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In a decisive battle, Egypt hosts Ethiopia at the 30 June Stadium on Friday, September 8, 2023, at 5pm UK time. As both teams bring their 2023 Africa Cup of Nations qualifying campaign to an end, the seven-time African champions Egypt aim to solidify their group leadership, while Ethiopia strives to salvage pride and exit the campaign with heads held high.

Analysis:

The Pharaohs of Egypt have been in a formidable state recently, with an impressive seven-game winning streak in various competitions. Their recent friendly triumph over South Sudan with a 3-0 scoreline clearly demonstrated their superior firepower, where players like Mostafa Fathy, Kahraba, and Mahmoud Trezeguet showcased their goal-scoring prowess. Despite a surprise 2-0 loss to Ethiopia in their previous encounter in June 2022, the team, under the guidance of Rui Vitoria, has bounced back and firmly established themselves at the pinnacle of Group D, accumulating 12 points from a possible 15. The Egypt squad is embellished with experienced stalwarts, including the likes of Mohamed El Shenawy and Tarek Hamed. However, the limelight will be missing the star power of Liverpool ace Mohamed Salah, who is sidelined for this fixture, paving the way for Omar Marmoush and Mostafa Mohamed to spearhead the attack.

On the other hand, Ethiopia, also known as the Wali Ibex, have been underwhelming in their recent performances. Despite a morale-boosting 2-0 victory over Guyana in their last friendly, their journey in the AFCON qualifiers has been less than stellar. Currently stationed at the bottom of Group D, they’ve managed to secure just four points from a possible 15, indicating their struggle in the campaign. Moreover, their away record has been concerning, with a 12-game winless streak since 2020 which has dampened their spirits. Nonetheless, veteran midfielder Shimelis Bekele, who stood as a beacon of hope in the victory against Guyana with a brace, remains a critical player to watch out for in this fixture.

Given the disparate trajectories of the two teams, it seems like Egypt has a firm ground to claim victory, especially when considering their home advantage and current form. The historical data too leans heavily in favour of the Pharaohs, who have won 11 of their last 17 meetings with Ethiopia, highlighting their traditional dominance.

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Prediction:

Goal.mu predicts: Egypt 3-1 Ethiopia. The Egyptian side appears to be in a commanding position, boasting a potent attacking force and a wealth of experience. Although Ethiopia will fight fiercely, trying to salvage some pride, the Egyptian side seems too strong to be upstaged in this fixture, especially with their impressive current form and home advantage.

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