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Spain vs. Croatia – Prediction and Betting Tips | Jun 15, 2024

Published 2 years ago Bigb

The opening match of what is set to be a fascinating Group B at this summer’s European Championship will take place in Berlin on Saturday, with Spain tackling Croatia. Spain are three-time winners of the European Championship, while they made the semi-finals of Euro 2020, but Croatia have never made it past the quarter-finals of this competition.

Detailed Analysis

Spain

Spain, the three-time winners of the European Championship, enter this summer’s tournament somewhat under the radar. However, with a talented squad, they are fully capable of triumphing. Spain lifted the European Championship trophy in 1964, 2008, and 2012, and they reached the semi-finals of Euro 2020, losing to Italy on penalties.

Spain will be in Group B along with Italy, Croatia, and Albania. Advancing through the group stage with a third-placed finish is a possibility, but Spain will be looking to top the group. They come into this match in strong form, having won their two June friendlies against Andorra and Northern Ireland, and drawn with Brazil in March.

Key Players:

Mikel Merino: A candidate to start in midfield, providing creativity and stability.
Lamine Yamal: Set to become the youngest player to ever take to the field at a European Championship.

Expected Lineup: Simon; Carvajal, Le Normand, Nacho, Grimaldo; Ruiz, Rodri, Pedri; Yamal, Morata, Williams

Croatia

Croatia, the World Cup runners-up in 2018 and third-place finishers in 2022, have never made it past the quarter-finals of the European Championship. They were knocked out in the round of 16 in their last two appearances. However, they come into this match full of confidence, having won their last six matches, including a 2-1 victory over Portugal.

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Key Players:

Luka Modric: The midfield maestro will be crucial in dictating the tempo.
Josko Gvardiol: A strong defensive presence expected to start alongside Marin Pongracic.

Expected Lineup: Livakovic; Stanisic, Sutalo, Pongracic, Gvardiol; Brozovic, Kovacic, Modric; Majer, Budimir, Kramaric

Head-to-Head and Previous Encounters

Spain has won six of their previous ten matches against Croatia, including a penalty-shootout victory in the final of the 2022-23 UEFA Nations League. Their most recent encounter in Euro 2020 saw Spain win 5-3 after extra-time. Croatia’s last win over Spain was in the UEFA Nations League in November 2018.

Betting Tips and Predictions

Match Winner Prediction

Spain, with their recent form and strong squad, are favoured to win this match. Their historical dominance over Croatia and home advantage in Berlin should see them secure a victory.

Prediction: Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Spain 2-1 Croatia

Both Teams to Score

Given both teams’ attacking capabilities and recent form, it is likely that both teams will score in this match.

Prediction: Yes

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

With the attacking prowess of both teams and their recent goal-scoring form, we anticipate a match with over 2.5 goals.

Prediction: Over 2.5 goals

Hotstat

Spain has scored at least two goals in each of their last three matches, showcasing their attacking efficiency.

(Odds are taken from bet365 and are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.T&Cs apply, 18+)

74 average Markets available for Spain v Croatia

Full Time Result

Home Win	Draw	Away Win
1.9	3.4	4.5

Half Time/Full Time

Spain – Spain	Spain – Draw	Spain – Croatia
3.1	15	41

Half Time/Full Time (cont.)

Draw – Spain	Draw – Draw	Draw – Croatia
4.75	5	9

Half Time/Full Time (cont.)

Croatia – Spain	Croatia – Draw	Croatia – Croatia
26	17	7.5

Correct Score

Spain #1-0	Spain #4-0	Spain #4-3
7	34	126

Correct Score (cont.)

Spain #6-2	Spain #2-1	Spain #4-1
401	9	41

Correct Score (cont.)

Spain #2-0	Spain #3-2	Spain #5-3
9	34	301

Correct Score (cont.)

Spain #6-1	Spain #3-0	Spain #4-2
201	17	51

Correct Score (cont.)

Spain #5-0	Spain #5-1	Spain #3-1
67	67	17

Correct Score (cont.)

Spain #5-2	Spain #6-0	Draw #0-0
126	201	8.5

Correct Score (cont.)

Draw #1-1	Draw #4-4	Draw #2-2
6.5	401	17

Correct Score (cont.)

Draw #3-3	Croatia #3-0	Croatia #3-2
51	51	41

Correct Score (cont.)

Croatia #4-2	Croatia #1-0	Croatia #2-0
126	12	23

Correct Score (cont.)

Croatia #4-0	Croatia #3-1	Croatia #2-1
126	41	17

Correct Score (cont.)

Croatia #4-1	Croatia #5-2	Croatia #5-1
101	451	351

Correct Score (cont.)

Croatia #4-3	Croatia #5-0
201	501

Winning Margin

Spain by 1	Croatia by 1	Spain by 2
3.6	6	5.5

Winning Margin (cont.)

Croatia by 2	Spain by 3	Croatia by 3
15	11	41

Winning Margin (cont.)

Spain by 4+	Croatia by 4+	Score Draw
19	81	4.75

Winning Margin (cont.)

No Goal
8.5

Handicap Result

Spain (-1) -1.00	Tie – (Croatia +1) 1.00	Croatia (+1) 1.00
3.4	3.6	1.909

Total Goals

Under 2.50	Over 2.50
1.727	2.1

First Team to Score

Spain	No Goals	Croatia
1.533	8.5	2.875

Half-Time

Spain	Draw	Croatia
2.5	2.1	4.75

Total Goal Minutes

Over 135 minutes	115 To 135 minutes inc.	Under 115 minutes
2.2	9	1.833

Total Goals Odd/Even

Even	Odd
1.825	2.025

Double Chance

Spain or Draw	Draw or Croatia	Spain or Croatia
1.182	1.909	1.3

Team Total Goals

Spain Over 0.50	Spain Under 0.50	Spain Over 1.50
1.2	4.333	2

Team Total Goals (cont.)

Spain Under 1.50	Spain Over 2.50	Spain Under 2.50
1.727	4.333	1.2

Team Total Goals (cont.)

Spain Over 3.50	Spain Under 3.50	Spain Over 4.50
11	1.05	26

Team Total Goals (cont.)

Spain Under 4.50	Croatia Over 0.50	Croatia Under 0.50
1.01	1.533	2.375

Team Total Goals (cont.)

Croatia Over 1.50	Croatia Under 1.50	Croatia Over 2.50
3.75	1.25	13

Team Total Goals (cont.)

Croatia Under 2.50	Croatia Over 3.50	Croatia Under 3.50
1.04	34	1.005

Both Teams to Score

Yes	No
1.833	1.833

Alternative Total Goals

Over 0.50	Under 0.50	Over 1.50
1.071	9	1.364

Alternative Total Goals (cont.)

Under 1.50	Over 3.50	Under 3.50
3.2	4	1.25

Alternative Total Goals (cont.)

Over 4.50	Under 4.50	Over 5.50
8	1.083	17

Alternative Total Goals (cont.)

Under 5.50	Over 6.50	Under 6.50
1.025	34	1.005

Exact Total Goals

0 Goals	1 Goal	2 Goals
8.5	4.5	3.4

Exact Total Goals (cont.)

3 Goals	4 Goals	5 Goals
4.333	6.5	13

Exact Total Goals (cont.)

6 Goals	7+ Goals
26	29

Alternative Handicap Result

Spain -3.00	Tie – Croatia 3.00	Croatia 3.00
19	11	1.071

Alternative Handicap Result (cont.)

Spain -2.00	Tie – Croatia 2.00	Croatia 2.00
7.5	5.5	1.3

Alternative Handicap Result (cont.)

Spain 1.00	Tie – Croatia -1.00	Croatia -1.00
1.182	6	11

Alternative Handicap Result (cont.)

Spain 2.00	Tie – Croatia -2.00	Croatia -2.00
1.046	15	29

Exact 1st Half Goals

0 Goals	1 Goal	2 Goals
2.625	2.5	4.333

Exact 1st Half Goals (cont.)

3 Goals	4 Goals	5+ Goals
11	34	67

1st Half Goals Odd/Even

Odd	Even
2.1	1.727

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result

Spain -3.00	Tie – Croatia 3.00	Croatia 3.00
81	34	1.012

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result (cont.)

Spain -2.00	Tie – Croatia 2.00	Croatia 2.00
29	10	1.071

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result (cont.)

Spain 1.00	Tie – Croatia -1.00	Croatia -1.00
1.167	5	19

2nd Half Result

Spain	Draw	Croatia
2.2	2.4	4.333

2nd Half Goals

Over 0.50	Under 0.50	Over 1.50
1.25	3.75	2.2

2nd Half Goals (cont.)

Under 1.50	Over 2.50	Under 2.50
1.615	5	1.167

2nd Half Goals (cont.)

Over 3.50	Under 3.50
13	1.04

Clean Sheet

Spain – Yes	Spain – No	Croatia – Yes
2.375	1.533	4.333

Clean Sheet (cont.)

Croatia – No
1.2

Teams to Score

Both Teams	Spain Only	No Goal
1.833	3	8.5

Teams to Score (cont.)

Croatia Only
7

Result / Total Goals

Spain & Over 2.50	Spain & Under 2.50	Draw & Over 2.50
3.2	4	13

Result / Total Goals (cont.)

Draw & Under 2.50	Croatia & Over 2.50	Croatia & Under 2.50
4	8	8

Time of 1st Team Goal

Spain – Goal before 47:00	Spain – No Goal before 47:00
1.833	1.833

Time of 1st Team Goal

Croatia – Goal before 75:00	Croatia – No Goal before 75:00
1.833	1.833

1st Goal Method

Shot	Header	Penalty
1.5	6.5	7.5

1st Goal Method (cont.)

Free Kick	Own Goal	No Goal
23	29	8.5

To Win From Behind

Spain to win from behind	Croatia to win from behind
9	17

To Win to Nil

Spain to win to nil	Croatia to win to nil
3	7

To Win Either Half

Spain to win either half	Croatia to win either half
1.5	2.5

To Win Both Halves

Spain to win both halves	Croatia to win both halves
5.5	19

To Score in Both Halves

Spain to score in both halves	Croatia to score in both halves
3.25	6

To Score a Penalty

Spain to score a penalty	Croatia to score a penalty
6.5	10

To Miss a Penalty

Spain to miss a penalty	Croatia to miss a penalty
19	26

10 Minute Result

Spain	Draw	Croatia
7	1.143	10

Goals in First 10 Minutes

Over 0.50	Under 0.50
5	1.167

Exact 2nd Half Goals

0 Goals	1 Goal	2 Goals
3.75	2.75	3.6

Exact 2nd Half Goals (cont.)

3 Goals	4 Goals	5+ Goals
7.5	19	34

Half Time Double Chance

Spain or Draw	Draw or Croatia	Spain or Croatia
1.167	1.5	1.667

Early Goal

Goal before 31:00	No Goal before 31:00
1.833	1.833

Late Goal

Goal after 72:59	No Goal after 72:59
1.833	1.833

Last Team to Score

Spain	No Goal	Croatia
1.533	8.5	2.875

Number of Goals in Match

Under 2 goals	2 or 3 goals	Over 3 goals
3.2	1.952	4

Half with Most Goals

1st Half	2nd Half	Tie
3.2	2.05	3.4

1st Half Goals

Over 0.50	Under 0.50	Over 1.50
1.444	2.625	3.25

1st Half Goals (cont.)

Under 1.50	Over 2.50	Under 2.50
1.333	9	1.071

1st Half Goals (cont.)

Over 3.50	Under 3.50
26	1.01

Half Time Correct Score

Spain #1-0	Spain #3-0	Spain #2-0
3.75	34	10

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

Spain #3-1	Spain #2-1	Spain #5-0
51	21	501

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

Spain #4-1	Spain #3-2	Spain #4-0
201	151	101

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

Draw #0-0	Draw #1-1	Draw #2-2
2.625	8.5	51

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

Croatia #3-1	Croatia #2-1	Croatia #3-0
101	34	81

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

Croatia #1-0	Croatia #2-0	Croatia #4-0
6	23	501

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

Croatia #3-2
251

Time of First Goal Brackets

1-10	11-20	21-30
5	5.5	6.5

Time of First Goal Brackets (cont.)

31-40	41-50	51-60
7.5	8	12

Time of First Goal Brackets (cont.)

61-70	71-80	81 – Full Time
15	19	17

Time of First Goal Brackets (cont.)

No Goal
8.5

Draw No Bet

Spain	Croatia
1.333	3.25

1st Half – Handicap

Spain -1.00	Tie – Croatia 1.00	Croatia 1.00
8	3.25	1.5

Result/Both Teams to Score

Spain & Yes	Spain & No	Croatia & Yes
4.333	3	9

Result/Both Teams to Score (cont.)

Croatia & No	Draw & Yes	Draw & No
7	4.75	8.5

Total Goals/Both Teams to Score

Over 2.5 & Yes	Over 2.5 & No	Under 2.5 & Yes
2.5	9	6.5

Total Goals/Both Teams to Score (cont.)

Under 2.5 & No
2.2

Home Team Odd/Even Goals

Spain – Even	Spain – Odd
1.8	1.909

Away Team Odd/Even Goals

Croatia – Even	Croatia – Odd
1.615	2.2

Home Team Exact Goals

Spain – 0 Goals	Spain – 1 Goal	Spain – 2 Goals
4.333	2.75	3.5

Home Team Exact Goals (cont.)

Spain – 3+ Goals
4.333

Away Team Exact Goals

Croatia – 0 Goals	Croatia – 1 Goal	Croatia – 2 Goals
2.375	2.4	5

Away Team Exact Goals (cont.)

Croatia – 3+ Goals
13

Home Team Highest Scoring Half

Spain – 1st Half	Spain – 2nd Half	Spain – Tie
3.4	2.375	2.5

Away Team Highest Scoring Half

Croatia – 1st Half	Croatia – 2nd Half	Croatia – Tie
4	2.875	1.909

Home Team to Score in 1st Half

Spain – Yes	Spain – No
1.909	1.8

Away Team to Score in 1st Half

Croatia – Yes	Croatia – No
2.75	1.4

Both Teams to Score in 1st Half

Yes	No
5.5	1.143

Half Time Result/Both Teams to Score

Spain & Yes	Spain & No	Draw & Yes
19	2.75	8

Half Time Result/Both Teams to Score (cont.)

Draw & No	Croatia & Yes	Croatia & No
2.625	29	5

Half Time Result/Total Goals

Spain & Over 1.5	Spain & Under 1.5	Draw & Over 1.5
6.5	3.75	8.5

Half Time Result/Total Goals (cont.)

Draw & Under 1.5	Croatia & Over 1.5	Croatia & Under 1.5
2.625	15	6

Home Team to Score in 2nd Half

Spain – Yes	Spain – No
1.615	2.2

Away Team to Score in 2nd Half

Croatia – Yes	Croatia – No
2.2	1.615

Both Teams to Score in 2nd Half

Yes	No
3.75	1.25

2nd Half Goals Odd/Even

Odd	Even
2	1.727

Both Teams to Score 1st Half – 2nd Half

Yes / Yes	Yes / No	No / Yes
19	6.5	4

Both Teams to Score 1st Half – 2nd Half (cont.)

No / No
1.5

Asian Handicap

Spain -0.50	Croatia 0.50
1.92	1.98

Goal Line

Over 2.25	Under 2.25
1.91	1.99

1st Half Goal Line

Over 1.00	Under 1.00
2.125	1.75

1st Half Asian Handicap

Spain -0.25	Croatia 0.25
2.1	1.775

Alternative Asian Handicap

Spain -2.00	Croatia 2.00	Spain -1.75
6.8	1.105	4.4

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

Croatia 1.75	Spain -1.50	Croatia 1.50
1.2	3.45	1.3

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

Spain -1.25	Croatia 1.25	Spain -1.00
3.1	1.35	2.675

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

Croatia 1.00	Spain -0.75	Croatia 0.75
1.45	2.15	1.675

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

Spain -0.25	Croatia 0.25	Spain 0.00
1.625	2.25	1.35

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

Croatia 0.00	Spain 0.25	Croatia -0.25
3.1	1.275	3.55

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

Spain 0.50	Croatia -0.50	Spain 0.75
1.225	4.1	1.14

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

Croatia -0.75
5.75

Alternative Goal Line

Over 1.00	Under 1.00	Over 1.25
1.1	7	1.225

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Under 1.25	Over 1.50	Under 1.50
4.1	1.35	3.1

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Over 1.75	Under 1.75	Over 2.00
1.45	2.675	1.575

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Under 2.00	Over 2.50	Under 2.50
2.35	2.1	1.7

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Over 2.75	Under 2.75	Over 3.00
2.425	1.525	3.1

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Under 3.00	Over 3.25	Under 3.25
1.35	3.45	1.3

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Over 3.50	Under 3.50	Over 3.75
3.7	1.26	4.65

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Under 3.75	Over 4.00	Under 4.00
1.18	7	1.1

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap

Spain -1.25	Croatia 1.25	Spain -1.00
7	1.1	6.25

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

Croatia 1.00	Spain -0.75	Croatia 0.75
1.12	3.45	1.3

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

Spain -0.50	Croatia 0.50	Spain 0.00
2.6	1.475	1.475

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

Croatia 0.00	Spain 0.25	Croatia -0.25
2.6	1.275	3.55

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

Spain 0.50	Croatia -0.50	Spain 0.75
1.2	4.4	1.11

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

Croatia -0.75
6.6

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line

Over 0.50	Under 0.50	Over 0.75
1.45	2.675	1.65

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line (cont.)

Under 0.75	Over 1.25	Under 1.25
2.2	2.6	1.475

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line (cont.)

Over 1.50	Under 1.50	Over 1.75
3.1	1.35	4.15

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line (cont.)

Under 1.75
1.22

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