Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid – Prediction, Team News & Lineups | Mar 4, 2025
One of the fiercest rivalries in European football takes centre stage as Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid collide in the Champions League Round of 16 at the Santiago Bernabéu.
Los Blancos had to overcome Manchester City in the playoffs to reach this stage, while Atletico Madrid secured their place comfortably in the top five of the league phase.
With historical dominance over their city rivals in Europe, Real Madrid will look to extend their Champions League knockout streak against Atletico, who are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions.
⚡ Interesting Fact:
Real Madrid have eliminated Atletico Madrid five times in the Champions League knockout stages.
🧐 Team Analysis
🤍 Real Madrid
🏆 Champions League Record: 15-time winners, defending champions
📊 Current Form: W4, D1, L1 (Last 6)
⚽ Last Match: 1-2 loss vs Real Betis (La Liga)
🔥 Key Players to Watch:
- Kylian Mbappe – Hat-trick hero against Man City, a game-changer.
- Vinicius Jr. – Devastating pace and dribbling ability.
- Rodrygo – A clutch performer in UCL knockout stages.
🚑 Injuries & Suspensions:
❌ Jude Bellingham (Suspended)
❌ Eder Militao (Knee)
❌ Dani Carvajal (Knee)
❌ Dani Ceballos (Hamstring)
❌ Jesus Vallejo (Hamstring)
🔄 Federico Valverde (Doubtful, could play at right-back)
🏟 Home Record (Champions League 2024/25):
📌 Played: 5 | ✅ Wins: 4 | 🤝 Draws: 1 | ❌ Losses: 0
🔴 Atletico Madrid
📊 Current Form: W6, D4 (Last 10)
⚽ Last Match: 1-0 win vs Athletic Bilbao (La Liga)
🔥 Key Players to Watch:
- Julian Alvarez – 6 UCL goals this season, decisive in tight games.
- Antoine Griezmann – Atletico’s talisman and playmaker.
- Rodrigo De Paul – A midfield enforcer dictating play.
🚑 Injuries & Suspensions:
❌ Cesar Azpilicueta (Leg)
❌ Koke (Thigh)
🔄 Marcos Llorente (May replace Giuliano Simeone)
🚀 Away Record (Champions League 2024/25):
📌 Played: 4 | ✅ Wins: 2 | 🤝 Draws: 0 | ❌ Losses: 2
📊 Head-to-Head & Past Encounters
🔹 Last 5 Meetings:
🤝 Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid – La Liga (Feb 2025)
🤝 Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid – La Liga (Nov 2024)
🤝 Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid – La Liga (Feb 2024)
✅ Real Madrid 2-1 Atletico Madrid – Supercopa Final (Jan 2024)
✅ Real Madrid 3-1 Atletico Madrid – Champions League (2023)
🔹 Key Stats:
- Real Madrid have won all five of their Champions League knockout ties vs Atletico.
- Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- The last three matches between these sides ended 1-1.
🔮 Prediction
⚽ Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Real Madrid 2-1 Atletico Madrid
Even without Jude Bellingham, Real Madrid’s home advantage and UCL pedigree should give them the upper hand, but Atletico’s resilience means this will be a closely fought battle.
💰 Betting Tips
📌 Both Teams to Score: Yes
✅ The last nine Real Madrid UCL home matches have seen both teams score.
📌 Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
✅ Real Madrid have scored at least two goals in 8 of their last 9 home UCL games.
📌 Anytime Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe
✅ Scored five goals in his last four UCL appearances.
📌 Half-Time Result: Draw (1-1)
✅ The last three Madrid derbies have all been level at HT.
📝 Possible Lineups
🤍 Real Madrid (4-2-3-1):
🧤 Courtois
🛡️ Valverde, Rudiger, Asencio, Mendy
⚡ Tchouameni, Camavinga
🔥 Rodrygo, Diaz, Vinicius Jr.
🎯 Mbappe
🔴 Atletico Madrid (4-4-2):
🧤 Oblak
🛡️ Molina, Le Normand, Gimenez, Galan
⚡ Llorente, De Paul, Barrios, Lino
🔥 Griezmann, Alvarez
📅 Match Details
📅 Match Date: March 4, 2025
🏟 Venue: Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
⏰ Kickoff Time: 8:00 PM UK Time
Final Verdict: Can Atletico Finally Break Their Champions League Curse?
History favours Real Madrid, but Atletico’s current form makes them a serious threat. Can Julian Alvarez and Antoine Griezmann break Atletico’s European curse against their city rivals? Or will Kylian Mbappe step up and continue his Champions League heroics?
Drop your predictions below! 🔥⚽
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