USA vs. Bolivia – Prediction and Betting Tips | Jun 23, 2024
The first Group C clash of the 2024 Copa America will see the tournament hosts, the USA, take on Bolivia on Sunday at AT&T Stadium. In their previous encounter, the Yanks claimed a hard-fought 1-1 draw with Brazil, while La Verde are on a three-match losing run following a 3-0 defeat versus Colombia.
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Match Preview:
Coming into this tournament as the 11th-ranked side according to FIFA, expectations are as high as they have ever been for the Americans at the Copa America. The US are participating in this tournament for the first time since 2016 when they previously hosted the big event and wound up fourth, their joint-best-ever-finish in this competition.
No side outside of South America has ever won this competition, and on paper, the United States appear to be the most likely to break that streak, suffering just one defeat versus a CONMEBOL opponent since September 2019 (3-0 versus Colombia this June). Since Gregg Berhalter was re-appointed as head coach last fall, however, this team have had a mixture of good and poor performances, defeating only one opponent ranked in the top 50 according to FIFA (2-0 win over Mexico in March 2024).
They are coming off a strong performance earlier this month against the former five-time world champions Brazil, giving them a much-needed boost after suffering a lopsided 5-1 defeat against Colombia days earlier, their worst loss since November 2016 (4-0 to Costa Rica). Not since the 1995 Copa America in Uruguay have Stars and Stripes had a winning start in this competition, defeating Chile 2-1 on that occasion with a brace courtesy of Eric Wynalda.
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As the lowest-seeded team in CONMEBOL (84th), little is expected of Bolivia at this tournament, a side that have lost their last three international affairs by a combined margin of 7-1. Antonio Carlos Zago won this tournament with Brazil as a player in 1999, but his first managerial job on the international stage has not gone so well, losing five of his seven matches in charge.
Collecting even a point at the Copa America this year would be an achievement, as the Bolivians have lost 11 consecutive group fixtures at this tournament since 2015. Bolivia have won eight successive matches when scoring the opening goal, though they have lost their last two Copa America fixtures after drawing first blood, most recently in 2021 versus Paraguay (3-1).
The last victory by the Bolivians against a CONCACAF opponent occurred against Trinidad and Tobago in a January 2022 friendly, winning that match 5-0. La Verde are winless and goalless in their previous three encounters against the US, though the only time these teams met at the Copa America in 1995, Bolivia came away with a 1-0 triumph.
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Team News:
USA: Sergino Dest was not selected to the US squad after suffering a serious knee injury for his club side PSV Eindhoven, Kristoffer Lund is the least experienced player on this team with just three senior caps, while Tim Ream is the oldest American ever to be selected for this competition at 36 years, 263 days, surpassing the late Fernando Clavijo (36 years, 145 days).
Christian Pulisic is the leading cap holder among the Americans selected for this tournament (68), while Josh Sargent was recalled for the first time since the 2022 World Cup, scoring 16 goals in 28 appearances with Norwich City in the Championship this past season. Pulisic can match Brian McBride for fifth in all-time goals this weekend, scoring his 29th with the national team in their draw versus Brazil on a night when Matt Turner made a career-high 11 stops.
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USA possible starting lineup: Turner; Scally, Richards, Carter-Vickers, A. Robinson; Adams, Musah, McKennie; Weah, Pepi, Pulisic
Bolivia: The Bolivians will be without Jairo Quinteros for this encounter after the Bolivar defender ruptured his Achilles tendon, while Always Ready midfielder Moises Paniagua cannot participate either as the 16-year-old was not given full parental authorization to receive an entry visa into the US. Adalid Terrazas and Gustavo Almada were the only uncapped players selected by Zago for this competition, with the most experienced players being Leonel Justiniano (52), Jose Sagredo (54) and Carlos Lampe (55), all of whom have over 50 senior caps.
Rodrigo Ramallo has seven goals for La Verde, more than any Bolivian player named to this squad, with Ramiro Vaca being their next-highest scorer (four goals).
Prediction: With the USA riding high from a strong performance against Brazil and Bolivia struggling to find form, the hosts are poised to secure a victory in their opening match.
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(Odds are taken from bet365 and are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.T&Cs apply, 18+)
Justification: The US team’s superior ranking, home advantage, and recent strong performances suggest they will comfortably overcome a Bolivian side that has been struggling and is missing key players.
Other Betting Markets:
Both Teams to Score: No
Over/Under 2.5 Full Time: Over 2.5 goals
Hot Stat: Bolivia has lost 11 consecutive group fixtures at the Copa America since 2015.
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