France vs. Belgium – Prediction and Betting Tips | July 1, 2024

In a much-anticipated Euro 2024 last-16 tie, France and Belgium face off in a reunion of their 2018 World Cup semi-final showdown. The match will take place in Dusseldorf on Monday, July 1, 2024, at 5 pm UK time. Both teams have had a rocky journey to the knockout stages, finishing second in their respective groups due to unexpected final-day draws. The stakes are high as both sides aim to advance in the tournament and make a statement of intent.

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Detailed Analysis

France

France’s group stage journey in Euro 2024 has been marked by both promise and frustration. Real Madrid-bound Kylian Mbappe finally opened his Euros account with a penalty against Poland, but France were held to a 1-1 draw due to a retaken spot-kick from Robert Lewandowski. Despite this setback, France’s defensive solidity has been notable, conceding just one goal in the group stage and boasting the joint second-best defensive record.

Didier Deschamps has a wealth of talent at his disposal, with key players like Mbappe, Antoine Griezmann, and Mike Maignan playing crucial roles. The French squad’s depth and versatility will be pivotal as they navigate a challenging knockout bracket that includes potential clashes with Portugal, Germany, and Spain.

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Key Players:

• Kylian Mbappe: France’s talismanic forward, Mbappe’s pace and finishing ability are vital for breaking down defenses.
• Antoine Griezmann: Expected to return to the starting XI, Griezmann’s creativity and vision are crucial for France’s attacking play.
• Mike Maignan: The AC Milan goalkeeper has been in excellent form, providing a reliable last line of defense.

Belgium

Belgium’s path to the last-16 has been fraught with challenges. Despite a promising start with a win over Romania, they were held to a goalless draw by Ukraine, securing their place in the knockout stage by a narrow margin. Belgium’s attack has struggled to find its rhythm, scoring just two goals in the group stage, and Domenico Tedesco faces a tough task in reinvigorating his forwards.

Romelu Lukaku has yet to score in Euro 2024, but Belgium’s solid defensive record and the creative brilliance of Kevin De Bruyne provide hope. With a history of closely-fought encounters against France, including the 2018 World Cup semi-final and the 2021 Nations League semi-final, Belgium will be keen to avenge their previous defeats.

Key Players:

• Kevin De Bruyne: The creative maestro, De Bruyne’s ability to unlock defenses with his passing and vision is unparalleled.
• Romelu Lukaku: Although yet to score, Lukaku’s physical presence and goal-scoring prowess remain a constant threat.
• Wout Faes: The Leicester City defender has been a standout performer, crucial for maintaining Belgium’s defensive solidity.

Head-to-Head and Past Encounters

France and Belgium have a storied rivalry, with France emerging victorious in their last two high-profile encounters: a 1-0 win in the 2018 World Cup semi-final and a 3-2 victory in the 2021 Nations League semi-final. These matches highlight the competitive nature and fine margins that often define this fixture.

Current Form and Performances

• France: Boasting an impressive defensive record, France’s form has been solid if unspectacular. They have conceded just one goal in their last five matches across all competitions, demonstrating their defensive strength.
• Belgium: Belgium’s form has been inconsistent, with a solitary defeat in their last 18 matches providing some solace. However, their struggles in front of goal during the group stage raise concerns about their attacking efficiency.

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(Odds are taken from bet365 and are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.T&Cs apply, 18+)

Prediction and Betting Tips

Match Outcome

Given their defensive resilience and attacking talent, France are favoured to edge out Belgium in this tight contest. However, Belgium’s potential for an upset cannot be entirely dismissed.

Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: France 2-1 Belgium odds at 9.50 bet365

Both Teams to Score

Considering the attacking talents on display and the stakes of the match, both teams are likely to find the net.

Prediction: Yes

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

With the high stakes and attacking capabilities of both sides, expect more than 2.5 goals in the match.

Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals

Hot Stats

• Kylian Mbappe: Opened his Euro 2024 account against Poland and will be looking to add to his tally.
• Belgium: Managed just two goals in the group stage, highlighting their attacking struggles.

Team News

France: Kylian Mbappe is fit to lead the line, and Didier Deschamps has a fully available squad. Antoine Griezmann is expected to return to the starting lineup, with France likely reverting to a 4-2-3-1 formation.

Possible Starting Lineup:

• Maignan
• Kounde, Saliba, Upamecano, Hernandez
• Kante, Tchouameni
• Dembele, Griezmann, Rabiot
• Mbappe

Belgium: Dodi Lukebakio returns from suspension and may replace Leandro Trossard in the starting XI. Axel Witsel and Thomas Meunier remain doubtful due to injuries.

Possible Starting Lineup:

• Casteels
• Castagne, Faes, Vertonghen, Theate
• Tielemans, Onana
• Doku, De Bruyne, Carrasco
• Lukaku

111 average Markets available for France v Belgium

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Draw No Bet

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1st Half – Handicap

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