Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs. Sporting Lisbon: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview | Feb 19, 2025

Borussia Dortmund will aim to avoid a historic upset as they welcome Sporting Lisbon to Signal Iduna Park for the second leg of their Champions League knockout round play-off. After securing a dominant 3-0 victory in the first leg, the Bundesliga outfit hold a commanding advantage over their Portuguese counterparts.

Sporting, however, have proven their ability to rise to big occasions, having stunned European giants in the past. They will need nothing short of a miraculous comeback to overturn the deficit in front of the famous ‘Yellow Wall.’

Team Analysis

Borussia Dortmund

Current Form (Last 5 Matches):

✅ Win 3-0 vs Sporting Lisbon (UCL)
❌ Loss 0-2 vs Bochum (Bundesliga)
✅ Win 2-1 vs Freiburg (Bundesliga)
➖ Draw 1-1 vs Mainz (Bundesliga)
✅ Win 4-2 vs Heidenheim (Bundesliga)

Dortmund’s inconsistency in the Bundesliga has left them outside the Champions League qualification spots, but their European campaign has been much more promising. The emphatic win in Lisbon showcased their firepower and defensive solidity.

Key Players:

  • Serhou Guirassy – The striker has been a revelation, netting 10 goals in the Champions League so far.
  • Karim Adeyemi – A dynamic winger who thrives in one-on-one situations and scored in the first leg.
  • Pascal Groß – The midfield orchestrator scored in Lisbon and will look to dictate play again.

Injuries & Suspensions:

  • Felix Nmecha (Injured – March return)
  • Ramy Bensebaini (Injured – March return)

Home Form:

Dortmund’s recent struggles at Signal Iduna Park are concerning, with only one win in their last seven home fixtures. However, they remain a formidable force in European nights, having won three of their four home Champions League games this season.

Sporting Lisbon

Current Form (Last 5 Matches):

❌ Loss 0-3 vs Borussia Dortmund (UCL)
➖ Draw 2-2 vs Estoril (Primeira Liga)
➖ Draw 1-1 vs Braga (Primeira Liga)
✅ Win 3-1 vs Boavista (Primeira Liga)
❌ Loss 1-2 vs Porto (Primeira Liga)

Sporting Lisbon have endured a dip in form at the worst possible time, with three consecutive winless matches. Their defensive frailties were exposed in the first leg, and they will need a flawless performance to stand any chance of progressing.

Key Players:

  • Viktor Gyokeres – The Swedish forward has been prolific, scoring six goals in the Champions League.
  • Francisco Trincão – The former Barcelona man brings flair and creativity on the wing.
  • Morten Hjulmand – A key midfield anchor who needs to control possession to give Sporting a fighting chance.

Injuries & Suspensions:

  • Pedro Gonçalves (Injured – ligament issue)
  • Daniel Bragança (Out for the season – ligament injury)
  • Geny Catamo (Doubtful – muscle injury)
  • Nuno Santos (Doubtful – knock)

Away Form:

Sporting Lisbon have lost seven and drawn three of their last ten Champions League away games. Their last European away victory came in the group stage, and they are on a three-game winless run on the road.

Head-to-Head & Past Encounters

  • Borussia Dortmund secured a 3-0 first-leg victory in Lisbon on Feb 11, 2025.
  • Dortmund are unbeaten in their last four meetings against Sporting.
  • Sporting’s last victory over BVB came in the 2016-17 Champions League group stage.
  • The German club has a perfect home record against Sporting in European competition.

Prediction (Goal.mu/Mauri.bet)

🟡 Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Sporting Lisbon

Dortmund’s firepower should see them over the line despite their inconsistencies. Sporting could get on the scoresheet, but overturning a three-goal deficit at Signal Iduna Park is highly unlikely.

Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: Yes

  • Dortmund’s defence has been leaky at home.
  • Sporting have dangerous attackers capable of netting.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals

  • The first leg had three goals, and Dortmund are an attacking side at home.
  • Sporting need to go all-out to stand any chance of a comeback.

Anytime Goalscorer: Serhou Guirassy

  • The striker is in red-hot form with 10 UCL goals.

Hot Stat:

Borussia Dortmund have scored in every single one of their nine Champions League games this season.

Possible Lineups

Borussia Dortmund (4-2-3-1):

🧤 Kobel
🛡️ Ryerson – Can – Schlotterbeck – Svensson
🎯 Ozcan – Groß
⚡ Adeyemi – Brandt – Bynoe-Gittens
🔥 Guirassy

Sporting Lisbon (4-3-3):

🧤 Silva
🛡️ Fresneda – Diomande – Quaresma – Reis
🎯 Debast – Hjulmand – Simoes
⚡ Trincao – Gyokeres – Biel

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