Burnley vs. Nottingham Forest – Prediction and Betting Tips | May 19, 2024

Needing just a point to guarantee Premier League survival, Nottingham Forest head to Turf Moor to face already-relegated Burnley on May 19, 2024, at 4:00 PM UK time. Forest’s hopes of securing safety last weekend were dashed by a late Chelsea comeback, while Burnley’s demotion was confirmed following a 2-1 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur.

Detailed Analysis

Burnley

Burnley’s season has been a challenging one, with manager Vincent Kompany earning praise for his commitment to a brave style of play. However, a lack of experience and missed opportunities have led to their relegation. Last weekend’s 2-1 loss to Tottenham encapsulated their struggles, as they couldn’t hold onto an early lead.

Despite their relegation, Burnley have shown resilience in recent weeks, losing only three of their last 10 Premier League matches. However, their inability to convert draws into wins has been their downfall. Burnley have lost each of their last six Premier League games on the final day of the season and have the worst home attacking record in the league, scoring just 18 goals at Turf Moor.

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Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest, managed by Gary O’Neil, were on the brink of securing their Premier League status last weekend against Chelsea. Despite taking the lead twice, they conceded two late goals to lose 3-2, delaying their survival confirmation. Forest are currently three points clear of the relegation zone, with a significantly better goal difference than Luton Town.

A draw or win against Burnley will guarantee Forest’s survival. Even if they lose, a six-goal swing in Luton’s favour would be required to send Forest down. Despite not keeping a clean sheet in their last 13 Premier League away matches, Forest are unlikely to fear a heavy defeat against an already-relegated Burnley side.

Historically, Burnley have had the upper hand against Forest, remaining unbeaten in their last eight encounters. However, a repeat of their 1-1 draw earlier this season would suffice for Forest to ensure their top-flight status.

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Head-to-Head and Previous Encounters

Burnley have been dominant against Forest in recent years, remaining unbeaten in their last eight matches. Their most recent encounter ended in a 1-1 draw in September 2023. Burnley last lost to Forest in the Championship in December 2012.

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Team News

Burnley

Burnley have several injury concerns:

• Luca Koleosho: Knee injury, unlikely to feature.
• Nathan Redmond: Thigh injury, out.
• Jordan Beyer: Thigh injury, out.
• Aaron Ramsey: Knee injury, out.
• Ameen Al-Dakhil: Unspecified injury, out.

Charlie Taylor and Maxime Esteve are fit and should feature. Vitinho may continue in an advanced left-wing role.

Burnley’s possible starting lineup:

• Goalkeeper: Muric
• Defenders: Assignon, O’Shea, Esteve, Taylor
• Midfielders: Bruun Larsen, Berge, Cullen, Vitinho
• Forwards: Odobert, Foster

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest have fewer injury concerns:

• Neco Williams: Thigh injury, doubtful.

The squad is otherwise well-stocked. Gonzalo Montiel, despite recent off-field allegations, is expected to be involved.

Nottingham Forest’s possible starting lineup:

• Goalkeeper: Sels
• Defenders: Montiel, Boly, Murillo, Aina
• Midfielders: Yates, Danilo
• Forwards: Elanga, Gibbs-White, Hudson-Odoi, Wood

Prediction

Match Outcome

Given Burnley’s relegation and Nottingham Forest’s need for a point to secure safety, Forest are likely to be more motivated. Burnley’s poor home form and attacking struggles further suggest that Forest have the upper hand.

(Odds are taken from bet365 and are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.T&Cs apply, 18+)

Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Burnley 1-2 Nottingham Forest odds at 11.00 bet365

Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score

With Burnley looking to end their season positively and Forest’s defensive vulnerabilities, it’s likely both teams will score.

Prediction: Yes

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Considering the stakes for Forest and Burnley’s defensive issues, this match is likely to see over 2.5 goals.

Prediction: Over 2.5

Hot Stat

Callum Hudson-Odoi has been instrumental for Forest in recent matches and could be key in securing their Premier League status.

119 average Markets available for Burnley v Nottm Forest

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Draw No Bet

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