Ecuador vs. Bolivia – Prediction and Betting Tips | Jun 13, 2024

On June 13, 2024, Ecuador will face Bolivia at Subaru Park in Pennsylvania as both teams continue their preparations for the 2024 Copa America. The match will serve as a crucial warm-up for both sides, with Ecuador looking to maintain their dominance over Bolivia following their 2-1 victory in the 2026 CONMEBOL World Cup qualifiers last October.


Detailed Analysis


Under head coach Felix Sanchez, who took over in March 2023, Ecuador has shown promising signs, with three wins and two draws from their opening six matches in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. Despite a mixed set of results earlier this year, including a 2-0 friendly win over Guatemala and a 2-0 loss to Italy, Ecuador is gearing up for the Copa America with a focus on improving their attacking threat.

Ecuador’s recent 1-0 friendly defeat to Argentina highlighted their struggles in the final third, as they failed to register a single shot on target. However, they will be confident of bouncing back against Bolivia, having won their last six meetings by an aggregate score of 14-4.


Key Players:

  • Enner Valencia: The experienced striker with 40 goals in 84 international appearances is expected to lead the line.
  • Kendry Paez: The 17-year-old, who has agreed to join Chelsea in 2025, could feature prominently in the number 10 role.
  • Carlos Gruezo: The midfielder with 57 caps will be crucial in controlling the tempo of the game.

Expected Lineup: Dominguez; Preciado, Pacho, Torres, Hincapie; Caicedo, Gruezo; Mena, Paez, Franco; Valencia


Bolivia, ranked 85th in the world by FIFA, has experienced mixed fortunes under new head coach Antonio Carlos Zago. Since his appointment in October 2023, Zago has overseen two wins and three losses, with the team struggling for consistency. A narrow 1-0 friendly win over Andorra was followed by a 1-0 defeat to Mexico, where Bolivia lacked cutting edge despite dominating possession.

Bolivia will aim to find their rhythm in their remaining warm-up matches against Ecuador and Colombia before their Copa America group-stage game against hosts USA.

Key Players:

  • Miguel Terceros: The Santos attacker will be a key player in the advanced role.
  • Carmelo Algaranaz: Expected to lead the line, Algaranaz’s role will be crucial in breaking down Ecuador’s defense.
  • Roberto Fernandez: The midfielder will be essential in transitioning play from defense to attack.

Expected Lineup: Lampe; Rocha, Quinteros, Je. Sagredo, Jo. Segredo; Saucedo, Justiniano; Chavez, Terceros, R. Vaca; Algaranaz

Head-to-Head and Previous Encounters

Ecuador has a dominant record against Bolivia, winning the last six encounters by a comfortable margin. Their most recent meeting ended in a 2-1 victory for Ecuador in October 2023. Historically, Ecuador has been the stronger side, and they will look to continue this trend in their upcoming friendly.


Betting Tips and Predictions

Match Winner Prediction

Given their recent form and historical dominance, Ecuador is favoured to win this friendly. Their superior squad depth and experience should see them through against Bolivia.

Prediction: predicts: Ecuador 3-1 Bolivia

Both Teams to Score

Considering Bolivia’s recent struggles in front of goal and Ecuador’s defensive solidity, it is unlikely that both teams will score.

Prediction: No

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

With Ecuador’s attacking prowess and Bolivia’s defensive vulnerabilities, we anticipate a match with over 2.5 goals.

Prediction: Over 2.5 goals


Ecuador has scored at least two goals in five of their last six meetings against Bolivia, showcasing their attacking efficiency against this opponent.


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