Toulouse vs. Brest – Prediction and Betting Tips | May 19, 2024

Brest have a chance to automatically qualify for the Champions League group stage next season when they conclude their Ligue 1 campaign against Toulouse on May 19, 2024, at 8:00 PM UK time at Stadium de Toulouse. A 1-1 draw with Reims last Friday has Stade Brestois in fourth, behind Lille on goal difference, while Toulouse are currently 11th following an impressive 3-1 triumph at Paris Saint-Germain (PSG).

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Detailed Analysis

Toulouse

Toulouse have found their form late in the season, losing just once in their last seven Ligue 1 matches. Their recent victory over league champions PSG was a highlight, showcasing their potential and resilience. Toulouse’s away form has been stellar, winning eight of their last nine matches as visitors. However, their home form has been less impressive, with no wins in their last four home matches and only three home victories all season.

Despite their home struggles, Toulouse have shown consistency throughout the season, averaging 1.30 points per game, their highest since the 2013-14 campaign. They have only lost once when scoring multiple goals and have conceded in all but three home matches this season. Most of their victories have come in the second half of the season, with goals in all but three league matches this year.

Brest

Brest have had a magical season, securing a spot in the Champions League qualifiers and possibly achieving automatic group stage qualification. They are guaranteed their first-ever European campaign, currently sitting on 58 points, 14 more than last season. Eric Roy’s men need at least a point against Toulouse and for Lille not to match or better their result to secure automatic qualification.

Since their 2-0 defeat to Monaco in April, Brest have been in good form, picking up points in their last three league matches. They have won two of their last three away matches and have the chance to win consecutive away games in Ligue 1 for the first time this year. A win on Sunday would be their 200th all-time victory in the French top flight and extend their unbeaten run against Toulouse to six matches.

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Head-to-Head and Previous Encounters

Brest have had the upper hand in recent encounters with Toulouse, remaining unbeaten in their last five Ligue 1 meetings. The last time Toulouse defeated Brest in the league was in January 2020. Given their recent form and historical edge, Brest will be confident heading into this crucial fixture.

Team News

Toulouse

Toulouse will be without Moussa Diarra due to suspension, but Rasmus Nicolaisen is eligible to return after serving his own suspension. Manager Carles Martinez Novell made changes in their last match, bringing in Kevin Keben and Gabriel Suazo to replace Nicolaisen and Niklas Schmidt. Goals from Thijs Dallinga, Yann Gboho, and Frank Magri helped Toulouse secure a comfortable win against PSG.

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Toulouse’s possible starting lineup:

• Goalkeeper: Restes
• Defenders: Keben, Costa, Diarra
• Midfielders: Kamanzi, Casseres, Sierro, Suazo
• Forwards: Magri, Dallinga, Gboho

Brest

Brest will miss Pierre-Lees Melou, who recently suffered a broken leg, and Romain Del Castillo, who has a calf injury. Bradley Locko is also suspended. Eric Roy introduced Jonas Martin and Jeremy Le Douaron into the starting lineup against Reims, and both may feature again. Lilian Brassier’s first-half stoppage-time goal helped Brest secure a point against Reims.

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Brest’s possible starting lineup:

• Goalkeeper: Bizot
• Defenders: Lala, Chardonnet, Brassier, Cartillier
• Midfielders: Martin, Magnetti
• Forwards: Satriano, Lage, Le Douaron, Mounie

Prediction

Match Outcome

Given Brest’s need for at least a point to secure automatic Champions League qualification and their strong recent form, they are likely to come out on top against a Toulouse side that has struggled at home.

(Odds are taken from bet365 and are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.T&Cs apply, 18+)

Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Toulouse 1-2 Brest odds at 8.50bet365

Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score

With both teams having strong attacking options and Toulouse’s defensive vulnerabilities at home, it is likely that both teams will find the net.

Prediction: Yes

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Considering Brest’s motivation and Toulouse’s tendency to concede at home, this match is likely to see over 2.5 goals.

Prediction: Over 2.5

Hot Stat

Thijs Dallinga has been instrumental for Toulouse, and his recent goal against PSG highlights his importance in the attacking setup.

106 average Markets available for Toulouse v Brest

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Own Goal

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Draw No Bet

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