid #5-0Real Madrid #6-3Real Madrid #7-1Real Madrid #3-2Real Madrid #4-1Real Madrid #5-1Real Madrid #1-0Real Madrid #2-1
513512512123418.58.5

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Real Madrid #3-0Real Madrid #4-2Real Madrid #5-4Real Madrid #6-0Real Madrid #7-0Real Madrid #2-0Real Madrid #3-1Real Madrid #4-3
134140110130191367

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Real Madrid #4-0Real Madrid #6-1Real Madrid #5-2Real Madrid #5-3Real Madrid #6-2Draw #1-1Draw #2-2Draw #4-4
26101671511517.515151

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Draw #3-3Draw #0-0Napoli #5-0Napoli #5-3Napoli #4-1Napoli #4-2Napoli #5-1Napoli #1-0
4113401351678125115

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Napoli #3-2Napoli #2-1Napoli #3-0Napoli #4-3Napoli #2-0Napoli #3-1Napoli #4-0Napoli #5-2
3415511012334101251

Winning Margin

Real Madrid by 1Napoli by 1Real Madrid by 2Napoli by 2Real Madrid by 3Napoli by 3Real Madrid by 4+Napoli by 4+
3.756.55158.5341267

Winning Margin (cont.)

 

Score DrawNo Goal
513

Handicap Result

Real Madrid (-1) -1.00Tie – (Napoli +1) 1.00Napoli (+1) 1.00
2.753.752.1

Total Goals

Under 2.50Over 2.50
2.151.667

First Team to Score

Real MadridNo GoalsNapoli
1.444132.75

Half-Time

Real MadridDrawNapoli
2.252.3754.75

Total Goal Minutes

Over 155 minutes135 To 155 minutes inc.Under 135 minutes
2.291.833

Total Goals Odd/Even

EvenOdd
1.91.95

Double Chance

Real Madrid or DrawDraw or NapoliReal Madrid or Napoli
1.1822.11.222

Team Total Goals

Real Madrid Over 0.50Real Madrid Under 0.50Real Madrid Over 1.50Real Madrid Under 1.50Real Madrid Over 2.50Real Madrid Under 2.50Real Madrid Over 3.50Real Madrid Under 3.50
1.12561.6672.13.251.33371.1

Team Total Goals (cont.)

 

Real Madrid Over 4.50Real Madrid Under 4.50Real Madrid Over 5.50Real Madrid Under 5.50Napoli Over 0.50Napoli Under 0.50Napoli Over 1.50Napoli Under 1.50
171.025411.0041.4442.6253.251.333

Team Total Goals (cont.)

 

Napoli Over 2.50Napoli Under 2.50Napoli Over 3.50Napoli Under 3.50
91.071261.01

Both Teams to Score

YesNo
1.72.05

Alternative Total Goals

Over 0.50Under 0.50Over 1.50Under 1.50Over 3.50Under 3.50Over 4.50Under 4.50
1.04131.2224.3332.751.44451.167

Alternative Total Goals (cont.)

 

Over 5.50Under 5.50Over 6.50Under 6.50Over 7.50Under 7.50
101.063191.02411.004

Exact Total Goals

0 Goals1 Goal2 Goals3 Goals4 Goals5 Goals6 Goals7+ Goals
136445.58.51719

Alternative Handicap Result

Real Madrid -3.00Tie – Napoli 3.00Napoli 3.00Real Madrid -2.00Tie – Napoli 2.00Napoli 2.00Real Madrid 1.00Tie – Napoli -1.00
128.51.1255.551.41.1826.5

Alternative Handicap Result (cont.)

 

Napoli -1.00Real Madrid 2.00Tie – Napoli -2.00Napoli -2.00
101.0461526

Exact 1st Half Goals

0 Goals1 Goal2 Goals3 Goals4 Goals5+ Goals
3.42.63.758.52351

1st Half Goals Odd/Even

OddEven
21.8

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result

Real Madrid -3.00Tie – Napoli 3.00Napoli 3.00Real Madrid -2.00Tie – Napoli 2.00Napoli 2.00Real Madrid 1.00Tie – Napoli -1.00
51211.021771.11.1675

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result (cont.)

 

Napoli -1.00
17

2nd Half Result

Real MadridDrawNapoli
1.9522.754.333

2nd Half Goals

Over 0.50Under 0.50Over 1.50Under 1.50Over 2.50Under 2.50Over 3.50Under 3.50
1.1824.51.8331.8333.751.25101.063

2nd Half Goals (cont.)

 

Over 4.50Under 4.50
231.012

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid – YesReal Madrid – NoNapoli – YesNapoli – No
2.6251.44461.125

Teams to Score

Both TeamsReal Madrid OnlyNo GoalNapoli Only
1.73.25139

Result / Total Goals

Real Madrid & Over 2.50Real Madrid & Under 2.50Draw & Over 2.50Draw & Under 2.50Napoli & Over 2.50Napoli & Under 2.50
2.54.5125.5710

Time of 1st Team Goal

Real Madrid – Goal before 39:00Real Madrid – No Goal before 39:00
1.8331.833

Time of 1st Team Goal

Napoli – Goal before 66:00Napoli – No Goal before 66:00
1.8331.833

1st Goal Method

ShotHeaderPenaltyFree KickOwn GoalNo Goal
1.44467212613

To Win From Behind

Real Madrid to win from behindNapoli to win from behind
715

To Win to Nil

Real Madrid to win to nilNapoli to win to nil
3.259

To Win Either Half

Real Madrid to win either halfNapoli to win either half
1.42.5

To Win Both Halves

Real Madrid to win both halvesNapoli to win both halves
4.519

To Score in Both Halves

Real Madrid to score in both halvesNapoli to score in both halves
2.55

To Score a Penalty

Real Madrid to score a penaltyNapoli to score a penalty
4.58

To Miss a Penalty

Real Madrid to miss a penaltyNapoli to miss a penalty
1521

10 Minute Result

Real MadridDrawNapoli
61.1829.5

Goals in First 10 Minutes

Over 0.50Under 0.50
4.3331.2

Exact 2nd Half Goals

0 Goals1 Goal2 Goals3 Goals4 Goals5+ Goals
4.52.8753.461323

Half Time Double Chance

Real Madrid or DrawDraw or NapoliReal Madrid or Napoli
1.1671.5711.533

Early Goal

Goal before 26:00No Goal before 26:00
1.8331.833

Late Goal

Goal after 76:59No Goal after 76:59
1.8331.833

Last Team to Score

Real MadridNo GoalNapoli
1.444132.75

Number of Goals in Match

Under 2 goals2 or 3 goalsOver 3 goals
4.3332.052.75

Half with Most Goals

1st Half2nd HalfTie
3.123.75

First Half Goals

Over 0.50Under 0.50Over 1.50Under 1.50Over 2.50Under 2.50Over 3.50Under 3.50
1.33.42.51.561.125171.025

Half Time Correct Score

Real Madrid #3-2Real Madrid #4-1Real Madrid #4-2Real Madrid #1-0Real Madrid #2-0Real Madrid #5-0Real Madrid #4-0Real Madrid #2-1
1011264013.758.52516717

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

 

Real Madrid #3-0Real Madrid #5-1Real Madrid #3-1Draw #1-1Draw #2-2Draw #0-0Draw #3-3Napoli #3-2
26501417.5513.4501151

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

 

Napoli #2-0Napoli #4-0Napoli #1-0Napoli #2-1Napoli #3-0Napoli #4-1Napoli #3-1
234016.5298150181

Time of First Goal Brackets

1-1011-2021-3031-4041-5051-6061-7071-80
4.3334.75678131721

Time of First Goal Brackets (cont.)

 

81 – Full TimeNo Goal
2113

Draw No Bet

Real MadridNapoli
1.33.4

1st Half – Handicap

Real Madrid -1.00Tie – Napoli 1.00Napoli 1.00
63.21.571

Result/Both Teams to Score

Real Madrid & YesReal Madrid & NoNapoli & YesNapoli & NoDraw & YesDraw & No
3.253.257.59513

Total Goals/Both Teams to Score

Over 2.5 & YesOver 2.5 & NoUnder 2.5 & YesUnder 2.5 & No
2.057.57.52.75

Home Team Odd/Even Goals

Real Madrid – EvenReal Madrid – Odd
1.8331.833

Away Team Odd/Even Goals

Napoli – EvenNapoli – Odd
1.6672.1

Home Team Exact Goals

Real Madrid – 0 GoalsReal Madrid – 1 GoalReal Madrid – 2 GoalsReal Madrid – 3+ Goals
63.13.253.25

Away Team Exact Goals

Napoli – 0 GoalsNapoli – 1 GoalNapoli – 2 GoalsNapoli – 3+ Goals
2.6252.54.59

Home Team Highest Scoring Half

Real Madrid – 1st HalfReal Madrid – 2nd HalfReal Madrid – Tie
3.22.22.875

Away Team Highest Scoring Half

Napoli – 1st HalfNapoli – 2nd HalfNapoli – Tie
3.752.752.05

Home Team to Score in 1st Half

Real Madrid – YesReal Madrid – No
1.6672.1

Away Team to Score in 1st Half

Napoli – YesNapoli – No
2.51.5

Both Teams to Score in 1st Half

YesNo
4.3331.2

Half Time Result/Both Teams to Score

Real Madrid & YesReal Madrid & NoDraw & YesDraw & NoNapoli & YesNapoli & No
132.673.4235.5

Half Time Result/Total Goals

Real Madrid & Over 1.5Real Madrid & Under 1.5Draw & Over 1.5Draw & Under 1.5Napoli & Over 1.5Napoli & Under 1.5
4.753.757.53.4126.5

Home Team to Score in 2nd Half

Real Madrid – YesReal Madrid – No
1.4442.625

Away Team to Score in 2nd Half

Napoli – YesNapoli – No
21.727

Both Teams to Score in 2nd Half

YesNo
31.364

2nd Half Goals Odd/Even

OddEven
1.9091.8

Both Teams to Score 1st Half – 2nd Half

Yes / YesYes / NoNo / YesNo / No
135.53.61.667

Asian Handicap

Real Madrid -0.75Napoli 0.75
1.911.99

Goal Line

Over 2.75Under 2.75
1.892.01

1st Half Goal Line

Over 1.25Under 1.25
2.1251.75

1st Half Asian Handicap

Real Madrid -0.25Napoli 0.25
1.852

Alternative Asian Handicap

Real Madrid -2.50Napoli 2.50Real Madrid -2.25Napoli 2.25Real Madrid -2.00Napoli 2.00Real Madrid -1.75Napoli 1.75
5.51.1551.174.51.193.451.3

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Real Madrid -1.50Napoli 1.50Real Madrid -1.25Napoli 1.25Real Madrid -1.00Napoli 1.00Real Madrid -0.50Napoli 0.50
2.751.4252.4251.5252.151.6751.6752.15

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Real Madrid -0.25Napoli 0.25Real Madrid 0.00Napoli 0.00Real Madrid 0.25Napoli -0.25Real Madrid 0.50Napoli -0.50
1.52.51.33.451.253.81.214.25

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Real Madrid 0.75Napoli -0.75
1.145.75

Alternative Goal Line

Over 1.25Under 1.25Over 1.50Under 1.50Over 1.75Under 1.75Over 2.00Under 2.00
1.12561.214.251.253.81.33.45

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 2.25Under 2.25Over 2.50Under 2.50Over 3.00Under 3.00Over 3.25Under 3.25
1.4752.61.6752.152.11.72.3751.55

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 3.50Under 3.50Over 3.75Under 3.75Over 4.00Under 4.00Over 4.25Under 4.25
2.6751.453.11.354.11.2254.41.2

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 4.50Under 4.50Over 4.75Under 4.75
4.81.1756.251.12

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap

Real Madrid -1.50Napoli 1.50Real Madrid -1.25Napoli 1.25Real Madrid -1.00Napoli 1.00Real Madrid -0.75Napoli 0.75
61.1255.51.154.41.22.851.4

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Real Madrid -0.50Napoli 0.50Real Madrid 0.00Napoli 0.00Real Madrid 0.25Napoli -0.25Real Madrid 0.50Napoli -0.50
2.251.6251.42.851.263.71.194.5

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Real Madrid 0.75Napoli -0.75
1.116.6

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line

Over 0.75Under 0.75Over 1.00Under 1.00Over 1.50Under 1.50Over 1.75Under 1.75
1.4252.751.652.22.51.53.11.35

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 2.00Under 2.00Over 2.25Under 2.25Over 2.50Under 2.50
4.651.185.51.1561.125
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