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Southampton vs Liverpool – Prediction and Betting Tips | Nov 24, 2024

A fascinating contrast awaits at St Mary’s as table-topping Liverpool visit bottom-placed Southampton. The Reds aim to extend their remarkable start under Arne Slot, while the Saints seek an unlikely upset to boost their survival hopes.

Current Form and Standings

Liverpool

  • Position: 1st (47 points)
  • Last 5 matches: W-W-W-W-D
  • Away form: W-W-D-W-W
  • Goals scored: 42
  • Goals conceded: 12

Under Slot’s guidance, Liverpool have won 15 of 17 matches across all competitions, establishing themselves as Europe’s form team.

Southampton

  • Position: 20th (9 points)
  • Last 5 matches: L-W-L-D-L
  • Home form: W-W-L-L-D
  • Goals scored: 14
  • Goals conceded: 28

Despite recent home wins against Everton and Stoke, the Saints remain rooted to the bottom of the table.

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Historical Context

Interesting historical note: Southampton have lost just one of their last eight Premier League games against teams starting the day top, including a 1-0 win over Liverpool in January 2021. However, they’ve since lost five and drawn one against the Reds.

Team News and Likely Lineups

Liverpool

Key absences:

  • Trent Alexander-Arnold (hamstring)
  • Alisson Becker (hamstring)
  • Diogo Jota (abdominal)
  • Federico Chiesa (fitness)

Key return:

  • Harvey Elliott (foot) – back in training

Predicted XI (4-3-3): Kelleher; Bradley, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson; Mac Allister, Gravenberch; Salah, Jones, Gakpo; Nunez

Southampton

Notable absences:

  • Aaron Ramsdale (finger)
  • Jan Bednarek (knee)
  • Gavin Bazunu (Achilles)
  • Ross Stewart (hamstring)
  • William Smallbone (hamstring)

Returns:

  • Flynn Downes (knee)
  • Ryan Fraser (illness)

Predicted XI (5-3-2): McCarthy; Walker-Peters, Sugawara, Stephens, Harwood-Bellis, Manning; Armstrong, Downes, Aribo; Fernandes, Archer

Key Battles and Tactical Analysis

  1. Nunez vs Southampton’s Makeshift Defense Liverpool’s in-form striker against an injury-hit backline.
  2. Midfield Control Mac Allister and Gravenberch versus Southampton’s energetic middle three.
  3. Set-Piece Threat Van Dijk against Southampton’s reorganized defensive unit.

Betting Markets Analysis

Match Result Prediction

Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Southampton 0-3 Liverpool

Reasoning:

  • Liverpool’s outstanding form under Slot
  • Southampton’s defensive injuries
  • Reds’ multiple-goal scoring streak away from home
  • Saints’ position at the bottom

Additional Betting Markets

  1. Both Teams to Score: NO
  • Liverpool’s solid defense
  • Southampton’s scoring struggles
  • Reds’ clean sheet record
  1. Over 2.5 Goals: YES
  • Liverpool averaging 3+ goals per game
  • Southampton’s defensive vulnerabilities
  • Recent head-to-head patterns
  1. Hot Stats:
  • Liverpool First Half Goals Over 1.5: YES
  • Mohamed Salah to Score: YES
  • Total Shots on Target Over 8.5: YES

Key Factors Influencing Prediction

  1. Slot’s Record Chase Manager aiming to become first Liverpool boss with 10 wins in first 12 Premier League games.
  2. Defensive Disparities Liverpool’s organized unit versus Southampton’s injury-hit defense.
  3. Goal-Scoring Form Liverpool scoring multiple goals in six of last seven away matches.
  4. Home Hopes Southampton’s recent improvement at St Mary’s offers slight optimism.

Match Environment

The 2:00 PM kickoff at St Mary’s should provide ideal conditions. The home crowd’s support could be crucial for Southampton’s hopes of an upset.

Conclusion

While Southampton’s record against table-toppers and recent home improvements offer hope, Liverpool’s exceptional form under Slot suggests they should have too much quality. The visitors’ attacking prowess, combined with Southampton’s defensive issues, points toward a comfortable away victory.

The Saints’ defensive absences couldn’t come at a worse time against Liverpool’s potent attack. While Russell Martin’s side have shown fighting spirit at home, the gap in quality and form between these teams appears too significant to bridge.

The combination of Liverpool’s title push and Southampton’s desperate need for points should create an open game, but one that the visitors’ superior quality should ultimately dominate. The first goal will be crucial – an early Liverpool strike could open the floodgates against a makeshift Southampton defense.

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