Prediction: Alaves vs Almeria – La Liga – Nov 5, 2023

Newly-promoted Alaves host rock-bottom Almeria on November 5, 2023 in a crucial La Liga match between two relegation battlers. The match at Mendizorrotza Stadium pits 17th placed Alaves, desperate to extend their three-point buffer over the drop zone, against Almeria still searching for their first victory after 11 matches.

Analysis:

Alaves have found wins hard to come by, with just two victories in their opening 11 league games. However, there are encouraging signs for Luis Garcia’s side, who have lost just twice in their last five matches, including hard-fought draws with Celta Vigo, Real Betis and Villarreal. Alaves were narrowly defeated 2-1 by Atletico Madrid last time out, but will be buoyed by their 10-0 Copa del Rey thrashing of Deportivo Murcia in midweek. Returning to their Mendizorrotza fortress, where 7 of their 9 points have come this season, provides hope of ending their seven-game La Liga winless run.

In contrast, Almeria’s search for a first win this La Liga season remains elusive. New manager Gaizka Garitano has been unable to spark an uptick in form, with defeats in his first two league games in charge. The 2-1 home loss to Las Palmas encapsulated Almeria’s struggles, despite a more encouraging 2-0 Copa del Rey victory over fourth-tier Talavera. On the road this season, Almeria have conceded 3+ goals in all three defeats, pointing to ongoing defensive frailties Garitano has yet to rectify.

AD:

Alaves’ Jon Karrikaburu, fresh off a hat-trick against Murica, is expected to lead the line. Almeria will look to Belgian youngster Largie Ramazani, who has scored in their last two matches, to break the deadlock.

Prediction:

Playing at home against the league’s basement side represents Alaves’ best opportunity to date to snap their winless run. Almeria have shown little sign of reversing their fortunes and their porous defense remains a major weakness.

Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Alaves 2-1 Almeria

Alaves’s need for a victory should power them past an Almeria side still searching for answers. Both teams to score looks likely given Almeria’s propensity for conceding goals. Over 2.5 goals is also a good bet, with 8 of Almeria’s last 9 league matches producing 3 or more goals.

(Odds are taken from bet365 and are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.T&Cs apply, 18+)

74 average Markets available for CD Alaves v Almeria

Full Time Result

Home Win	Draw	Away Win
1.833	3.6	4.2

Half Time/Full Time

CD Alaves – CD Alaves	CD Alaves – Draw	CD Alaves – Almeria	Draw – CD Alaves	Draw – Draw	Draw – Almeria	Almeria – CD Alaves	Almeria – Draw
3	15	34	4.75	5.5	9	23	15

Half Time/Full Time (cont.)

Almeria – Almeria
7

Correct Score

CD Alaves #7-0	CD Alaves #2-0	CD Alaves #3-2	CD Alaves #4-0	CD Alaves #3-0	CD Alaves #4-3	CD Alaves #6-0	CD Alaves #4-2
501	8.5	26	29	15	101	151	51

Correct Score (cont.)

CD Alaves #5-3	CD Alaves #1-0	CD Alaves #4-1	CD Alaves #5-0	CD Alaves #6-2	CD Alaves #5-1	CD Alaves #5-2	CD Alaves #2-1
201	7	29	51	251	51	101	8.5

Correct Score (cont.)

CD Alaves #3-1	CD Alaves #6-1	CD Alaves #7-1	Draw #2-2	Draw #1-1	Draw #3-3	Draw #4-4	Draw #0-0
15	151	501	15	7	51	251	10

Correct Score (cont.)

Almeria #4-2	Almeria #4-3	Almeria #5-0	Almeria #5-3	Almeria #5-1	Almeria #1-0	Almeria #3-0	Almeria #2-0
81	151	401	501	251	12	41	21

Correct Score (cont.)

Almeria #2-1	Almeria #4-1	Almeria #3-2	Almeria #5-2	Almeria #3-1	Almeria #4-0
15	81	41	301	34	101

Winning Margin

CD Alaves by 1	Almeria by 1	CD Alaves by 2	Almeria by 2	CD Alaves by 3	Almeria by 3	CD Alaves by 4+	Almeria by 4+
3.75	6	5.5	13	10	34	17	67

Winning Margin (cont.)

Score Draw	No Goal
4.75	10

Handicap Result

CD Alaves (-1) -1.00	Tie – (Almeria +1) 1.00	Almeria (+1) 1.00
3.25	3.75	1.909

Total Goals

Under 2.50	Over 2.50
1.85	1.95

First Team to Score

CD Alaves	No Goals	Almeria
1.533	10	2.75

Half-Time

CD Alaves	Draw	Almeria
2.5	2.2	4.75

Total Goal Minutes

Over 140 minutes	120 To 140 minutes inc.	Under 120 minutes
2.2	9	1.833

Total Goals Odd/Even

Even	Odd
1.9	1.95

Double Chance

CD Alaves or Draw	Draw or Almeria	CD Alaves or Almeria
1.222	1.909	1.286

Team Total Goals

CD Alaves Over 0.50	CD Alaves Under 0.50	CD Alaves Over 1.50	CD Alaves Under 1.50	CD Alaves Over 2.50	CD Alaves Under 2.50	CD Alaves Over 3.50	CD Alaves Under 3.50
1.182	4.5	1.833	1.833	4	1.222	10	1.063

Team Total Goals (cont.)

CD Alaves Over 4.50	CD Alaves Under 4.50	CD Alaves Over 5.50	CD Alaves Under 5.50	Almeria Over 0.50	Almeria Under 0.50	Almeria Over 1.50	Almeria Under 1.50
23	1.012	51	1.002	1.5	2.5	3.5	1.286

Team Total Goals (cont.)

Almeria Over 2.50	Almeria Under 2.50	Almeria Over 3.50	Almeria Under 3.50
11	1.05	29	1.007

Both Teams to Score

Yes	No
1.8	1.95

Alternative Total Goals

Over 0.50	Under 0.50	Over 1.50	Under 1.50	Over 3.50	Under 3.50	Over 4.50	Under 4.50
1.063	10	1.3	3.5	3.4	1.333	6.5	1.111

Alternative Total Goals (cont.)

Over 5.50	Under 5.50	Over 6.50	Under 6.50
13	1.04	26	1.01

Exact Total Goals

0 Goals	1 Goal	2 Goals	3 Goals	4 Goals	5 Goals	6 Goals	7+ Goals
10	4.75	3.6	4	6	11	23	26

Alternative Handicap Result

CD Alaves -3.00	Tie – Almeria 3.00	Almeria 3.00	CD Alaves -2.00	Tie – Almeria 2.00	Almeria 2.00	CD Alaves 1.00	Tie – Almeria -1.00
17	10	1.091	7	5.5	1.333	1.222	6

Alternative Handicap Result (cont.)

Almeria -1.00	CD Alaves 2.00	Tie – Almeria -2.00	Almeria -2.00
10	1.05	13	26

Exact 1st Half Goals

0 Goals	1 Goal	2 Goals	3 Goals	4 Goals	5+ Goals
2.75	2.5	4.333	10	29	67

1st Half Goals Odd/Even

Odd	Even
2.1	1.727

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result

CD Alaves -3.00	Tie – Almeria 3.00	Almeria 3.00	CD Alaves -2.00	Tie – Almeria 2.00	Almeria 2.00	CD Alaves 1.00	Tie – Almeria -1.00
67	29	1.015	26	9	1.071	1.182	5

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result (cont.)

Almeria -1.00
17

2nd Half Result

CD Alaves	Draw	Almeria
2.1	2.5	4

2nd Half Goals

Over 0.50	Under 0.50	Over 1.50	Under 1.50	Over 2.50	Under 2.50	Over 3.50	Under 3.50
1.222	4	2.1	1.667	4.5	1.182	13	1.04

Clean Sheet

CD Alaves – Yes	CD Alaves – No	Almeria – Yes	Almeria – No
2.5	1.5	4.5	1.182

Teams to Score

Both Teams	CD Alaves Only	No Goal	Almeria Only
1.8	3	10	7

Result / Total Goals

CD Alaves & Over 2.50	CD Alaves & Under 2.50	Draw & Over 2.50	Draw & Under 2.50	Almeria & Over 2.50	Almeria & Under 2.50
3	4	13	4.5	7	8

Time of 1st Team Goal

CD Alaves – Goal before 45:00	CD Alaves – No Goal before 45:00
1.833	1.833

Time of 1st Team Goal

Almeria – Goal before 71:00	Almeria – No Goal before 71:00
1.833	1.833

1st Goal Method

Shot	Header	Penalty	Free Kick	Own Goal	No Goal
1.5	6.5	7.5	23	29	10

To Win From Behind

CD Alaves to win from behind	Almeria to win from behind
9	17

To Win to Nil

CD Alaves to win to nil	Almeria to win to nil
3	7

To Win Either Half

CD Alaves to win either half	Almeria to win either half
1.5	2.5

To Win Both Halves

CD Alaves to win both halves	Almeria to win both halves
5.5	17

To Score in Both Halves

CD Alaves to score in both halves	Almeria to score in both halves
3	6

To Score a Penalty

CD Alaves to score a penalty	Almeria to score a penalty
5.5	8

To Miss a Penalty

CD Alaves to miss a penalty	Almeria to miss a penalty
17	23

10 Minute Result

CD Alaves	Draw	Almeria
7	1.143	10

Goals in First 10 Minutes

Over 0.50	Under 0.50
5	1.167

Exact 2nd Half Goals

0 Goals	1 Goal	2 Goals	3 Goals	4 Goals	5+ Goals
4	2.75	3.6	7	17	29

Half Time Double Chance

CD Alaves or Draw	Draw or Almeria	CD Alaves or Almeria
1.182	1.5	1.615

Early Goal

Goal before 30:00	No Goal before 30:00
1.833	1.833

Late Goal

Goal after 75:59	No Goal after 75:59
1.833	1.833

Last Team to Score

CD Alaves	No Goal	Almeria
1.533	10	2.75

Number of Goals in Match

Under 2 goals	2 or 3 goals	Over 3 goals
3.5	1.952	3.4

Half with Most Goals

1st Half	2nd Half	Tie
3.1	2.05	3.5

First Half Goals

Over 0.50	Under 0.50	Over 1.50	Under 1.50	Over 2.50	Under 2.50	Over 3.50	Under 3.50
1.4	2.75	2.75	1.4	8	1.083	23	1.012

Half Time Correct Score

CD Alaves #2-1	CD Alaves #3-0	CD Alaves #2-0	CD Alaves #4-0	CD Alaves #1-0	CD Alaves #5-0	CD Alaves #3-1	CD Alaves #3-2
21	34	10	101	3.75	451	51	151

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

CD Alaves #4-1	Draw #0-0	Draw #1-1	Draw #2-2	Almeria #2-1	Almeria #3-0	Almeria #2-0	Almeria #1-0
151	2.75	8	51	29	81	23	6

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

Almeria #3-1	Almeria #3-2	Almeria #4-0
101	201	451

Time of First Goal Brackets

1-10	11-20	21-30	31-40	41-50	51-60	61-70	71-80
5	5	6	7	8	12	15	19

Time of First Goal Brackets (cont.)

81 – Full Time	No Goal
19	10

Draw No Bet

CD Alaves	Almeria
1.364	3

1st Half – Handicap

CD Alaves -1.00	Tie – Almeria 1.00	Almeria 1.00
7	3.25	1.5

Result/Both Teams to Score

CD Alaves & Yes	CD Alaves & No	Almeria & Yes	Almeria & No	Draw & Yes	Draw & No
4	3	8	7	4.75	10

Total Goals/Both Teams to Score

Over 2.5 & Yes	Over 2.5 & No	Under 2.5 & Yes	Under 2.5 & No
2.3	8.5	7	2.3

Home Team Odd/Even Goals

CD Alaves – Even	CD Alaves – Odd
1.8	1.909

Away Team Odd/Even Goals

Almeria – Even	Almeria – Odd
1.667	2.1

Home Team Exact Goals

CD Alaves – 0 Goals	CD Alaves – 1 Goal	CD Alaves – 2 Goals	CD Alaves – 3+ Goals
4.5	2.875	3.4	4

Away Team Exact Goals

Almeria – 0 Goals	Almeria – 1 Goal	Almeria – 2 Goals	Almeria – 3+ Goals
2.5	2.4	4.75	11

Home Team Highest Scoring Half

CD Alaves – 1st Half	CD Alaves – 2nd Half	CD Alaves – Tie
3.4	2.3	2.6

Away Team Highest Scoring Half

Almeria – 1st Half	Almeria – 2nd Half	Almeria – Tie
4	2.875	1.952

Home Team to Score in 1st Half

CD Alaves – Yes	CD Alaves – No
1.833	1.833

Away Team to Score in 1st Half

Almeria – Yes	Almeria – No
2.625	1.444

Both Teams to Score in 1st Half

Yes	No
5	1.167

Half Time Result/Both Teams to Score

CD Alaves & Yes	CD Alaves & No	Draw & Yes	Draw & No	Almeria & Yes	Almeria & No
17	2.75	8	2.75	26	5

Half Time Result/Total Goals

CD Alaves & Over 1.5	CD Alaves & Under 1.5	Draw & Over 1.5	Draw & Under 1.5	Almeria & Over 1.5	Almeria & Under 1.5
6	3.75	8	2.75	13	6

Home Team to Score in 2nd Half

CD Alaves – Yes	CD Alaves – No
1.571	2.25

Away Team to Score in 2nd Half

Almeria – Yes	Almeria – No
2.1	1.667

Both Teams to Score in 2nd Half

Yes	No
3.5	1.286

2nd Half Goals Odd/Even

Odd	Even
1.909	1.8

Both Teams to Score 1st Half – 2nd Half

Yes / Yes	Yes / No	No / Yes	No / No
17	6	4	1.533

Asian Handicap

CD Alaves -0.50	Almeria 0.50
1.87	2.03

Goal Line

Over 2.50	Under 2.50
2	1.9

1st Half Goal Line

Over 1.00	Under 1.00
1.925	1.925

1st Half Asian Handicap

CD Alaves -0.25	Almeria 0.25
2.025	1.825

Alternative Asian Handicap

CD Alaves -2.50	Almeria 2.50	CD Alaves -2.25	Almeria 2.25	CD Alaves -2.00	Almeria 2.00	CD Alaves -1.75	Almeria 1.75
7	1.1	6.6	1.11	6	1.125	4.1	1.225

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

CD Alaves -1.50	Almeria 1.50	CD Alaves -1.25	Almeria 1.25	CD Alaves -1.00	Almeria 1.00	CD Alaves -0.75	Almeria 0.75
3.3	1.325	2.85	1.4	2.5	1.5	2.075	1.725

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

CD Alaves -0.25	Almeria 0.25	CD Alaves 0.00	Almeria 0.00	CD Alaves 0.25	Almeria -0.25	CD Alaves 0.50	Almeria -0.50
1.6	2.3	1.375	3	1.3	3.45	1.24	3.9

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

CD Alaves 0.75	Almeria -0.75
1.15	5.5

Alternative Goal Line

Over 1.25	Under 1.25	Over 1.50	Under 1.50	Over 1.75	Under 1.75	Over 2.00	Under 2.00
1.18	4.65	1.3	3.45	1.35	3.1	1.45	2.675

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Over 2.25	Under 2.25	Over 2.75	Under 2.75	Over 3.00	Under 3.00	Over 3.25	Under 3.25
1.7	2.1	2.2	1.65	2.6	1.475	3	1.375

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Over 3.50	Under 3.50	Over 3.75	Under 3.75	Over 4.00	Under 4.00	Over 4.25	Under 4.25
3.3	1.325	4.1	1.225	5.75	1.14	6	1.125

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Over 4.50	Under 4.50
6.6	1.11

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap

CD Alaves -1.25	Almeria 1.25	CD Alaves -1.00	Almeria 1.00	CD Alaves -0.75	Almeria 0.75	CD Alaves -0.50	Almeria 0.50
6.4	1.115	5.75	1.14	3.3	1.325	2.425	1.525

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

CD Alaves 0.00	Almeria 0.00	CD Alaves 0.25	Almeria -0.25	CD Alaves 0.50	Almeria -0.50	CD Alaves 0.75	Almeria -0.75
1.45	2.675	1.275	3.55	1.2	4.4	1.115	6.4

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line

Over 0.75	Under 0.75	Over 1.25	Under 1.25	Over 1.50	Under 1.50	Over 1.75	Under 1.75
1.55	2.375	2.375	1.55	2.85	1.4	3.7	1.26

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line (cont.)

Over 2.00	Under 2.00	Over 2.25	Under 2.25
6.25	1.12	6.8	1.105

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