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Cagliari vs Lazio: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview | Feb 3, 2025

Cagliari vs Lazio: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview | Feb 3, 2025

Serie A action continues on Monday as Cagliari welcome Lazio to the Unipol Domus Stadium for a crucial encounter starting at 7:45 PM UK time. The Biancocelesti will be eager to bounce back from their recent setbacks and secure all three points to maintain their grip on a Champions League spot. Meanwhile, Cagliari, battling relegation fears, will look to pull off an upset against a historically dominant opponent. This match promises drama, with contrasting fortunes set to collide in Sardinia.

Interesting Fact: Lazio have been unbeaten in their last 19 Serie A matches against Cagliari, winning 16 times and averaging 2.3 goals per game—a record that looms large over this fixture.


Team Analysis

Home Team: Cagliari

Cagliari find themselves perilously close to the drop zone, sitting 15th with just 21 points after 19 matches. Their survival hopes hinge on improving their defensive frailties, having conceded more goals than any other team from set-piece situations (14). Despite showing resilience in recent weeks, losing only one of their last four games, they remain vulnerable against stronger opposition. Coach Davide Nicola must address these issues quickly if his side is to avoid another nervy finish to the season.

  • Current Form:
    Last 6 matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses.
    Last match: 2-0 loss to Torino in Serie A.
  • Key Players:
    • Nadir Zortea : Joint-top scorer for Cagliari with five goals this season, providing much-needed creativity in midfield.
    • Roberto Piccoli : Another key contributor up front, also with five goals, offering physicality and goal-scoring ability.
    • Razvan Marin : Known for his versatility and knack of making an impact off the bench, contributing directly to five Serie A goals this campaign.
  • Injuries/Suspensions:
    • Zito Luvumbo (out, ankle injury)
  • Home Form:
    Cagliari have struggled at home this season, recording three wins, three draws, and five losses in 11 matches. They need to improve significantly in front of their own fans to climb out of trouble.

Away Team: Lazio

Lazio’s form has dipped slightly following a stellar run of five consecutive victories, but they still occupy fourth place in Serie A with 39 points. Recent defeats to Fiorentina and Braga have dented their momentum, though their qualification for the Europa League knockout stages ensures focus can now shift fully to domestic matters. Historically dominant against Cagliari, Marco Baroni’s men are well-placed to extend their impressive streak against the Sardinian outfit.

  • Current Form:
    Last 6 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses.
    Last match: 1-0 loss to Braga in the Europa League.
  • Key Players:
    • Valentín Castellanos : Leading the line with seven goals, the Argentine striker has proven lethal in front of goal.
    • Mattia Zaccagni : Contributing six goals and several assists, Zaccagni remains a vital cog in Lazio’s attacking machine.
    • Boulaye Dia : Another prolific performer with six goals, adding depth and unpredictability to the attack.
  • Injuries/Suspensions:
    • Nuno Tavares (out, injury)
    • Manuel Lazzari (out, injury)
    • Patric (out, injury)
    • Matias Vecino (out, injury)
    • Nicolo Rovella (suspended)
    • Mattia Zaccagni (suspended)
  • Away Form:
    Lazio have shown mixed results on the road this season, securing six wins and suffering five losses in 11 away matches. However, their historical dominance over Cagliari suggests they are likely to perform better here.

Head-to-Head and Past Encounters

The head-to-head record heavily favours Lazio, who have gone 19 matches without defeat against Cagliari in Serie A. During this period, the Biancocelesti have won 16 times, scoring an average of 2.3 goals per game. Their most recent meeting, a 2-1 victory in November, saw Boulaye Dia and Mattia Zaccagni net for Lazio, while Zito Luvumbo replied for Cagliari.

Notably, Cagliari have not beaten Lazio in Serie A since May 2013, highlighting the significant gulf in quality between the two sides.


Prediction

Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Cagliari 0-2 Lazio

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Despite Cagliari’s recent improvement, Lazio’s overwhelming superiority in head-to-head encounters makes them strong favourites. With key players like Castellanos and Zaccagni unavailable, Marco Baroni may rotate his squad slightly, but their depth and experience should still see them through. Expect a professional performance from Lazio, capitalising on Cagliari’s defensive vulnerabilities to secure all three points.


Betting Tips

  1. Both Teams to Score: No
    Given Cagliari’s struggles in front of goal and Lazio’s solid defensive structure when fully focused, it seems unlikely both teams will find the net.
  2. Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Under
    While Lazio possess potent attacking options, Cagliari’s limited firepower suggests we may see fewer than three goals in this match.
  3. Anytime Goalscorer: Valentín Castellanos
    As Lazio’s leading marksman, Castellanos is always a threat and likely to make his presence felt in this fixture.

Hot Stat

Lazio have scored 13 goals from set-piece situations this season—only Inter have scored more. Conversely, Cagliari have conceded 14 goals from dead-ball scenarios, the worst record in Serie A. This mismatch could prove decisive.


Possible Lineups

Cagliari (4-3-1-2):

Caprile; Zappa, Mina, Luperto, Obert; Zortea, Deiola, Marin/Felici; Gaetano; Piccoli

Lazio (3-5-2):

Provedel; Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini; Guendouzi, Rovella; Isaksen, Andrijnovych/Dia, Zaccagni; Castellanos

 

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