🏟️ Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United Prediction, Team News & Betting Tips

Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United close Premier League Gameweek 36 on Monday night with a bottom-half fixture carrying far more tension than the table position suggests. Spurs are trying to complete a late escape act under Roberto De Zerbi, while Leeds could either be mathematically safe before kick-off or confirm their survival with a positive result in North London.

This Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United prediction looks at the key team news, likely lineups, form trends and betting angles ahead of a match that could shape the final days of the relegation battle. ⚽🔥

Match preview

Tottenham Hotspur: De Zerbi’s gamble beginning to pay off

Tottenham’s season has been chaotic, but there is finally a sense of direction. The appointment of Roberto De Zerbi looked like a risk given the club’s desperate league position, yet the early signs are encouraging.

Spurs have taken significant momentum from back-to-back wins in the West Midlands. After finally claiming their first Premier League victory of 2026 away at Wolverhampton Wanderers, they followed it with a valuable 2-1 success at Aston Villa, where Conor Gallagher and Richarlison struck early to set the tone.

Those results have given Tottenham control of their own destiny. They begin the weekend 17th, one point above West Ham United, and could be four points clear of the relegation zone with two games remaining if results fall kindly and they beat Leeds.

There is still a glaring concern: Tottenham’s home form. Spurs have collected only 11 points from 17 league matches at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium this season, an extraordinary weakness for a club of their profile.

Yet De Zerbi’s impact is visible in the data and on the pitch. Tottenham are pressing higher, winning the ball back more aggressively and showing more conviction in advanced areas. Under their new head coach, they are averaging 5.3 final-third possession wins per match, the highest figure of any Premier League manager with four or more games in charge this season.

The question now is whether Spurs can turn tactical progress into home authority. A third straight league win would be their first such run of the campaign — and at this stage, it could be priceless. 🏟️

Leeds United: Safety within touching distance

Leeds United have been trending in the right direction for months, not merely weeks. Daniel Farke’s side now sit seven points clear of West Ham with three matches remaining and could be safe before they even walk out in North London if Arsenal beat the Hammers on Sunday.

Even if that does not happen, Leeds know they only need to match or better West Ham’s result to secure survival. Their position is strong: no Premier League team has ever been relegated with 43 points, and the Whites have taken 10 points from their last four league matches.

Their latest result was a mature 3-1 win over relegated Burnley. Anton Stach, Noah Okafor and Dominic Calvert-Lewin were on target, helping Leeds extend their unbeaten Premier League run to six matches.

The away record is unusual but useful. Leeds are unbeaten in their last six league games on the road, but too many of those matches have ended level. They have drawn eight of their last 10 away fixtures in the Premier League, which explains why safety has not already been rubber-stamped.

The major setback is Okafor’s injury. The Swiss attacker has been one of Leeds’ most decisive players in recent weeks, producing seven goal involvements in his last seven league appearances. Losing that directness and finishing touch is a significant blow.

Farke will still trust his structure. Leeds have become harder to beat, more composed in midfield and more disciplined away from home. Against a Spurs side under survival pressure, their ability to frustrate and counter could make this a nervy night for the hosts. 📊

Form guide 📊

Tottenham Hotspur Premier League form:
Improving sharply after back-to-back wins

Tottenham Hotspur form (all competitions):
Better under De Zerbi, but still fragile at home

Leeds United Premier League form:
Six-match unbeaten run

Leeds United form (all competitions):
Strong survival push with 10 points from their last four league games

Tottenham have found life under De Zerbi, but their home record remains poor. Leeds are the steadier side on recent form, though Okafor’s absence removes one of their most dangerous attacking weapons.

Team news & predicted lineups 🧤

Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham had concerns over Rodrigo Bentancur and Richarlison after both were forced off against Aston Villa, but the pair are expected to be available for Monday’s game.

Dominic Solanke is unlikely to return in time due to a hamstring problem, while Guglielmo Vicario, Dejan Kulusevski, Wilson Odobert, Ben Davies, Mohammed Kudus, Xavi Simons and Cristian Romero remain sidelined.

James Maddison has been an unused substitute in recent weeks and could make his first appearance of the season from the bench.

Tottenham Hotspur possible starting lineup:
Kinsky; Porro, Danso, Van de Ven, Udogie; Bentancur, Palhinha; Kolo Muani, Gallagher, Tel; Richarlison

Leeds United

Leeds have suffered a major blow with Noah Okafor ruled out for the next two matches due to a calf injury. His recent form had made him one of the most important players in Farke’s attack.

Lukas Nmecha and Brenden Aaronson are the main candidates to replace him, while Gabriel Gudmundsson and Ilia Gruev remain injured. Pascal Struijk could return from a hip issue and may be included if passed fit.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin should continue up front after scoring against Burnley, with Anton Stach and Ao Tanaka offering midfield energy.

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Darlow; Bijol, Struijk, Rodon; Bogle, Stach, Tanaka, Ampadu, Justin; Nmecha, Calvert-Lewin

Key stats & betting angles 🔍

• Tottenham are one point above the relegation zone before the weekend.
• Spurs are chasing three straight Premier League wins for the first time this season.
• Tottenham have collected only 11 points from 17 home league matches.
• Leeds are seven points clear of West Ham with three games remaining.
• Leeds have taken 10 points from their last four Premier League matches.
• The Whites are unbeaten in six league games.
• Leeds have drawn eight of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
• Tottenham have won their last five Premier League meetings with Leeds.
• Noah Okafor is ruled out after seven goal involvements in his last seven league appearances.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United prediction ⚽

This is a difficult game to price emotionally. Tottenham have the greater urgency if West Ham apply pressure before Monday, while Leeds may already be safe depending on Sunday’s result.

De Zerbi has clearly improved Spurs’ intensity and pressing, but their home record is still a major concern. Leeds, meanwhile, have become extremely hard to beat and have turned away draws into a recurring pattern.

Okafor’s absence reduces Leeds’ cutting edge, but Farke’s side should still have enough structure to stay competitive. Tottenham’s recent momentum and home motivation may just edge it, though expect a tight contest rather than a comfortable win.

Likely result: Tottenham Hotspur win
Correct score: 2-1
Best betting angle: Tottenham Draw No Bet / Both Teams to Score

Correct score prediction: Tottenham Hotspur 2–1 Leeds United

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