Vitoria de Guimaraes vs. Penafiel – Prediction and Betting Tips | Jan 11, 2024

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques is set to host a captivating Taca de Portugal last-16 tie on January 11, 2024, at 8.15pm UK time, where Vitoria de Guimaraes welcomes second-tier adversaries, Penafiel. This encounter promises to be a thrilling spectacle, as Vitoria de Guimaraes aims to extend their winning streak at home, while Penafiel looks to upset the odds and end their winless run on the road.

Recent Form and Head-to-Head Analysis: Vitoria de Guimaraes, currently fifth in the Primeira Liga, has been in fine form, extending their unbeaten run across all competitions to six matches. Their resilience was on full display in a dramatic 1-1 draw with Braga, marked by Joao Mendes’ 98th-minute equaliser. Vitoria’s only Taca de Portugal triumph came in 2013, and they have breezed past lower-league opponents Moncarapachense and Vilaverdense with an aggregate score of 7-2 this season.

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Penafiel, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results in the LigaPro but has shown glimpses of brilliance, most notably in their 2-1 victory over Vilaverdense. Their journey to the last-16 has been commendable, with victories over Santa Maria and Vitoria Setubal. Notably, Penafiel ousted Braga in their most recent Taca de Portugal encounter in 2015.

Team News and Tactics: Vitoria is likely to field a strong lineup, despite missing midfielder Telmo Arcanjo due to injury. Charles is expected in goal, replacing Bruno Varela, with a robust defence led by Toni Borevkovic. Andre Silva, with seven goals this season, is set to lead the attack.

(Odds are taken from bet365 and are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.T&Cs apply, 18+)

Penafiel’s coach Helder Cristovao is anticipated to retain a three-man defence, with captain Leandro Teixeira playing a crucial role. The attacking threat will likely come from Gabriel Barbosa and Robinho, both with six goals this season.

Prediction and Betting Tips: Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Penafiel odds at 9.00 bet365. Vitoria’s strong home form and higher league standing make them favourites, but Penafiel’s resilience, especially in cup competitions, could see them put up a fierce fight.

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Additional Betting Markets:

Both Teams to Score: YES
Over/Under 2.5 Goals: OVER

This match promises to be an enthralling encounter, with both teams eager to progress in Portugal’s prestigious cup competition.

75 average Markets available for Guimaraes v Penafiel

Full Time Result

Home Win	Draw	Away Win
1.333	4.5	8.5

Half Time/Full Time

Guimaraes – Guimaraes	Guimaraes – Draw	Guimaraes – Penafiel
2	17	51

Half Time/Full Time (cont.)

Draw – Guimaraes	Draw – Draw	Draw – Penafiel
3.75	6.5	17

Half Time/Full Time (cont.)

Penafiel – Guimaraes	Penafiel – Draw	Penafiel – Penafiel
21	21	15

Correct Score

Guimaraes #4-2	Guimaraes #6-2	Guimaraes #7-0
41	151	126

Correct Score (cont.)

Guimaraes #6-1	Guimaraes #1-0	Guimaraes #3-0
67	6.5	8.5

Correct Score (cont.)

Guimaraes #3-1	Guimaraes #4-1	Guimaraes #2-0
12	21	6

Correct Score (cont.)

Guimaraes #3-2	Guimaraes #5-2	Guimaraes #5-1
34	81	41

Correct Score (cont.)

Guimaraes #5-3	Guimaraes #7-1	Guimaraes #2-1
251	151	9

Correct Score (cont.)

Guimaraes #4-0	Guimaraes #6-0	Guimaraes #4-3
15	51	126

Correct Score (cont.)

Guimaraes #8-0	Guimaraes #5-0	Draw #3-3
351	29	81

Correct Score (cont.)

Draw #0-0	Draw #2-2	Draw #1-1
11	23	9

Correct Score (cont.)

Penafiel #1-0	Penafiel #4-1	Penafiel #2-1
19	251	23

Correct Score (cont.)

Penafiel #3-0	Penafiel #4-2	Penafiel #4-3
101	201	301

Correct Score (cont.)

Penafiel #3-2	Penafiel #2-0	Penafiel #3-1
67	41	67

Winning Margin

Guimaraes by 1	Penafiel by 1	Guimaraes by 2
3.75	10	4

Winning Margin (cont.)

Penafiel by 2	Guimaraes by 3	Penafiel by 3
29	6	81

Winning Margin (cont.)

Guimaraes by 4+	Penafiel by 4+	Score Draw
7.5	351	7

Winning Margin (cont.)

No Goal
11

Handicap Result

Guimaraes (-1) -1.00	Tie – (Penafiel +1) 1.00	Penafiel (+1) 1.00
2	3.75	3.25

Total Goals

Under 2.50	Over 2.50
2	1.8

To Qualify

Guimaraes	Penafiel
1.167	5

First Team to Score

Guimaraes	No Goals	Penafiel
1.25	11	4.5

Half-Time

Guimaraes	Draw	Penafiel
1.833	2.4	8

Total Goal Minutes

Over 145 minutes	125 To 145 minutes inc.	Under 125 minutes
2.1	9	1.833

Total Goals Odd/Even

Even	Odd
1.9	1.95

Double Chance

Guimaraes or Draw	Draw or Penafiel	Guimaraes or Penafiel
1.083	3.25	1.182

Team Total Goals

Guimaraes Over 0.50	Guimaraes Under 0.50	Guimaraes Over 1.50
1.1	7	1.533

Team Total Goals (cont.)

Guimaraes Under 1.50	Guimaraes Over 2.50	Guimaraes Under 2.50
2.375	2.625	1.444

Team Total Goals (cont.)

Guimaraes Over 3.50	Guimaraes Under 3.50	Guimaraes Over 4.50
5.5	1.143	13

Team Total Goals (cont.)

Guimaraes Under 4.50	Guimaraes Over 5.50	Guimaraes Under 5.50
1.04	26	1.01

Team Total Goals (cont.)

Penafiel Over 0.50	Penafiel Under 0.50	Penafiel Over 1.50
1.909	1.8	6

Team Total Goals (cont.)

Penafiel Under 1.50	Penafiel Over 2.50	Penafiel Under 2.50
1.125	21	1.015

Both Teams to Score

Yes	No
2.2	1.615

Alternative Total Goals

Over 0.50	Under 0.50	Over 1.50
1.05	11	1.25

Alternative Total Goals (cont.)

Under 1.50	Over 3.50	Under 3.50
3.75	3	1.364

Alternative Total Goals (cont.)

Over 4.50	Under 4.50	Over 5.50
6	1.125	13

Alternative Total Goals (cont.)

Under 5.50	Over 6.50	Under 6.50
1.04	26	1.01

Alternative Total Goals (cont.)

Over 7.50	Under 7.50
51	1.002

Exact Total Goals

0 Goals	1 Goal	2 Goals
11	5	3.75

Exact Total Goals (cont.)

3 Goals	4 Goals	5 Goals
4	5.5	10

Exact Total Goals (cont.)

6 Goals	7+ Goals
21	26

Alternative Handicap Result

Guimaraes -3.00	Tie – Penafiel 3.00	Penafiel 3.00
7.5	6	1.25

Alternative Handicap Result (cont.)

Guimaraes -2.00	Tie – Penafiel 2.00	Penafiel 2.00
3.6	4	1.727

Alternative Handicap Result (cont.)

Guimaraes 1.00	Tie – Penafiel -1.00	Penafiel -1.00
1.083	10	23

Alternative Handicap Result (cont.)

Guimaraes 2.00	Tie – Penafiel -2.00	Penafiel -2.00
1.015	29	51

Exact 1st Half Goals

0 Goals	1 Goal	2 Goals
3	2.5	4

Exact 1st Half Goals (cont.)

3 Goals	4 Goals	5+ Goals
9.5	26	51

1st Half Goals Odd/Even

Odd	Even
2.1	1.727

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result

Guimaraes -3.00	Tie – Penafiel 3.00	Penafiel 3.00
41	17	1.036

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result (cont.)

Guimaraes -2.00	Tie – Penafiel 2.00	Penafiel 2.00
12	5.5	1.167

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result (cont.)

Guimaraes 1.00	Tie – Penafiel -1.00	Penafiel -1.00
1.063	8.5	41

2nd Half Result

Guimaraes	Draw	Penafiel
1.615	2.75	7

2nd Half Goals

Over 0.50	Under 0.50	Over 1.50
1.222	4	2

2nd Half Goals (cont.)

Under 1.50	Over 2.50	Under 2.50
1.727	4.333	1.2

2nd Half Goals (cont.)

Over 3.50	Under 3.50	Over 4.50
11	1.05	26

2nd Half Goals (cont.)

Under 4.50
1.01

Clean Sheet

Guimaraes – Yes	Guimaraes – No	Penafiel – Yes
1.8	1.909	7

Clean Sheet (cont.)

Penafiel – No
1.1

Teams to Score

Both Teams	Guimaraes Only	No Goal
2.2	2	11

Teams to Score (cont.)

Penafiel Only
13

Result / Total Goals

Guimaraes & Over 2.50	Guimaraes & Under 2.50	Draw & Over 2.50
2.1	3.25	21

Result / Total Goals (cont.)

Draw & Under 2.50	Penafiel & Over 2.50	Penafiel & Under 2.50
5.5	15	13

Time of 1st Team Goal

Guimaraes – Goal before 36:00	Guimaraes – No Goal before 36:00
1.833	1.833

Time of 1st Team Goal

Penafiel – Goal before 79:00	Penafiel – No Goal before 79:00
2.25	1.571

To Win From Behind

Guimaraes to win from behind	Penafiel to win from behind
8	26

To Win to Nil

Guimaraes to win to nil	Penafiel to win to nil
2	13

To Win Either Half

Guimaraes to win either half	Penafiel to win either half
1.222	4

To Win Both Halves

Guimaraes to win both halves	Penafiel to win both halves
3.25	41

To Score in Both Halves

Guimaraes to score in both halves	Penafiel to score in both halves
2.2	11

10 Minute Result

Guimaraes	Draw	Penafiel
5.5	1.167	15

Goals in First 10 Minutes

Over 0.50	Under 0.50
4.333	1.2

Method of Victory

Guimaraes to Win in 90 minutes	Penafiel to Win in 90 minutes	Guimaraes to Win in Extra Time
1.333	8.5	11

Method of Victory (cont.)

Penafiel to Win in Extra Time	Guimaraes Win after Penalties	Penafiel Win after Penalties
34	15	17

Exact 2nd Half Goals

0 Goals	1 Goal	2 Goals
4	2.75	3.5

Exact 2nd Half Goals (cont.)

3 Goals	4 Goals	5+ Goals
6.5	15	26

Half Time Double Chance

Guimaraes or Draw	Draw or Penafiel	Guimaraes or Penafiel
1.063	1.833	1.533

Early Goal

Goal before 28:00	No Goal before 28:00
1.833	1.833

Late Goal

Goal after 76:59	No Goal after 76:59
1.833	1.833

Last Team to Score

Guimaraes	No Goal	Penafiel
1.25	11	4.5

Number of Goals in Match

Under 2 goals	2 or 3 goals	Over 3 goals
3.75	2	3

Half with Most Goals

1st Half	2nd Half	Tie
3	2.05	3.6

First Half Goals

Over 0.50	Under 0.50	Over 1.50
1.364	3	2.625

First Half Goals (cont.)

Under 1.50	Over 2.50	Under 2.50
1.444	7	1.1

First Half Goals (cont.)

Over 3.50	Under 3.50
19	1.02

Half Time Correct Score

Guimaraes #1-0	Guimaraes #5-0	Guimaraes #4-1
3.2	151	101

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

Guimaraes #3-1	Guimaraes #3-0	Guimaraes #2-1
41	19	19

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

Guimaraes #3-2	Guimaraes #2-0	Guimaraes #4-0
151	6.5	51

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

Draw #2-2	Draw #0-0	Draw #1-1
67	3	10

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

Penafiel #1-0	Penafiel #2-0	Penafiel #3-0
9	41	201

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

Penafiel #3-1	Penafiel #2-1
201	41

Time of First Goal Brackets

1-10	11-20	21-30
4.333	5	6

Time of First Goal Brackets (cont.)

31-40	41-50	51-60
7	8	13

Time of First Goal Brackets (cont.)

61-70	71-80	81 – Full Time
17	21	21

Time of First Goal Brackets (cont.)

No Goal
11

Draw No Bet

Guimaraes	Penafiel
1.111	6.5

1st Half – Handicap

Guimaraes -1.00	Tie – Penafiel 1.00	Penafiel 1.00
4.5	2.875	1.833

Game Decided in Extra Time

Yes	No
9	1.071

Game Decided After Penalties

Yes	No
8	1.083

Result/Both Teams to Score

Guimaraes & Yes	Guimaraes & No	Penafiel & Yes
3.5	2	17

Result/Both Teams to Score (cont.)

Penafiel & No	Draw & Yes	Draw & No
13	6.5	11

Total Goals/Both Teams to Score

Over 2.5 & Yes	Over 2.5 & No	Under 2.5 & Yes
2.75	4.5	9.5

Total Goals/Both Teams to Score (cont.)

Under 2.5 & No
2.3

Home Team Odd/Even Goals

Guimaraes – Even	Guimaraes – Odd
1.833	1.833

Away Team Odd/Even Goals

Penafiel – Even	Penafiel – Odd
1.5	2.5

Home Team Exact Goals

Guimaraes – 0 Goals	Guimaraes – 1 Goal	Guimaraes – 2 Goals
7	3.4	3.25

Home Team Exact Goals (cont.)

Guimaraes – 3+ Goals
2.625

Away Team Exact Goals

Penafiel – 0 Goals	Penafiel – 1 Goal	Penafiel – 2 Goals
1.8	2.6	7.5

Away Team Exact Goals (cont.)

Penafiel – 3+ Goals
21

Home Team Highest Scoring Half

Guimaraes – 1st Half	Guimaraes – 2nd Half	Guimaraes – Tie
3.1	2.2	3

Away Team Highest Scoring Half

Penafiel – 1st Half	Penafiel – 2nd Half	Penafiel – Tie
4.75	3.6	1.615

Home Team to Score in 1st Half

Guimaraes – Yes	Guimaraes – No
1.571	2.25

Away Team to Score in 1st Half

Penafiel – Yes	Penafiel – No
3.75	1.25

Both Teams to Score in 1st Half

Yes	No
6	1.125

Half Time Result/Both Teams to Score

Guimaraes & Yes	Guimaraes & No	Draw & Yes
15	2.05	9.5

Half Time Result/Both Teams to Score (cont.)

Draw & No	Penafiel & Yes	Penafiel & No
3	41	8

Half Time Result/Total Goals

Guimaraes & Over 1.5	Guimaraes & Under 1.5	Draw & Over 1.5
3.75	3.2	10

Half Time Result/Total Goals (cont.)

Draw & Under 1.5	Penafiel & Over 1.5	Penafiel & Under 1.5
3	26	9

Home Team to Score in 2nd Half

Guimaraes – Yes	Guimaraes – No
1.364	3

Away Team to Score in 2nd Half

Penafiel – Yes	Penafiel – No
3	1.364

Both Teams to Score in 2nd Half

Yes	No
4.333	1.2

2nd Half Goals Odd/Even

Odd	Even
1.909	1.8

Both Teams to Score 1st Half – 2nd Half

Yes / Yes	Yes / No	No / Yes
23	6.5	4.5

Both Teams to Score 1st Half – 2nd Half (cont.)

No / No
1.4

Asian Handicap

Guimaraes -1.25	Penafiel 1.25
1.8	2

Goal Line

Over 2.50	Under 2.50
1.825	1.975

1st Half Goal Line

Over 1.00	Under 1.00
1.775	2.025

1st Half Asian Handicap

Guimaraes -0.50	Penafiel 0.50
1.875	1.925

Alternative Asian Handicap

Guimaraes -3.25	Penafiel 3.25	Guimaraes -3.00
7	1.1	6.6

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

Penafiel 3.00	Guimaraes -2.75	Penafiel 2.75
1.11	4.5	1.19

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

Guimaraes -2.50	Penafiel 2.50	Guimaraes -2.25
3.55	1.275	3.3

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

Penafiel 2.25	Guimaraes -2.00	Penafiel 2.00
1.325	2.85	1.4

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

Guimaraes -1.75	Penafiel 1.75	Guimaraes -1.50
2.35	1.575	2.05

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

Penafiel 1.50	Guimaraes -1.00	Penafiel 1.00
1.75	1.55	2.375

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

Guimaraes -0.75	Penafiel 0.75	Guimaraes -0.50
1.425	2.75	1.35

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

Penafiel 0.50	Guimaraes -0.25	Penafiel 0.25
3.1	1.23	4

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

Guimaraes 0.00	Penafiel 0.00
1.115	6.4

Alternative Goal Line

Over 1.25	Under 1.25	Over 1.50
1.16	5.25	1.26

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Under 1.50	Over 1.75	Under 1.75
3.7	1.325	3.3

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Over 2.00	Under 2.00	Over 2.25
1.4	2.85	1.6

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Under 2.25	Over 2.75	Under 2.75
2.3	2.05	1.75

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Over 3.00	Under 3.00	Over 3.25
2.375	1.55	2.75

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Under 3.25	Over 3.50	Under 3.50
1.425	3	1.375

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Over 3.75	Under 3.75	Over 4.00
3.7	1.26	5

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Under 4.00	Over 4.25	Under 4.25
1.17	5.5	1.15

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Over 4.50	Under 4.50
5.9	1.13

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap

Guimaraes -1.75	Penafiel 1.75	Guimaraes -1.50
6.25	1.12	4.5

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

Penafiel 1.50	Guimaraes -1.25	Penafiel 1.25
1.19	3.8	1.25

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

Guimaraes -1.00	Penafiel 1.00	Guimaraes -0.75
3.3	1.325	2.25

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

Penafiel 0.75	Guimaraes -0.25	Penafiel 0.25
1.625	1.525	2.425

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

Guimaraes 0.00	Penafiel 0.00	Guimaraes 0.25
1.175	4.8	1.125

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

Penafiel -0.25
6

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line

Over 0.50	Under 0.50	Over 0.75
1.375	3	1.5

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line (cont.)

Under 0.75	Over 1.25	Under 1.25
2.5	2.25	1.625

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line (cont.)

Over 1.50	Under 1.50	Over 1.75
2.675	1.45	3.45

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line (cont.)

Under 1.75	Over 2.00	Under 2.00
1.3	5.5	1.15

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line (cont.)

Over 2.25	Under 2.25	Over 2.50
6	1.125	6.8

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line (cont.)

Under 2.50
1.105

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January 9, 2024