Newcastle United vs. Southampton – Prediction and Betting Tips | Aug 17, 2024

The Premier League returns with an intriguing matchup as Newcastle United hosts newly promoted Southampton at St. James’ Park on Saturday, August 17, 2024, at 3 PM UK time. While Newcastle aims to bounce back from the disappointment of missing out on European football, Southampton is eager to make a strong start in their return to the top flight after a successful Championship campaign. This fixture promises to be a challenging test for both sides as they embark on their respective Premier League journeys.

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Match Significance

This match is crucial for both teams as they seek to establish early momentum in the new season. For Newcastle United, a strong start is essential to reignite their ambitions of European qualification after narrowly missing out last season. On the other hand, Southampton will be eager to prove that they belong in the Premier League once again, with a tough away fixture serving as an early litmus test for their credentials.

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Location and Time

The match will take place at St. James’ Park, Newcastle United’s iconic home ground, known for its passionate and vocal supporters. The 3 PM kick-off on Saturday afternoon provides an ideal setting for an intense and competitive Premier League clash.

Additional Tidbit

Newcastle United’s recent form at home has been impressive, as they found the back of the net in each of their 19 Premier League home games last season, including a strong finish with eight unbeaten games. In contrast, Southampton has historically struggled on the opening weekend, winning only two of their previous 24 opening fixtures in the Premier League.

Team Analysis

Newcastle United

Newcastle United had a bittersweet 2023-24 season, missing out on European football despite hovering around the European spots throughout the campaign. Under Eddie Howe, the Magpies have developed into a formidable side, particularly strong at home. However, off-the-pitch challenges, including injuries and transfer speculation, have threatened to disrupt their preparations for the new season.

Current Form

Newcastle had a solid pre-season, winning five of their six matches, including victories over strong opposition. The only blemish was a 2-0 loss to Yokohama F. Marinos. Despite some injury concerns, Howe’s side will be confident of starting the season with a win, especially given their strong home record.

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Key Players

Key players for Newcastle include Alexander Isak and Bruno Guimaraes, both of whom have been the subject of transfer interest but are set to feature prominently in this match. The potential return of Fabian Schar from an ankle injury would bolster the defense, while new signing Sandro Tonali, although unavailable for this match due to a betting ban, will be a significant addition later in the month.

Tactical Approach

Eddie Howe is likely to deploy a 4-3-3 formation, focusing on controlling possession and using the wide areas to create chances. With the pace and creativity of players like Isak and Anthony Gordon, Newcastle will look to stretch Southampton’s defense and capitalize on set-pieces. The midfield trio of Sean Longstaff, Bruno Guimaraes, and Joelinton will be crucial in dominating the central areas.

Southampton

Southampton returns to the Premier League after a successful Championship campaign, culminating in a dramatic playoff final victory over Leeds United. Under Russell Martin, the Saints have rebuilt their squad, bringing in several new faces, including some familiar names. However, they face a daunting task in their first match back in the top flight against a strong Newcastle side.

Current Form

Southampton’s pre-season preparations have been encouraging, with victories over Bordeaux and Montpellier and draws against Lazio and Getafe. These results will give the Saints confidence heading into their Premier League opener, although they will be aware of the challenges that lie ahead.

Key Players

Southampton will be without key goalkeeper Gavin Bazunu due to an Achilles rupture, meaning veteran Alex McCarthy is likely to start in goal. New signings Ben Brereton Diaz and Cameron Archer will be expected to add firepower to the attack, while Adam Armstrong will lead the line. The midfield battle will hinge on the performances of Flynn Downes and Will Smallbone, who will be tasked with disrupting Newcastle’s rhythm.

Tactical Approach

Russell Martin is expected to field a 5-3-2 formation, focusing on defensive solidity and quick transitions. Southampton will likely adopt a cautious approach, looking to absorb pressure and hit Newcastle on the break. The wing-backs, particularly Kyle Walker-Peters, will play a key role in both defense and attack, while the forwards will need to be clinical with any chances that come their way.

Head-to-Head Analysis

Newcastle United has dominated recent meetings with Southampton, winning their last five encounters in all competitions. The last time these two teams met at St. James’ Park, Newcastle secured a 3-1 victory in April 2023. This historical advantage, combined with their strong home form, makes Newcastle the favorites for this match.

Tactical Analysis

Newcastle United’s Approach

Newcastle will look to dominate possession and create chances through their dynamic attack. Howe’s side will aim to press Southampton high up the pitch and force turnovers, using their pace and creativity to break down the opposition’s defense. Set-pieces could also be a key area where Newcastle looks to capitalize.

Southampton’s Approach

Southampton will likely adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on staying compact and organized in defense. Martin’s side will aim to frustrate Newcastle and hit them on the counter-attack, using the pace of their forwards to stretch the play. Southampton will also look to exploit any set-piece opportunities that come their way.

Prediction

Score Forecast

Given Newcastle United’s quality and home advantage, they are expected to have the upper hand in this fixture. However, Southampton’s confidence from their promotion campaign and strong pre-season could make this a closer contest than expected.

Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Newcastle United 2-0 Southampton odds at 2.0 bet365

Other Betting Markets:

• Both Teams to Score: No, considering Newcastle’s strong defense and Southampton’s potential struggles in attack.
• Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5, as this match may be tightly contested with limited chances.
• First Goal Scorer: Alexander Isak (Newcastle United), with his ability to deliver in key moments.
• Hot Stat: Newcastle United has won their last five matches against Southampton in all competitions.

(Odds are taken from bet365 and are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.T&Cs apply, 18+)

119 average Markets available for Newcastle v Southampton

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