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Real Madrid vs. Napoli – Prediction and Betting Tips | Nov 29, 2023

In what promises to be a titanic tussle in Group C of the Champions League, Real Madrid welcomes Napoli to the iconic Bernabeu on Wednesday, November 29th, at 8pm UK time. This clash isn’t just about bragging rights; it’s a strategic battle for top spot in the group, with both teams already having secured their places in the knockout stages. The stage is set for a footballing spectacle, combining tactical brilliance with the raw passion of European football.

Analysis:

Real Madrid, under the astute leadership of Carlo Ancelotti, have been nothing short of formidable this season. Their unblemished record in the group stage, with four wins from four games, makes them overwhelming favourites. A mere point in this game would ensure their top-seed status in the last 16 draw. Real’s home record further tilts the odds in their favour, as they have not tasted defeat at the Bernabeu since early April.

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Their defensive solidity, even in the face of significant injuries to key players like Thibaut Courtois and Eder Militao, has been commendable. This resilience will be crucial against a Napoli side that has demonstrated remarkable potency in front of goal, averaging over two goals per game in their recent outings.

Napoli, under the new management of Walter Mazzarri, faces an uphill battle at the Bernabeu. While they have been impressive on the road, winning seven of their nine away fixtures this season, their historical record against Madrid and at this venue is less inspiring. With a recent managerial change and a left-back crisis to navigate, Napoli’s adaptability and squad depth will be severely tested.

(Odds are taken from bet365 and are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.T&Cs apply, 18+)

Prediction:

Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Real Madrid 2-1 Napoli at 8.50 odds bet365

Justifying this prediction, Real Madrid’s robust home form and defensive solidity, coupled with Napoli’s less convincing track record at the Bernabeu, tilt the balance in favour of the hosts. However, Napoli’s attacking flair, especially in away games, suggests they could find the back of the net.

AD:

Betting Market Predictions:

  • Both Teams to Score: YES. Given Napoli’s scoring ability and Madrid’s occasional defensive lapses, this seems likely.
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: OVER. The attacking nature of both teams makes a higher scoring game probable.
  • Hot Stat: Real Madrid have a nine-match unbeaten run in the UCL at the Bernabeu.

(Odds are taken from bet365 and are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.T&Cs apply, 18+)

74 average Markets available for Real Madrid v Napoli

Full Time Result

Home Win Draw Away Win
1.7 4 4.5

Half Time/Full Time

Real Madrid – Real Madrid Real Madrid – Draw Real Madrid – Napoli Draw – Real Madrid Draw – Draw Draw – Napoli Napoli – Real Madrid Napoli – Draw
2.625 15 34 4.75 6.5 10 21 15

Half Time/Full Time (cont.)

 

Napoli – Napoli
7.5

Correct Score

Real Madrid #5-0 Real Madrid #6-3 Real Madrid #7-1 Real Madrid #3-2 Real Madrid #4-1 Real Madrid #5-1 Real Madrid #1-0 Real Madrid #2-1
51 351 251 21 23 41 8.5 8.5

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Real Madrid #3-0 Real Madrid #4-2 Real Madrid #5-4 Real Madrid #6-0 Real Madrid #7-0 Real Madrid #2-0 Real Madrid #3-1 Real Madrid #4-3
13 41 401 101 301 9 13 67

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Real Madrid #4-0 Real Madrid #6-1 Real Madrid #5-2 Real Madrid #5-3 Real Madrid #6-2 Draw #1-1 Draw #2-2 Draw #4-4
26 101 67 151 151 7.5 15 151

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Draw #3-3 Draw #0-0 Napoli #5-0 Napoli #5-3 Napoli #4-1 Napoli #4-2 Napoli #5-1 Napoli #1-0
41 13 401 351 67 81 251 15

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Napoli #3-2 Napoli #2-1 Napoli #3-0 Napoli #4-3 Napoli #2-0 Napoli #3-1 Napoli #4-0 Napoli #5-2
34 15 51 101 23 34 101 251

Winning Margin

Real Madrid by 1 Napoli by 1 Real Madrid by 2 Napoli by 2 Real Madrid by 3 Napoli by 3 Real Madrid by 4+ Napoli by 4+
3.75 6.5 5 15 8.5 34 12 67

Winning Margin (cont.)

 

Score Draw No Goal
5 13

Handicap Result

Real Madrid (-1) -1.00 Tie – (Napoli +1) 1.00 Napoli (+1) 1.00
2.75 3.75 2.1

Total Goals

Under 2.50 Over 2.50
2.15 1.667

First Team to Score

Real Madrid No Goals Napoli
1.444 13 2.75

Half-Time

Real Madrid Draw Napoli
2.25 2.375 4.75

Total Goal Minutes

Over 155 minutes 135 To 155 minutes inc. Under 135 minutes
2.2 9 1.833

Total Goals Odd/Even

Even Odd
1.9 1.95

Double Chance

Real Madrid or Draw Draw or Napoli Real Madrid or Napoli
1.182 2.1 1.222

Team Total Goals

Real Madrid Over 0.50 Real Madrid Under 0.50 Real Madrid Over 1.50 Real Madrid Under 1.50 Real Madrid Over 2.50 Real Madrid Under 2.50 Real Madrid Over 3.50 Real Madrid Under 3.50
1.125 6 1.667 2.1 3.25 1.333 7 1.1

Team Total Goals (cont.)

 

Real Madrid Over 4.50 Real Madrid Under 4.50 Real Madrid Over 5.50 Real Madrid Under 5.50 Napoli Over 0.50 Napoli Under 0.50 Napoli Over 1.50 Napoli Under 1.50
17 1.025 41 1.004 1.444 2.625 3.25 1.333

Team Total Goals (cont.)

 

Napoli Over 2.50 Napoli Under 2.50 Napoli Over 3.50 Napoli Under 3.50
9 1.071 26 1.01

Both Teams to Score

Yes No
1.7 2.05

Alternative Total Goals

Over 0.50 Under 0.50 Over 1.50 Under 1.50 Over 3.50 Under 3.50 Over 4.50 Under 4.50
1.04 13 1.222 4.333 2.75 1.444 5 1.167

Alternative Total Goals (cont.)

 

Over 5.50 Under 5.50 Over 6.50 Under 6.50 Over 7.50 Under 7.50
10 1.063 19 1.02 41 1.004

Exact Total Goals

0 Goals 1 Goal 2 Goals 3 Goals 4 Goals 5 Goals 6 Goals 7+ Goals
13 6 4 4 5.5 8.5 17 19

Alternative Handicap Result

Real Madrid -3.00 Tie – Napoli 3.00 Napoli 3.00 Real Madrid -2.00 Tie – Napoli 2.00 Napoli 2.00 Real Madrid 1.00 Tie – Napoli -1.00
12 8.5 1.125 5.5 5 1.4 1.182 6.5

Alternative Handicap Result (cont.)

 

Napoli -1.00 Real Madrid 2.00 Tie – Napoli -2.00 Napoli -2.00
10 1.046 15 26

Exact 1st Half Goals

0 Goals 1 Goal 2 Goals 3 Goals 4 Goals 5+ Goals
3.4 2.6 3.75 8.5 23 51

1st Half Goals Odd/Even

Odd Even
2 1.8

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result

Real Madrid -3.00 Tie – Napoli 3.00 Napoli 3.00 Real Madrid -2.00 Tie – Napoli 2.00 Napoli 2.00 Real Madrid 1.00 Tie – Napoli -1.00
51 21 1.02 17 7 1.1 1.167 5

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result (cont.)

 

Napoli -1.00
17

2nd Half Result

Real Madrid Draw Napoli
1.952 2.75 4.333

2nd Half Goals

Over 0.50 Under 0.50 Over 1.50 Under 1.50 Over 2.50 Under 2.50 Over 3.50 Under 3.50
1.182 4.5 1.833 1.833 3.75 1.25 10 1.063

2nd Half Goals (cont.)

 

Over 4.50 Under 4.50
23 1.012

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid – Yes Real Madrid – No Napoli – Yes Napoli – No
2.625 1.444 6 1.125

Teams to Score

Both Teams Real Madrid Only No Goal Napoli Only
1.7 3.25 13 9

Result / Total Goals

Real Madrid & Over 2.50 Real Madrid & Under 2.50 Draw & Over 2.50 Draw & Under 2.50 Napoli & Over 2.50 Napoli & Under 2.50
2.5 4.5 12 5.5 7 10

Time of 1st Team Goal

Real Madrid – Goal before 39:00 Real Madrid – No Goal before 39:00
1.833 1.833

Time of 1st Team Goal

Napoli – Goal before 66:00 Napoli – No Goal before 66:00
1.833 1.833

1st Goal Method

Shot Header Penalty Free Kick Own Goal No Goal
1.444 6 7 21 26 13

To Win From Behind

Real Madrid to win from behind Napoli to win from behind
7 15

To Win to Nil

Real Madrid to win to nil Napoli to win to nil
3.25 9

To Win Either Half

Real Madrid to win either half Napoli to win either half
1.4 2.5

To Win Both Halves

Real Madrid to win both halves Napoli to win both halves
4.5 19

To Score in Both Halves

Real Madrid to score in both halves Napoli to score in both halves
2.5 5

To Score a Penalty

Real Madrid to score a penalty Napoli to score a penalty
4.5 8

To Miss a Penalty

Real Madrid to miss a penalty Napoli to miss a penalty
15 21

10 Minute Result

Real Madrid Draw Napoli
6 1.182 9.5

Goals in First 10 Minutes

Over 0.50 Under 0.50
4.333 1.2

Exact 2nd Half Goals

0 Goals 1 Goal 2 Goals 3 Goals 4 Goals 5+ Goals
4.5 2.875 3.4 6 13 23

Half Time Double Chance

Real Madrid or Draw Draw or Napoli Real Madrid or Napoli
1.167 1.571 1.533

Early Goal

Goal before 26:00 No Goal before 26:00
1.833 1.833

Late Goal

Goal after 76:59 No Goal after 76:59
1.833 1.833

Last Team to Score

Real Madrid No Goal Napoli
1.444 13 2.75

Number of Goals in Match

Under 2 goals 2 or 3 goals Over 3 goals
4.333 2.05 2.75

Half with Most Goals

1st Half 2nd Half Tie
3.1 2 3.75

First Half Goals

Over 0.50 Under 0.50 Over 1.50 Under 1.50 Over 2.50 Under 2.50 Over 3.50 Under 3.50
1.3 3.4 2.5 1.5 6 1.125 17 1.025

Half Time Correct Score

Real Madrid #3-2 Real Madrid #4-1 Real Madrid #4-2 Real Madrid #1-0 Real Madrid #2-0 Real Madrid #5-0 Real Madrid #4-0 Real Madrid #2-1
101 126 401 3.75 8.5 251 67 17

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

 

Real Madrid #3-0 Real Madrid #5-1 Real Madrid #3-1 Draw #1-1 Draw #2-2 Draw #0-0 Draw #3-3 Napoli #3-2
26 501 41 7.5 51 3.4 501 151

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

 

Napoli #2-0 Napoli #4-0 Napoli #1-0 Napoli #2-1 Napoli #3-0 Napoli #4-1 Napoli #3-1
23 401 6.5 29 81 501 81

Time of First Goal Brackets

1-10 11-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-80
4.333 4.75 6 7 8 13 17 21

Time of First Goal Brackets (cont.)

 

81 – Full Time No Goal
21 13

Draw No Bet

Real Madrid Napoli
1.3 3.4

1st Half – Handicap

Real Madrid -1.00 Tie – Napoli 1.00 Napoli 1.00
6 3.2 1.571

Result/Both Teams to Score

Real Madrid & Yes Real Madrid & No Napoli & Yes Napoli & No Draw & Yes Draw & No
3.25 3.25 7.5 9 5 13

Total Goals/Both Teams to Score

Over 2.5 & Yes Over 2.5 & No Under 2.5 & Yes Under 2.5 & No
2.05 7.5 7.5 2.75

Home Team Odd/Even Goals

Real Madrid – Even Real Madrid – Odd
1.833 1.833

Away Team Odd/Even Goals

Napoli – Even Napoli – Odd
1.667 2.1

Home Team Exact Goals

Real Madrid – 0 Goals Real Madrid – 1 Goal Real Madrid – 2 Goals Real Madrid – 3+ Goals
6 3.1 3.25 3.25

Away Team Exact Goals

Napoli – 0 Goals Napoli – 1 Goal Napoli – 2 Goals Napoli – 3+ Goals
2.625 2.5 4.5 9

Home Team Highest Scoring Half

Real Madrid – 1st Half Real Madrid – 2nd Half Real Madrid – Tie
3.2 2.2 2.875

Away Team Highest Scoring Half

Napoli – 1st Half Napoli – 2nd Half Napoli – Tie
3.75 2.75 2.05

Home Team to Score in 1st Half

Real Madrid – Yes Real Madrid – No
1.667 2.1

Away Team to Score in 1st Half

Napoli – Yes Napoli – No
2.5 1.5

Both Teams to Score in 1st Half

Yes No
4.333 1.2

Half Time Result/Both Teams to Score

Real Madrid & Yes Real Madrid & No Draw & Yes Draw & No Napoli & Yes Napoli & No
13 2.6 7 3.4 23 5.5

Half Time Result/Total Goals

Real Madrid & Over 1.5 Real Madrid & Under 1.5 Draw & Over 1.5 Draw & Under 1.5 Napoli & Over 1.5 Napoli & Under 1.5
4.75 3.75 7.5 3.4 12 6.5

Home Team to Score in 2nd Half

Real Madrid – Yes Real Madrid – No
1.444 2.625

Away Team to Score in 2nd Half

Napoli – Yes Napoli – No
2 1.727

Both Teams to Score in 2nd Half

Yes No
3 1.364

2nd Half Goals Odd/Even

Odd Even
1.909 1.8

Both Teams to Score 1st Half – 2nd Half

Yes / Yes Yes / No No / Yes No / No
13 5.5 3.6 1.667

Asian Handicap

Real Madrid -0.75 Napoli 0.75
1.91 1.99

Goal Line

Over 2.75 Under 2.75
1.89 2.01

1st Half Goal Line

Over 1.25 Under 1.25
2.125 1.75

1st Half Asian Handicap

Real Madrid -0.25 Napoli 0.25
1.85 2

Alternative Asian Handicap

Real Madrid -2.50 Napoli 2.50 Real Madrid -2.25 Napoli 2.25 Real Madrid -2.00 Napoli 2.00 Real Madrid -1.75 Napoli 1.75
5.5 1.15 5 1.17 4.5 1.19 3.45 1.3

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Real Madrid -1.50 Napoli 1.50 Real Madrid -1.25 Napoli 1.25 Real Madrid -1.00 Napoli 1.00 Real Madrid -0.50 Napoli 0.50
2.75 1.425 2.425 1.525 2.15 1.675 1.675 2.15

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Real Madrid -0.25 Napoli 0.25 Real Madrid 0.00 Napoli 0.00 Real Madrid 0.25 Napoli -0.25 Real Madrid 0.50 Napoli -0.50
1.5 2.5 1.3 3.45 1.25 3.8 1.21 4.25

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Real Madrid 0.75 Napoli -0.75
1.14 5.75

Alternative Goal Line

Over 1.25 Under 1.25 Over 1.50 Under 1.50 Over 1.75 Under 1.75 Over 2.00 Under 2.00
1.125 6 1.21 4.25 1.25 3.8 1.3 3.45

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 2.25 Under 2.25 Over 2.50 Under 2.50 Over 3.00 Under 3.00 Over 3.25 Under 3.25
1.475 2.6 1.675 2.15 2.1 1.7 2.375 1.55

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 3.50 Under 3.50 Over 3.75 Under 3.75 Over 4.00 Under 4.00 Over 4.25 Under 4.25
2.675 1.45 3.1 1.35 4.1 1.225 4.4 1.2

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 4.50 Under 4.50 Over 4.75 Under 4.75
4.8 1.175 6.25 1.12

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap

Real Madrid -1.50 Napoli 1.50 Real Madrid -1.25 Napoli 1.25 Real Madrid -1.00 Napoli 1.00 Real Madrid -0.75 Napoli 0.75
6 1.125 5.5 1.15 4.4 1.2 2.85 1.4

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Real Madrid -0.50 Napoli 0.50 Real Madrid 0.00 Napoli 0.00 Real Madrid 0.25 Napoli -0.25 Real Madrid 0.50 Napoli -0.50
2.25 1.625 1.4 2.85 1.26 3.7 1.19 4.5

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Real Madrid 0.75 Napoli -0.75
1.11 6.6

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line

Over 0.75 Under 0.75 Over 1.00 Under 1.00 Over 1.50 Under 1.50 Over 1.75 Under 1.75
1.425 2.75 1.65 2.2 2.5 1.5 3.1 1.35

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 2.00 Under 2.00 Over 2.25 Under 2.25 Over 2.50 Under 2.50
4.65 1.18 5.5 1.15 6 1.125
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