Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United – Prediction and Betting Tips | Nov 30, 2024

Saturday afternoon brings a compelling Premier League encounter as Crystal Palace aim to climb out of the relegation zone against a Newcastle side looking to bounce back from Monday’s disappointing defeat to West Ham. The Eagles’ encouraging draw at Villa Park offers hope, while Newcastle’s recent London struggles add intrigue to this fixture.

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Current Form Analysis

Crystal Palace

  • Position: 19th (8 points from 12 games)
  • Home points: 5 (second-lowest in league)
  • Home goals: 3 (league-worst 30%)
  • Recent form: D-L-D-W-L
  • Historical note: Last won consecutive games vs Newcastle in 1971-72

The contrast between Palace’s strong finish last season under Glasner (24 points from 13 games) and their current struggles highlights their concerning decline.

Newcastle United

  • Position: 10th (18 points)
  • Points off top 4: 4
  • London form: Lost 6 of last 8 visits
  • Selhurst Park record: 1 win in 9
  • Recent form: L-W-W-W-L

Team News

Crystal Palace

Key absences:

  • Daichi Kamada (suspended)
  • Chadi Riad (knee)
  • Adam Wharton (groin)
  • Matheus Franca (groin)

Returns:

  • Eberechi Eze (hamstring)
  • Eddie Nketiah (hamstring)
  • Jefferson Lerma (match fit)

Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Henderson; Chalobah, Lacroix, Guehi; Munoz, Doucoure, Lerma, Mitchell; Sarr, Devenny; Mateta

Newcastle United

Key absences:

  • Jamaal Lascelles (knee)
  • Sven Botman (knee)
  • Emil Krafth (collarbone)

Doubts:

  • Bruno Guimaraes (glute)
  • Joe Willock (calf)

Return:

  • Dan Burn (suspension complete)

Predicted XI (4-3-3): Pope; Livramento, Schar, Burn, Hall; Longstaff, Tonali, Joelinton; Gordon, Isak, Barnes

Key Battles

  1. Midfield Control Lerma-Doucoure partnership vs Newcastle’s restructured midfield.
  2. Attacking Efficiency Palace’s struggling home attack vs Newcastle’s defensive transitions.
  3. Wide Areas Sarr’s threat against Newcastle’s full-backs.

Betting Markets Analysis

Match Result Prediction

Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Crystal Palace 1-1 Newcastle United

Reasoning:

  • Palace’s improved recent performances
  • Newcastle’s London struggles
  • Eagles’ strong record vs Magpies at Selhurst
  • Both teams’ injury concerns

Additional Markets

  1. Both Teams to Score: YES
  • Palace’s attacking improvement
  • Newcastle’s consistent scoring
  • Both teams’ defensive issues
  1. Under 2.5 Goals: YES
  • Palace’s home scoring struggles
  • Newcastle’s fatigue factor
  • Historical tight encounters
  1. Hot Stats:
  • Second Half Goals Over 1.5
  • Cards Over 4.5
  • Isak to Score

Match Environment

The 3:00 PM kickoff at Selhurst Park should provide perfect conditions. The home crowd’s support will be crucial as Palace seek to climb out of the relegation zone.

Conclusion

Palace’s need for points combined with Newcastle’s recent London struggles suggests a tight encounter. The returns of Eze and Nketiah could prove crucial for the hosts, while Newcastle’s mounting injury concerns and Monday night exertions might impact their performance.

The first goal will be vital – Palace’s home scoring woes mean they can’t afford to chase the game, while Newcastle’s recent defensive fragility suggests they might struggle if they fall behind. A share of the spoils seems likely given both teams’ current circumstances.

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