Spain vs. Croatia – Prediction and Betting Tips | Jun 15, 2024

The opening match of what is set to be a fascinating Group B at this summer’s European Championship will take place in Berlin on Saturday, with Spain tackling Croatia. Spain are three-time winners of the European Championship, while they made the semi-finals of Euro 2020, but Croatia have never made it past the quarter-finals of this competition.

Detailed Analysis

Spain

Spain, the three-time winners of the European Championship, enter this summer’s tournament somewhat under the radar. However, with a talented squad, they are fully capable of triumphing. Spain lifted the European Championship trophy in 1964, 2008, and 2012, and they reached the semi-finals of Euro 2020, losing to Italy on penalties.

Spain will be in Group B along with Italy, Croatia, and Albania. Advancing through the group stage with a third-placed finish is a possibility, but Spain will be looking to top the group. They come into this match in strong form, having won their two June friendlies against Andorra and Northern Ireland, and drawn with Brazil in March.

Key Players:

  • Mikel Merino: A candidate to start in midfield, providing creativity and stability.
  • Lamine Yamal: Set to become the youngest player to ever take to the field at a European Championship.

Expected Lineup: Simon; Carvajal, Le Normand, Nacho, Grimaldo; Ruiz, Rodri, Pedri; Yamal, Morata, Williams

AD:

Croatia

Croatia, the World Cup runners-up in 2018 and third-place finishers in 2022, have never made it past the quarter-finals of the European Championship. They were knocked out in the round of 16 in their last two appearances. However, they come into this match full of confidence, having won their last six matches, including a 2-1 victory over Portugal.

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Key Players:

  • Luka Modric: The midfield maestro will be crucial in dictating the tempo.
  • Josko Gvardiol: A strong defensive presence expected to start alongside Marin Pongracic.

Expected Lineup: Livakovic; Stanisic, Sutalo, Pongracic, Gvardiol; Brozovic, Kovacic, Modric; Majer, Budimir, Kramaric

Head-to-Head and Previous Encounters

Spain has won six of their previous ten matches against Croatia, including a penalty-shootout victory in the final of the 2022-23 UEFA Nations League. Their most recent encounter in Euro 2020 saw Spain win 5-3 after extra-time. Croatia’s last win over Spain was in the UEFA Nations League in November 2018.

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Betting Tips and Predictions

Match Winner Prediction

Spain, with their recent form and strong squad, are favoured to win this match. Their historical dominance over Croatia and home advantage in Berlin should see them secure a victory.

Prediction: Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Spain 2-1 Croatia

Both Teams to Score

Given both teams’ attacking capabilities and recent form, it is likely that both teams will score in this match.

AD:

Prediction: Yes

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

With the attacking prowess of both teams and their recent goal-scoring form, we anticipate a match with over 2.5 goals.

Prediction: Over 2.5 goals

Hotstat

Spain has scored at least two goals in each of their last three matches, showcasing their attacking efficiency.

(Odds are taken from bet365 and are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.T&Cs apply, 18+)

74 average Markets available for Spain v Croatia

Full Time Result

Home WinDrawAway Win
1.93.44.5

Half Time/Full Time

Spain – SpainSpain – DrawSpain – Croatia
3.11541

Half Time/Full Time (cont.)

 

Draw – SpainDraw – DrawDraw – Croatia
4.7559

Half Time/Full Time (cont.)

 

Croatia – SpainCroatia – DrawCroatia – Croatia
26177.5

Correct Score

Spain #1-0Spain #4-0Spain #4-3
734126

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Spain #6-2Spain #2-1Spain #4-1
401941

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Spain #2-0Spain #3-2Spain #5-3
934301

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Spain #6-1Spain #3-0Spain #4-2
2011751

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Spain #5-0Spain #5-1Spain #3-1
676717

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Spain #5-2Spain #6-0Draw #0-0
1262018.5

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Draw #1-1Draw #4-4Draw #2-2
6.540117

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Draw #3-3Croatia #3-0Croatia #3-2
515141

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Croatia #4-2Croatia #1-0Croatia #2-0
1261223

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Croatia #4-0Croatia #3-1Croatia #2-1
1264117

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Croatia #4-1Croatia #5-2Croatia #5-1
101451351

Correct Score (cont.)

 

Croatia #4-3Croatia #5-0
201501

Winning Margin

Spain by 1Croatia by 1Spain by 2
3.665.5

Winning Margin (cont.)

 

Croatia by 2Spain by 3Croatia by 3
151141

Winning Margin (cont.)

 

Spain by 4+Croatia by 4+Score Draw
19814.75

Winning Margin (cont.)

 

No Goal
8.5

Handicap Result

Spain (-1) -1.00Tie – (Croatia +1) 1.00Croatia (+1) 1.00
3.43.61.909

Total Goals

Under 2.50Over 2.50
1.7272.1

First Team to Score

SpainNo GoalsCroatia
1.5338.52.875

Half-Time

SpainDrawCroatia
2.52.14.75

Total Goal Minutes

Over 135 minutes115 To 135 minutes inc.Under 115 minutes
2.291.833

Total Goals Odd/Even

EvenOdd
1.8252.025

Double Chance

Spain or DrawDraw or CroatiaSpain or Croatia
1.1821.9091.3

Team Total Goals

Spain Over 0.50Spain Under 0.50Spain Over 1.50
1.24.3332

Team Total Goals (cont.)

 

Spain Under 1.50Spain Over 2.50Spain Under 2.50
1.7274.3331.2

Team Total Goals (cont.)

 

Spain Over 3.50Spain Under 3.50Spain Over 4.50
111.0526

Team Total Goals (cont.)

 

Spain Under 4.50Croatia Over 0.50Croatia Under 0.50
1.011.5332.375

Team Total Goals (cont.)

 

Croatia Over 1.50Croatia Under 1.50Croatia Over 2.50
3.751.2513

Team Total Goals (cont.)

 

Croatia Under 2.50Croatia Over 3.50Croatia Under 3.50
1.04341.005

Both Teams to Score

Alternative Total Goals

Over 0.50Under 0.50Over 1.50
1.07191.364

Alternative Total Goals (cont.)

 

Under 1.50Over 3.50Under 3.50
3.241.25

Alternative Total Goals (cont.)

 

Over 4.50Under 4.50Over 5.50
81.08317

Alternative Total Goals (cont.)

 

Under 5.50Over 6.50Under 6.50
1.025341.005

Exact Total Goals

0 Goals1 Goal2 Goals
8.54.53.4

Exact Total Goals (cont.)

 

3 Goals4 Goals5 Goals
4.3336.513

Exact Total Goals (cont.)

 

6 Goals7+ Goals
2629

Alternative Handicap Result

Spain -3.00Tie – Croatia 3.00Croatia 3.00
19111.071

Alternative Handicap Result (cont.)

 

Spain -2.00Tie – Croatia 2.00Croatia 2.00
7.55.51.3

Alternative Handicap Result (cont.)

 

Spain 1.00Tie – Croatia -1.00Croatia -1.00
1.182611

Alternative Handicap Result (cont.)

 

Spain 2.00Tie – Croatia -2.00Croatia -2.00
1.0461529

Exact 1st Half Goals

0 Goals1 Goal2 Goals
2.6252.54.333

Exact 1st Half Goals (cont.)

 

3 Goals4 Goals5+ Goals
113467

1st Half Goals Odd/Even

OddEven
2.11.727

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result

Spain -3.00Tie – Croatia 3.00Croatia 3.00
81341.012

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result (cont.)

 

Spain -2.00Tie – Croatia 2.00Croatia 2.00
29101.071

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result (cont.)

 

Spain 1.00Tie – Croatia -1.00Croatia -1.00
1.167519

2nd Half Result

SpainDrawCroatia
2.22.44.333

2nd Half Goals

Over 0.50Under 0.50Over 1.50
1.253.752.2

2nd Half Goals (cont.)

 

Under 1.50Over 2.50Under 2.50
1.61551.167

2nd Half Goals (cont.)

 

Over 3.50Under 3.50
131.04

Clean Sheet

Spain – YesSpain – NoCroatia – Yes
2.3751.5334.333

Clean Sheet (cont.)

 

Croatia – No
1.2

Teams to Score

Both TeamsSpain OnlyNo Goal
1.83338.5

Teams to Score (cont.)

 

Croatia Only
7

Result / Total Goals

Spain & Over 2.50Spain & Under 2.50Draw & Over 2.50
3.2413

Result / Total Goals (cont.)

 

Draw & Under 2.50Croatia & Over 2.50Croatia & Under 2.50
488

Time of 1st Team Goal

Spain – Goal before 47:00Spain – No Goal before 47:00
1.8331.833

Time of 1st Team Goal

Croatia – Goal before 75:00Croatia – No Goal before 75:00
1.8331.833

1st Goal Method

ShotHeaderPenalty
1.56.57.5

1st Goal Method (cont.)

 

Free KickOwn GoalNo Goal
23298.5

To Win From Behind

Spain to win from behindCroatia to win from behind
917

To Win to Nil

Spain to win to nilCroatia to win to nil
37

To Win Either Half

Spain to win either halfCroatia to win either half
1.52.5

To Win Both Halves

Spain to win both halvesCroatia to win both halves
5.519

To Score in Both Halves

Spain to score in both halvesCroatia to score in both halves
3.256

To Score a Penalty

Spain to score a penaltyCroatia to score a penalty
6.510

To Miss a Penalty

Spain to miss a penaltyCroatia to miss a penalty
1926

10 Minute Result

SpainDrawCroatia
71.14310

Goals in First 10 Minutes

Over 0.50Under 0.50
51.167

Exact 2nd Half Goals

0 Goals1 Goal2 Goals
3.752.753.6

Exact 2nd Half Goals (cont.)

 

3 Goals4 Goals5+ Goals
7.51934

Half Time Double Chance

Spain or DrawDraw or CroatiaSpain or Croatia
1.1671.51.667

Early Goal

Goal before 31:00No Goal before 31:00
1.8331.833

Late Goal

Goal after 72:59No Goal after 72:59
1.8331.833

Last Team to Score

SpainNo GoalCroatia
1.5338.52.875

Number of Goals in Match

Under 2 goals2 or 3 goalsOver 3 goals
3.21.9524

Half with Most Goals

1st Half2nd HalfTie
3.22.053.4

1st Half Goals

Over 0.50Under 0.50Over 1.50
1.4442.6253.25

1st Half Goals (cont.)

 

Under 1.50Over 2.50Under 2.50
1.33391.071

1st Half Goals (cont.)

 

Over 3.50Under 3.50
261.01

Half Time Correct Score

Spain #1-0Spain #3-0Spain #2-0
3.753410

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

 

Spain #3-1Spain #2-1Spain #5-0
5121501

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

 

Spain #4-1Spain #3-2Spain #4-0
201151101

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

 

Draw #0-0Draw #1-1Draw #2-2
2.6258.551

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

 

Croatia #3-1Croatia #2-1Croatia #3-0
1013481

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

 

Croatia #1-0Croatia #2-0Croatia #4-0
623501

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

 

Croatia #3-2
251

Time of First Goal Brackets

1-1011-2021-30
55.56.5

Time of First Goal Brackets (cont.)

 

31-4041-5051-60
7.5812

Time of First Goal Brackets (cont.)

 

61-7071-8081 – Full Time
151917

Time of First Goal Brackets (cont.)

 

No Goal
8.5

Draw No Bet

SpainCroatia
1.3333.25

1st Half – Handicap

Spain -1.00Tie – Croatia 1.00Croatia 1.00
83.251.5

Result/Both Teams to Score

Spain & YesSpain & NoCroatia & Yes
4.33339

Result/Both Teams to Score (cont.)

 

Croatia & NoDraw & YesDraw & No
74.758.5

Total Goals/Both Teams to Score

Over 2.5 & YesOver 2.5 & NoUnder 2.5 & Yes
2.596.5

Total Goals/Both Teams to Score (cont.)

 

Under 2.5 & No
2.2

Home Team Odd/Even Goals

Spain – EvenSpain – Odd
1.81.909

Away Team Odd/Even Goals

Croatia – EvenCroatia – Odd
1.6152.2

Home Team Exact Goals

Spain – 0 GoalsSpain – 1 GoalSpain – 2 Goals
4.3332.753.5

Home Team Exact Goals (cont.)

 

Spain – 3+ Goals
4.333

Away Team Exact Goals

Croatia – 0 GoalsCroatia – 1 GoalCroatia – 2 Goals
2.3752.45

Away Team Exact Goals (cont.)

 

Croatia – 3+ Goals
13

Home Team Highest Scoring Half

Spain – 1st HalfSpain – 2nd HalfSpain – Tie
3.42.3752.5

Away Team Highest Scoring Half

Croatia – 1st HalfCroatia – 2nd HalfCroatia – Tie
42.8751.909

Home Team to Score in 1st Half

Spain – YesSpain – No
1.9091.8

Away Team to Score in 1st Half

Croatia – YesCroatia – No
2.751.4

Both Teams to Score in 1st Half

Half Time Result/Both Teams to Score

Spain & YesSpain & NoDraw & Yes
192.758

Half Time Result/Both Teams to Score (cont.)

 

Draw & NoCroatia & YesCroatia & No
2.625295

Half Time Result/Total Goals

Spain & Over 1.5Spain & Under 1.5Draw & Over 1.5
6.53.758.5

Half Time Result/Total Goals (cont.)

 

Draw & Under 1.5Croatia & Over 1.5Croatia & Under 1.5
2.625156

Home Team to Score in 2nd Half

Spain – YesSpain – No
1.6152.2

Away Team to Score in 2nd Half

Croatia – YesCroatia – No
2.21.615

Both Teams to Score in 2nd Half

2nd Half Goals Odd/Even

OddEven
21.727

Both Teams to Score 1st Half – 2nd Half

Yes / YesYes / NoNo / Yes
196.54

Both Teams to Score 1st Half – 2nd Half (cont.)

 

No / No
1.5

Asian Handicap

Spain -0.50Croatia 0.50
1.921.98

Goal Line

Over 2.25Under 2.25
1.911.99

1st Half Goal Line

Over 1.00Under 1.00
2.1251.75

1st Half Asian Handicap

Spain -0.25Croatia 0.25
2.11.775

Alternative Asian Handicap

Spain -2.00Croatia 2.00Spain -1.75
6.81.1054.4

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Croatia 1.75Spain -1.50Croatia 1.50
1.23.451.3

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Spain -1.25Croatia 1.25Spain -1.00
3.11.352.675

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Croatia 1.00Spain -0.75Croatia 0.75
1.452.151.675

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Spain -0.25Croatia 0.25Spain 0.00
1.6252.251.35

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Croatia 0.00Spain 0.25Croatia -0.25
3.11.2753.55

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Spain 0.50Croatia -0.50Spain 0.75
1.2254.11.14

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Croatia -0.75
5.75

Alternative Goal Line

Over 1.00Under 1.00Over 1.25
1.171.225

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

 

Under 1.25Over 1.50Under 1.50
4.11.353.1

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 1.75Under 1.75Over 2.00
1.452.6751.575

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

 

Under 2.00Over 2.50Under 2.50
2.352.11.7

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 2.75Under 2.75Over 3.00
2.4251.5253.1

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

 

Under 3.00Over 3.25Under 3.25
1.353.451.3

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 3.50Under 3.50Over 3.75
3.71.264.65

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

 

Under 3.75Over 4.00Under 4.00
1.1871.1

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap

Spain -1.25Croatia 1.25Spain -1.00
71.16.25

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Croatia 1.00Spain -0.75Croatia 0.75
1.123.451.3

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Spain -0.50Croatia 0.50Spain 0.00
2.61.4751.475

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Croatia 0.00Spain 0.25Croatia -0.25
2.61.2753.55

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Spain 0.50Croatia -0.50Spain 0.75
1.24.41.11

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

 

Croatia -0.75
6.6

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line

Over 0.50Under 0.50Over 0.75
1.452.6751.65

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line (cont.)

 

Under 0.75Over 1.25Under 1.25
2.22.61.475

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line (cont.)

 

Over 1.50Under 1.50Over 1.75
3.11.354.15

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line (cont.)

 

Under 1.75
1.22
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