🏆 Italy vs. Germany: Prediction, Team News & Lineups | Mar 20, 2025

📋 Match Preview

The San Siro Stadium will set the stage for a heavyweight clash as Italy host Germany in the first leg of their UEFA Nations League quarter-final on Thursday, March 20, 2025.

• Germany (League A Group 3 winners) stormed into the knockout rounds, remaining unbeaten.
• Italy (League A Group 2 runners-up) had to settle for second behind France despite an impressive start.

The winner over two legs will qualify for the UEFA Nations League semi-finals and also host the tournament finals this summer.

⚡ Interesting Fact:

Germany’s last competitive away win against Italy came in 1986 under Franz Beckenbauer!

🔍 Team Analysis

🇮🇹 Italy

Despite losing to France in their final group game, Italy had a strong campaign, winning four of their six matches.

Luciano Spalletti has rejuvenated the Azzurri since Euro 2024 disappointment, implementing a tactically aggressive approach.

📊 Current Form:

🏆 Last 5 matches: ✅✅❌✅✅
⚽ Last match: 1-3 vs. France (H)

⭐ Key Players:

• Gianluigi Donnarumma – Italy’s defensive anchor, a big-game performer.
• Nicolo Barella – A dynamic midfielder, key to Italy’s pressing game.
• Davide Frattesi – Scored three times in the Nations League group stage.

🚑 Injuries & Suspensions:

❌ Federico Dimarco (injured)
❓ Andrea Cambiaso (doubtful)

✅ Cesare Casadei could earn his first senior cap.

🏟 Home Form (Nations League):

✅ Wins: 5 | 🤝 Draws: 1 | ❌ Losses: 1

Italy haven’t beaten Germany in their last six meetings.

🇩🇪 Germany

Germany dominated their group, finishing ahead of the Netherlands and Hungary.

Under Julian Nagelsmann, Germany’s attacking output has been outstanding, averaging three goals per game in the tournament.

📊 Current Form:

🏆 Last 5 matches: ✅✅✅🤝✅
⚽ Last match: 1-1 vs. Hungary (H)

⭐ Key Players:

• Jamal Musiala – Germany’s most creative attacking force.
• Joshua Kimmich – Set to win his 98th cap, controls midfield.
• Leroy Sané – A direct goal threat, key in counter-attacks.

🚑 Injuries & Suspensions:

❌ Kai Havertz, Benjamin Henrichs, Florian Wirtz, Marc-André ter Stegen (all injured)

✅ Leon Goretzka recalled.

🚀 Away Form (Nations League):

✅ Wins: 3 | 🤝 Draws: 2 | ❌ Losses: 1

Germany haven’t won in Italy since 1986.

⚔️ Head-to-Head & Past Encounters

✅ Italy 1-1 Germany – June 2022 (Nations League)
✅ Germany 5-2 Italy – June 2022 (Nations League)

🔹 Key Stats:

• Italy have failed to win their last six meetings with Germany.
• Germany have scored 3+ goals in four of their last six matches.
• Italy haven’t scored in the first half of their last five meetings with Germany.

🎯 Prediction (Goal.mu/Mauri.bet)

⚽ Prediction: Italy 1-2 Germany

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Germany’s firepower and unbeaten form make them slight favourites, but Italy’s defensive resilience means it will be tight.

💰 Betting Tips

📌 Both Teams to Score: Yes ✅

• Germany have scored in 11 of their last 12 games.

📌 Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals ✅

• Italy have conceded 5 goals in their last 3 home matches.

📌 First Goal Scorer: Jamal Musiala ✅

• Musiala has been Germany’s most consistent attacking player.

📌 Half-Time Result: Draw (0-0) ✅

• Italy have not scored before half-time in their last five matches against Germany.

🏆 Possible Lineups

🇮🇹 Italy (3-5-2):

🧤 Donnarumma
🛡️ Di Lorenzo – Buongiorno – Bastoni
⚡ Cambiaso – Frattesi – Rovella – Tonali – Udogie
🔥 Barella
🎯 Retegui

🇩🇪 Germany (4-2-3-1):

🧤 Nubel
🛡️ Kimmich – Rudiger – Schlotterbeck – Mittelstadt
⚡ Andrich – Gross
🔥 Sané – Musiala – Adeyemi
🎯 Kleindienst

📅 Match Details

📅 Match Date: March 20, 2025
🏟 Venue: San Siro, Milan
⏰ Kickoff Time: 7:45 PM UK Time

🔍 Final Verdict:

Italy’s defensive solidity meets Germany’s free-flowing attack in what promises to be an epic Nations League quarter-final.

Can Italy finally beat Germany, or will Nagelsmann’s side continue their dominance?

🔥 Drop your predictions below!

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