After suffering cup final heartbreak in midweek, Atalanta BC’s frantic season finale continues on Saturday evening, when they visit Lecce at Stadio Via del Mare. Scheduled for May 18, 2024, at 5:00 PM UK time, this Serie A clash sees Atalanta striving to secure fifth place in the league, while Lecce looks to guarantee their safety in Italy’s top flight.
Detailed Analysis
Atalanta BC
Atalanta BC, managed by Gian Piero Gasperini, experienced a tough loss in the Coppa Italia final against Juventus, falling 1-0 despite having a greater share of possession and hitting the post through Ademola Lookman. This defeat marks Gasperini’s third final loss since taking over the club, extending Atalanta’s long wait for silverware.
Back in Serie A, Atalanta must now focus on maintaining their top-five position. They recently secured a crucial 2-1 win over Roma, thanks to two early goals from Charles De Ketelaere. This victory gave them a three-point cushion with one game in hand, positioning them well for a strong finish.
Despite the cup disappointment, Atalanta has shown impressive form in 2024. Only Inter Milan has a higher points and goals average in the second half of the season. With an upcoming Europa League final against Bayer Leverkusen, the team will aim to build momentum with a win against Lecce.
Lecce
Lecce, led by Luca Gotti, aims to avoid relegation with a strong performance against Atalanta. They lost 1-0 in the reverse fixture in December, with Ademola Lookman scoring the only goal. However, Lecce has been in good form under Gotti, suffering just one loss in seven games since his arrival.
Despite their improved form, Lecce’s recent 2-0 home defeat to Udinese highlighted their struggles in front of goal. They have failed to score in four of their last six home games, scoring just six goals in nine matches at Via del Mare in 2024. This lack of goals has left them five points clear of the drop zone with two matches remaining.
Lecce’s attack will rely on top scorer Nikola Krstovic and Atalanta loanee Roberto Piccoli to find the net against their formidable opponents.
Head-to-Head and Previous Encounters
Atalanta has generally had the upper hand against Lecce, winning the reverse fixture 1-0 in December. Historically, Atalanta has been strong against Lecce, and they will aim to continue this trend to secure their league position.
Team News
Lecce
Lecce has a few injury concerns but will be boosted by the return of Roberto Piccoli from suspension. Kastriot Dermaku, Mohamed Kaba, and Lameck Banda are ruled out with knee injuries, while Nicola Sansone is doubtful with a calf problem.
Lecce’s possible starting lineup:
- Goalkeeper: Falcone
- Defenders: Gendrey, Baschirotto, Pongracic, Gallo
- Midfielders: Almqvist, Ramadani, Blin, Dorgu
- Forwards: Piccoli, Krstovic
Atalanta BC
Atalanta will miss Teun Koopmeiners due to suspension and Marten De Roon, who sustained a thigh injury in the Coppa Italia final. Emil Holm and Sead Kolasinac are also sidelined. Gianluca Scamacca returns from suspension and is expected to start, potentially replacing either Charles De Ketelaere or Ademola Lookman.
Atalanta BC’s possible starting lineup:
- Goalkeeper: Carnesecchi
- Defenders: Scalvini, Hien, Djimsiti
- Midfielders: Hateboer, Ederson, Pasalic, Ruggeri
- Forwards: Miranchuk, Lookman, Scamacca
Prediction
Match Outcome
Atalanta, despite their recent cup final loss, has shown strong form in Serie A. Lecce, while motivated to secure their safety, has struggled offensively. Atalanta’s superior quality and depth are likely to give them the edge in this encounter.
(Odds are taken from bet365 and are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.T&Cs apply, 18+)
Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Lecce 0-2 Atalanta BC odds at 8.00 bet365
Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score
Considering Lecce’s recent struggles in front of goal and Atalanta’s defensive solidity, it is likely that both teams may not score in this match.
Prediction: No
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Given Atalanta’s attacking prowess and Lecce’s defensive vulnerabilities, this match is likely to see over 2.5 goals.
Prediction: Over 2.5
Hot Stat
Charles De Ketelaere has been crucial for Atalanta, scoring twice in their recent win against Roma. He will be a key player to watch in this fixture.
119 average Markets available for Lecce v Atalanta
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No Goal |
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Handicap Result
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Double Chance
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Under 4.50 |
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1.01 |
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Atalanta – No |
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1.5 |
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Atalanta Only |
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3 |
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Draw No Bet
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Remi Oudin |
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9 |
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Alexandru Borbei |
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101 |
A Penalty in the Match
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Under 2.5 & No |
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Lecce – 3+ Goals |
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Atalanta – 3+ Goals |
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No / No |
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1.571 |
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Under 2.50 |
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1.105 |
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