Prediction: Toulouse vs Liverpool – Europa League – Nov 9, 2023
Liverpool will travel to Stadium Municipal on Thursday evening to face Toulouse in Europa League Group E action. With a victory, Liverpool can assure themselves of a top-two finish and knockout round playoff spot with two matches still to play. The Reds ran rampant over Toulouse just two weeks ago, crushing the French side 5-1 at Anfield. Liverpool sits atop Group E with a perfect 9 points through three matches. Toulouse is third in the group with 4 points.
Toulouse qualified for the Europa League after winning the Coupe de France last season. However, they were on the wrong end of a 5-1 drubbing at Anfield in their last Europa League match. Liverpool forward Diogo Jota opened the scoring early, but Toulouse shockingly equalized through Thijs Dallinga. Further goals from Wataru Endo, Darwin Nunez, Mohamed Salah and Ryan Gravenberch turned Toulouse’s Anfield dream into a nightmare. It was Toulouse’s first European loss this season after a draw with Union SG and victory over LASK Linz.
The heavy defeat at Liverpool started a concerning slide for Toulouse. Just three days later, they fell 3-0 to Montpellier in Ligue 1 play. This past Sunday, newly-promoted Le Havre stunned Toulouse 2-0 at home, snapping their seven-match unbeaten streak at Stadium Municipal. Toulouse is now winless across all competitions in their last five matches dating back to their October 6 victory over LASK. Confidence will be low heading into Thursday’s monumental clash with Liverpool.
Liverpool is one of only three teams, along with Bayer Leverkusen and Roma, to have a 100% record in the Europa League through three matches. The Reds are on the cusp of clinching a knockout round spot with a win on Thursday. Even a draw would put Liverpool in an excellent position to advance. However, Liverpool’s domestic form has recently wavered. In their last away Europa League match, Liverpool embarrassed Ajax 3-0 in Amsterdam. But this past weekend, newly-promoted Luton Town held the Reds to a frustrating 1-1 draw.
Liverpool failed to break down Luton’s defense, a worrying sign ahead of facing a Toulouse side that will likely sit back and defend in numbers. The draw ended Liverpool’s four-match winning run across all competitions. It was also the fourth straight away match in France in which Liverpool has failed to record a victory. Recent history favors the Reds though. Liverpool has won all three of its previous meetings with Toulouse, including a 1-0 away win in 2007 Champions League qualifying on their last visit to Stadium Municipal.
Injury-wise, Liverpool continue to miss the services of Thiago Alcantara, Andrew Robertson, Curtis Jones and Stefan Bajcetic amongst others. Toulouse are dealing with the absence of key winger Zakaria Aboukhlal, while Denis Genreau and Oliver Zanden are also sidelined. The majority of the Toulouse squad that was hammered at Anfield started this past weekend’s loss to Le Havre. Manager Philippe Montanier may opt for a more attacking approach this time, with Frank Magri potentially coming into the midfield.
For Liverpool, Jurgen Klopp is likely to heavily rotate his squad from the weekend draw. Players like Caoimhin Kelleher, Harvey Elliott and matchday three hero Wataru Endo are in line to start. Luis Diaz could also feature after returning from compassionate leave, but it remains to be seen if he is in the right frame of mind after his parents’ horrifying ordeal in Colombia.
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This match represents a chance for Liverpool to officially secure knockout round qualification with two games to spare. For reeling Toulouse, it is an opportunity to show that the 5-1 thrashing at Anfield was an aberration and regain some European pride on home soil. Liverpool are deserved favorites based on quality and recent results between the clubs. But Toulouse have proven they can raise their game in cup competitions and will be motivated to bounce back from recent defeats. An early Liverpool goal could open the floodgates, but expect the French side to be organized and try to keep the match tight early on. This clash will serve as an excellent litmus test for both clubs.
Prediction:
Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Toulouse 1-3 Liverpool. Despite Toulouse’s potential to surprise, Liverpool’s quality and depth, even amidst injuries, make them favorites to continue their winning streak in Europe.
Additional Betting Insights:
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Over/Under 2.5 Full Time: Over 2.5
Hot Stat: Liverpool have won all three previous meetings with Toulouse.
(Odds are taken from bet365 and are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.T&Cs apply, 18+)
109 average Markets available for Toulouse v Liverpool
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