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Torino vs Monza – Prediction and Betting Tips | Nov 24, 2024

Two teams desperate to arrest alarming runs of form meet at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino as Torino host Monza. Both sides enter the fixture having lost their last three matches without scoring, adding extra pressure to what has become a crucial encounter.

Current Form and Standings

Torino

  • Position: 11th
  • Last 5 matches: L-L-L-L-W
  • Home form: L-L-W-D-W
  • Goals scored: 11
  • Goals conceded: 15

The Granata’s promising start under Paolo Vanoli has unraveled with six losses in seven matches.

Monza

  • Position: 18th
  • Last 5 matches: L-L-L-D-D
  • Away form: L-D-L-W-L
  • Goals scored: 9
  • Goals conceded: 16

Alessandro Nesta’s side has nine points fewer than at this stage last season, increasing pressure on the manager.

Head-to-Head Analysis

Torino remains undefeated against Monza in Serie A:

  • March 2024: Torino 1-0 Monza
  • October 2023: Monza 0-0 Torino
  • August 2022: Monza 1-2 Torino

Team News and Likely Lineups

Torino

Key returns:

  • Samuele Ricci (back from Italy duty)
  • Che Adams (fit to start)

Notable absences:

  • Duvan Zapata (season-ending injury)
  • Perr Schuurs (ACL)
  • Ivan Ilic (hamstring doubt)

Predicted XI (3-5-2): Milinkovic-Savic; Walukiewicz, Coco, Masina; Pedersen, Vlasic, Ricci, Linetty, Lazaro; Adams, Sanabria

Monza

Key absences:

  • Stefano Sensi (injured)
  • Roberto Gagliardini (injured)
  • Alessio Cragno (injured)
  • Danilo D’Ambrosio (doubt)

Predicted XI (3-4-2-1): Turati; Izzo, Mari, Carboni; Pereira, Pessina, Bondo, Kyriakopoulos; Maldini, Mota; Djuric

Key Battles and Tactical Analysis

  1. Sanabria vs Mari Torino’s striker has three goals against Monza historically.
  2. Midfield Control Ricci’s return could be crucial against Monza’s depleted midfield.
  3. Wide Areas Lazaro vs Pereira battle could determine attacking success.

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Betting Markets Analysis

Match Result Prediction

Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Torino 1-0 Monza

Reasoning:

  • Torino’s historical dominance in fixture
  • Home advantage
  • Key players returning for hosts
  • Both teams’ scoring struggles

Additional Betting Markets

  1. Both Teams to Score: NO
  • Combined six games without scoring
  • Defensive mindsets likely
  • Historical low-scoring meetings
  1. Under 2.5 Goals: YES
  • Teams averaging under 1 goal per game
  • Recent form suggests caution
  • Pressure situation
  1. Hot Stats:
  • First Team to Score Wins: YES
  • Under 1.5 First Half Goals: YES
  • Total Cards Over 4.5: YES

Key Factors Influencing Prediction

  1. Scoring Droughts Both teams seeking first goal in four matches.
  2. Key Returns Ricci and Adams boost Torino’s prospects.
  3. Historical Edge Torino’s unbeaten record against Monza.
  4. Pressure Factor Both managers need results urgently.

Match Environment

The 2:00 PM kickoff at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino should provide ideal conditions. The home support’s patience may be tested given recent form.

Conclusion

This encounter has become crucial for both sides’ seasons. Torino’s superior quality and home advantage, combined with key players returning, suggests they might edge a tight contest. However, both teams’ recent goal-scoring troubles indicate this could be a tense, low-scoring affair.

The first goal will be absolutely crucial – both sides have struggled to respond when falling behind this season. Torino’s historical edge in this fixture and slightly better attacking options, particularly with Adams and Sanabria available, could prove decisive.

While neither team enters in good form, Torino’s need to respond after the derby defeat, combined with Monza’s particularly poor run, suggests the hosts might just have enough to secure a vital victory and ease the pressure on Vanoli.

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