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Azerbaijan and Austria are set to clash in a pivotal European Championship Qualifying (ECQ) match with significant implications for both teams. This crucial fixture will take place at the Tofiq Bahramov Stadium on October 16, 2023. Austria has the opportunity to secure their place in Euro 2024, while Azerbaijan must win by at least three goals to keep their hopes of a top-two finish alive.

Analysis: Azerbaijan: As the hosts, Azerbaijan faces a challenging task to secure a top-two finish in Group F. They recently registered their first win in the group against Estonia, which could boost their confidence. However, their overall form in this qualifying campaign has been underwhelming, with one draw and three losses in their first four games.

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Azerbaijan’s home form in ECQs has been uninspiring, with three draws and five losses in their last eight home matches. Additionally, their previous head-to-head (H2H) record against Austria points to potential difficulties, as they have lost all three previous ECQ encounters, each with a three-goal margin, including a 4-1 defeat in the reverse fixture earlier in this campaign.

Emin Mahmudov is a key player for Azerbaijan, but he enters this match with concerns about discipline, having received four yellow cards in his last five games. Azerbaijan has also struggled to keep a clean sheet, having conceded the opening goal in their last seven home ECQs.

Austria: Austria arrives in Baku with a chance to secure their place in Euro 2024. They are currently three points behind Belgium in Group F and need a win against Azerbaijan or to avoid losing by a significant margin while hoping that Sweden doesn’t beat Belgium. Austria’s form in this qualifying campaign has been decent, with four wins and one loss in their first five matches.

However, their away form has been a concern, with three wins, two draws, and two losses in their last seven away ECQs. Austria’s performance in this crucial match will heavily rely on key players like Marcel Sabitzer, who played a pivotal role in their 4-1 win against Azerbaijan earlier in the campaign.

Prediction: In this encounter, Austria appears to have the upper hand. They have a strong chance to secure their qualification for Euro 2024, and even a defeat could see them progress, depending on other results. Azerbaijan’s recent form and their history against Austria in ECQs suggest they might struggle to secure a victory by a three-goal margin.

Goal.mu predicts: Azerbaijan 0-2 Austria

Other Betting Markets Predictions:

1. Both Teams to Score: No – Azerbaijan’s recent defensive struggles make it unlikely that both teams will score.
2. Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Full Time: Under 2.5 Goals – Given the importance of this match for Austria, they may play defensively to secure the win they need, resulting in fewer goals.
3. Correct Score: Azerbaijan 0-2 Austria – Austria is expected to win by a comfortable margin.

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