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In a much-anticipated face-off, Ghana squares up against the Central African Republic for a pivotal clash in the final round of the 2023 Africa Cup of Nations group-stage games. Set to take place at the Baba Yara Sports Stadium on September 7, 2023, at 5 pm UK time, this showdown between Group E leaders Ghana and the third-placed Central African Republic promises nail-biting action as they vie for a coveted place in the Ivory Coast. This high-stakes encounter is heightened by the thin margin of just two points separating the two teams.

Analysis:

Ghana, led by Chris Hughton, comes into this match having demonstrated strong possession stats but struggling with turning opportunities into goals, as evidenced in their recent draw against Madagascar. Despite boasting over 60% ball possession in that outing, their offense lacked the finishing touch, leaving them with a point to show for their efforts. Their recent form indicates a certain vulnerability, having drawn three times in their last four Group E outings, including a 1-1 draw against the Central African Republic in June 2022. However, with nine points from five matches and boasting a home advantage, where they have been on a seven-game winning streak, the Black Stars will be eager to clinch at least a draw, which would secure their 10th straight appearance at the AFCON.

On the other hand, the Central African Republic, under the guidance of Raoul Savoy, has managed to carve out a respectable qualifying campaign, finding themselves just one win away from marking their maiden voyage to the Africa Cup of Nations. Despite a loss to Angola in their opening game, they rallied remarkably, gathering seven points from their next three games. Their offensive firepower has been notably strong, as seen in their consistent goal-scoring spree over the last eight matches. However, their away form raises concerns, with only one win in their last six away fixtures. Louis Mafouta, the team’s prominent forward, will be a key player to watch, currently ranking third in the qualifiers’ scoring charts.

As the teams clash, the home advantage might play a significant role for Ghana, who have won five home matches in a row and remained unbeaten in their last 35 home fixtures. Moreover, their defence seems impenetrable at home this season, not conceding a single goal. Central African Republic, however, shows a dominant first-half performance in their games, which might put Ghana’s defence to the test.

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Prediction:

Goal.mu predicts: Ghana 1-1 Central African Republic

This prediction leans on the strong defensive record of Ghana at home, coupled with the Central African Republic’s proven ability to find the back of the net consistently. Given their previous encounter ended in a draw, and considering the strengths and vulnerabilities of both teams, a draw seems a plausible outcome, with both teams managing to score.

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