Paris Saint-Germain vs. Brest: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview | Feb 19, 2025
Paris Saint-Germain welcome Brest to the Parc des Princes for the second leg of their UEFA Champions League knockout playoff tie on Wednesday, February 19, 2025, at 20:00 GMT. The Ligue 1 champions hold a commanding 3-0 lead from the first leg, leaving their domestic rivals with an almost impossible mountain to climb.
Interesting Fact: PSG have not lost to Brest in any of their last 31 encounters, dating back to January 1985.
Team Analysis
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG enter this contest with one foot firmly in the last 16, having cruised to a 3-0 victory in the first leg. Ousmane Dembélé was the star of the show, netting twice, while Vitinha converted an early penalty to give Luis Enrique’s side a comfortable advantage.
Currently unbeaten in 18 matches across all competitions, PSG have won 15 of their last 16 outings, including a narrow 1-0 victory over Toulouse at the weekend. With a mix of rested players set to return, the Parisians will be keen to maintain their relentless form at home.
Current Form (Last 5 Matches):
✅ Win – Toulouse 0-1 PSG
✅ Win – Brest 0-3 PSG
✅ Win – Monaco 2-3 PSG
✅ Win – PSG 4-0 Lille
✅ Win – PSG 2-0 Marseille
Key Players:
- Ousmane Dembélé – The winger has been in scintillating form, scoring 18 goals in his last 12 games.
- Vitinha – Dictates the tempo in midfield and scored the opener in the first leg.
- Gianluigi Donnarumma – The goalkeeper remains a crucial presence between the sticks.
Injuries & Suspensions:
- Warren Zaire-Emery (ankle) – Out
- Nuno Mendes (fatigue) – Likely to return
- Joao Neves, Fabian Ruiz, Marquinhos, Dembélé – Rested at the weekend but expected to start
Home Form:
PSG have been dominant at home, unbeaten in their last seven Champions League matches at the Parc des Princes, winning five and drawing two.
Brest
Brest were comfortably beaten in the first leg and now face an almost insurmountable task. Eric Roy’s side have not beaten PSG since 1985 and have never won at the Parc des Princes.
Their form leading up to this fixture has been inconsistent. A 2-2 draw at home to Auxerre at the weekend did little to inspire confidence, and they have lost four of their last five Champions League matches.
Current Form (Last 5 Matches):
➖ Draw – Brest 2-2 Auxerre
❌ Loss – Brest 0-3 PSG
✅ Win – Brest 2-1 Nantes
❌ Loss – Rennes 3-0 Brest
✅ Win – Brest 1-0 Metz
Key Players:
- Abdallah Sima – Brest’s top scorer in the Champions League with three goals.
- Pierre Lees-Melou – The experienced midfielder will be key in controlling the game.
- Marco Bizot – The goalkeeper will need to be at his best to keep PSG at bay.
Injuries & Suspensions:
- Jordan Amavi (hamstring) – Out
- Bradley Locko (Achilles) – Out
- Jonas Martin (muscle), Romain Del Castillo (knee) – Out
- Ibrahim Salah (undisclosed) – Doubtful
Away Form:
Brest have picked up six points from four away games in the Champions League this season, but they are currently on a three-match away losing streak.
Head-to-Head & Past Encounters
- Last meeting: PSG 3-0 Brest (Feb 11, 2025)
- PSG are unbeaten in their last 31 matches against Brest.
- Brest have never won at the Parc des Princes in 18 attempts.
- PSG have outscored Brest 51-16 in their last 20 encounters.
Prediction:
Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Brest
PSG are simply too strong for Brest, and even if Enrique rotates his squad, they should still win comfortably. The visitors are unlikely to create enough chances to mount any real comeback.
Betting Tips:
- Both Teams to Score: No ✅
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 ✅
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ousmane Dembélé ✅
Hot Stat:
Paris Saint-Germain have won 15 of their last 16 matches across all competitions.
Possible Lineups
Paris Saint-Germain (4-3-3):
Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Nuno Mendes; Vitinha, Joao Neves, Fabian Ruiz; Doue, Dembélé, Barcola
Brest (4-3-3):
Bizot; Zogbe, Chardonnet, Coulibaly, Pereira Lage; Lees-Melou, Magnetti, Doumbia; Faivre, Ajorque, Mama Balde
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