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Prediction: Napoli vs. Real Madrid – Champions League – October 3, 2023

In a promising European night, Napoli hosts Real Madrid, two football giants who are set to lock horns in what promises to be one of the standout group stage matches in the Champions League. The action will unfold at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on October 3, 2023, at 8pm UK time. This clash sees the Italian champions taking on a side with an illustrious European history, having won the competition 14 times.

Analysis:

Napoli:
Coming off a dominating 4-0 victory over Lecce, Napoli’s recent form in Serie A, though imperfect, has shown glimpses of their potential. Their most recent win propelled them to 14 points from seven games, currently third in Serie A, and four points shy of leaders, Inter Milan. Managed by Rudi Garcia, Napoli’s recent performances also extend to Europe, highlighted by their 2-1 triumph over Braga. Despite Braga’s late equaliser, an 88th-minute own goal assured Napoli’s victorious start to the Champions League.

It’s worth noting Napoli’s recent Champions League journey. Last season, they reached the quarter-finals, their best-ever performance in the tournament. With this memory fresh, the team will undoubtedly be motivated to progress further this season. Their previous encounter with Real Madrid in the 2016-17 round of 16 didn’t end well for the Italian side, with Real clinching the tie 6-2 on aggregate.

On the injury front, Napoli faces challenges. Crucial first-team players Juan Jesus, Amir Rrahmani, and Pierluigi Gollini are ruled out. The absence of Jesus and Rrahmani might affect their defensive solidity. However, the return of goal-machine Victor Osimhen, accompanied by Matteo Politano, bolsters their attack.

Real Madrid:
Real Madrid, the team with a staggering 14 European Cups to their name, have also been on a winning streak in La Liga. Barring a blip against city rivals Atletico Madrid, Carlo Ancelotti’s side has been impeccable, standing atop the La Liga table. Their response to the Atletico defeat, victories against Las Palmas and Girona without conceding, speaks volumes of their resilience.

Their Champions League campaign opener against Union Berlin was a nail-biter, with Jude Bellingham’s 94th-minute strike ensuring all three points for Los Blancos. Historically, Real Madrid has been dominant against Serie A teams, with victories in 14 of their last 15 games against Italian opposition. However, their away form in Europe could be a cause for concern, having won only seven of their last 23 away games in the Champions League.

In terms of squad availability, Eder Militao, Thibaut Courtois, and Arda Guler are out, while David Alaba’s participation remains doubtful. Ancelotti will have to make key decisions, especially regarding the inclusion of stalwarts Luka Modric and Toni Kroos.

AD:

Prediction:

Considering the form, past performances, and current squad situations, this contest looks poised to be closely fought. Napoli has the home advantage and a slightly better recent form, while Real Madrid boasts European experience and pedigree.

Taking all these factors into account, Goal.mu predicts: Napoli 2-2 Real Madrid. Napoli’s strong home record, coupled with Real Madrid’s formidable attacking prowess, hints at a goal fest. Both teams have showcased their scoring abilities in recent games and have equally notable defensive lapses. This prediction is further supported by the fact that both teams have been on a scoring spree, and neither conceded in their previous match.

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