Prediction: Borussia Dortmund vs. Newcastle United – Champions League Preview and Analysis – Nov 7, 2023

In a highly anticipated rematch in Champions League Group F, Borussia Dortmund faces Newcastle United on November 7, 2023, at 5:45 pm UK time. Revenge is on the agenda for Newcastle United after their 1-0 loss to Dortmund in the previous encounter.

Dortmund’s Defensive Solidity:

In their last meeting, Borussia Dortmund’s rock-solid defense stifled Newcastle United, leading to a 1-0 victory for the German side. Felix Nmecha scored the decisive goal, and Dortmund’s defense showed their mettle by thwarting Newcastle’s attacks. With both teams now level on four points in the group, the head-to-head record gives Dortmund the edge.

Despite a recent 4-0 loss to Bayern Munich in Der Klassiker, Borussia Dortmund has been historically strong at home in the Champions League. They have lost just one of their last 16 home group games in the competition, providing them with confidence ahead of this crucial match.

Newcastle’s Resurgence:

Newcastle United has undergone a resurgence since their loss to Dortmund. They secured impressive victories over Manchester United and Arsenal, marking two years since Eddie Howe’s appointment as manager. Their solid away form this season, with a five-game unbeaten run, adds to their confidence.

Historically, Newcastle has performed well in UEFA group stages, losing just three of their last 21 such games. Their strong form matches up well with their historical record of never losing away to German opponents.

Team News:

Dortmund has only three players in the treatment room, with Emre Can, Mateu Morey, and Julian Duranville dealing with injuries. They have several attacking options, with Karim Adeyemi and Felix Nmecha competing for starting spots.

Newcastle United, on the other hand, has several injury concerns, including Jacob Murphy, Dan Burn, Matt Targett, Alexander Isak, Harvey Barnes, Elliot Anderson, Sven Botman, and Javi Manquillo. With defensive issues, Tino Livramento could feature at left-back.

Predicted Lineups:

Borussia Dortmund: Kobel; Wolf, Hummels, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini; Nmecha, Ozcan, Sabitzer; Reus, Fullkrug, Adeyemi

Newcastle United: Pope; Livramento, Schar, Lascelles, Trippier; Longstaff, Guimaraes, Joelinton; Almiron, Wilson, Gordon

Analysis:

Borussia Dortmund holds the advantage in terms of historical home form in the Champions League, but Newcastle United’s recent resurgence and strong away record make this clash highly competitive. Both teams are on four points in the group and will be eager to secure a crucial victory.

Key Battle:

Julian Brandt’s potential return for Dortmund and Miguel Almirón’s attacking prowess for Newcastle could be key factors in this matchup. Brandt has a history of making an impact in important games, while Almirón has been instrumental for Newcastle.

AD:

Hot Stat:

Only one of Dortmund’s last six competitive games was level at halftime, indicating a tendency for early goals.

Prediction: Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Newcastle United

In a closely contested match, we predict a 2-1 victory for Borussia Dortmund. Their historical home strength in the Champions League and attacking options should give them a slight edge, but Newcastle United is expected to put up a strong fight.

Other Betting Predictions:

Both Teams to Score: Yes
Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5
Hot Stat: Consider betting on the First Goal to be scored within the first 30 minutes, given Dortmund’s recent trend of early goals.

(Odds are taken from bet365 and are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.T&Cs apply, 18+)

74 average Markets available for Borussia Dortmund v Newcastle

Full Time Result

Home Win	Draw	Away Win
2.6	3.5	2.55

Half Time/Full Time

Borussia Dortmund – Borussia Dortmund	Borussia Dortmund – Draw	Borussia Dortmund – Newcastle	Draw – Borussia Dortmund	Draw – Draw	Draw – Newcastle	Newcastle – Borussia Dortmund	Newcastle – Draw
4.333	13	23	6.5	6	6	23	13

Half Time/Full Time (cont.)

Newcastle – Newcastle
4

Correct Score

Borussia Dortmund #1-0	Borussia Dortmund #2-1	Borussia Dortmund #4-1	Borussia Dortmund #3-2	Borussia Dortmund #6-0	Borussia Dortmund #3-1	Borussia Dortmund #4-0	Borussia Dortmund #6-1
11	10	41	26	351	19	51	251

Correct Score (cont.)

Borussia Dortmund #5-2	Borussia Dortmund #5-1	Borussia Dortmund #5-3	Borussia Dortmund #6-2	Borussia Dortmund #2-0	Borussia Dortmund #4-3	Borussia Dortmund #3-0	Borussia Dortmund #4-2
101	81	201	351	15	81	26	51

Correct Score (cont.)

Borussia Dortmund #5-0	Draw #2-2	Draw #3-3	Draw #4-4	Draw #0-0	Draw #1-1	Newcastle #5-4	Newcastle #2-1
101	12	41	151	13	7	451	10

Correct Score (cont.)

Newcastle #4-3	Newcastle #5-3	Newcastle #3-0	Newcastle #5-0	Newcastle #6-0	Newcastle #2-0	Newcastle #6-1	Newcastle #6-2
67	151	26	101	351	13	251	301

Correct Score (cont.)

Newcastle #3-2	Newcastle #4-1	Newcastle #5-1	Newcastle #5-2	Newcastle #4-0	Newcastle #1-0	Newcastle #3-1	Newcastle #4-2
23	41	81	101	51	10	19	51

Winning Margin

Borussia Dortmund by 1	Newcastle by 1	Borussia Dortmund by 2	Newcastle by 2	Borussia Dortmund by 3	Newcastle by 3	Borussia Dortmund by 4+	Newcastle by 4+
4.5	4.5	7.5	7.5	17	15	29	26

Winning Margin (cont.)

Score Draw	No Goal
4.333	13

Handicap Result

Borussia Dortmund (+1) 1.00	Tie – (Newcastle -1) -1.00	Newcastle (-1) -1.00
1.5	4.5	5

Total Goals

Under 2.50	Over 2.50
2.1	1.7

First Team to Score

Borussia Dortmund	No Goals	Newcastle
2.05	13	1.833

Half-Time

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Newcastle
3.2	2.25	3.1

Total Goal Minutes

Over 150 minutes	130 To 150 minutes inc.	Under 130 minutes
2.1	9	1.909

Total Goals Odd/Even

Even	Odd
1.9	1.95

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw	Draw or Newcastle	Borussia Dortmund or Newcastle
1.5	1.5	1.286

Team Total Goals

Borussia Dortmund Over 0.50	Borussia Dortmund Under 0.50	Borussia Dortmund Over 1.50	Borussia Dortmund Under 1.50	Borussia Dortmund Over 2.50	Borussia Dortmund Under 2.50	Borussia Dortmund Over 3.50	Borussia Dortmund Under 3.50
1.25	3.75	2.2	1.615	5	1.167	13	1.04

Team Total Goals (cont.)

Borussia Dortmund Over 4.50	Borussia Dortmund Under 4.50	Newcastle Over 0.50	Newcastle Under 0.50	Newcastle Over 1.50	Newcastle Under 1.50	Newcastle Over 2.50	Newcastle Under 2.50
34	1.005	1.25	3.75	2.2	1.615	5	1.167

Team Total Goals (cont.)

Newcastle Over 3.50	Newcastle Under 3.50	Newcastle Over 4.50	Newcastle Under 4.50
13	1.04	29	1.007

Both Teams to Score

Yes	No
1.615	2.2

Alternative Total Goals

Over 0.50	Under 0.50	Over 1.50	Under 1.50	Over 3.50	Under 3.50	Over 4.50	Under 4.50
1.04	13	1.222	4.333	2.75	1.444	5	1.167

Alternative Total Goals (cont.)

Over 5.50	Under 5.50	Over 6.50	Under 6.50	Over 7.50	Under 7.50
10	1.063	21	1.015	41	1.004

Exact Total Goals

0 Goals	1 Goal	2 Goals	3 Goals	4 Goals	5 Goals	6 Goals	7+ Goals
13	5.5	3.75	4	5.5	9	17	21

Alternative Handicap Result

Borussia Dortmund -2.00	Tie – Newcastle 2.00	Newcastle 2.00	Borussia Dortmund -1.00	Tie – Newcastle 1.00	Newcastle 1.00	Borussia Dortmund 2.00	Tie – Newcastle -2.00
11	7.5	1.143	5	4.5	1.5	1.167	7.5

Alternative Handicap Result (cont.)

Newcastle -2.00	Borussia Dortmund 3.00	Tie – Newcastle -3.00	Newcastle -3.00
11	1.04	15	26

Exact 1st Half Goals

0 Goals	1 Goal	2 Goals	3 Goals	4 Goals	5+ Goals
3.25	2.6	4	9	23	51

1st Half Goals Odd/Even

Odd	Even
2.1	1.727

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result

Borussia Dortmund -1.00	Tie – Newcastle 1.00	Newcastle 1.00	Borussia Dortmund 2.00	Tie – Newcastle -2.00	Newcastle -2.00	Borussia Dortmund 3.00	Tie – Newcastle -3.00
10	4	1.364	1.05	12	34	1.01	41

Alternative 1st Half Handicap Result (cont.)

Newcastle -3.00
126

2nd Half Result

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Newcastle
2.75	2.6	2.75

2nd Half Goals

Over 0.50	Under 0.50	Over 1.50	Under 1.50	Over 2.50	Under 2.50	Over 3.50	Under 3.50
1.182	4.5	1.833	1.833	3.75	1.25	10	1.063

2nd Half Goals (cont.)

Over 4.50	Under 4.50
23	1.012

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund – Yes	Borussia Dortmund – No	Newcastle – Yes	Newcastle – No
3.75	1.25	3.75	1.25

Teams to Score

Both Teams	Borussia Dortmund Only	No Goal	Newcastle Only
1.615	5	13	5

Result / Total Goals

Borussia Dortmund & Over 2.50	Borussia Dortmund & Under 2.50	Draw & Over 2.50	Draw & Under 2.50	Newcastle & Over 2.50	Newcastle & Under 2.50
4	6.5	10	4.75	3.75	6.5

Time of 1st Team Goal

Borussia Dortmund – Goal before 50:00	Borussia Dortmund – No Goal before 50:00
1.833	1.833

Time of 1st Team Goal

Newcastle – Goal before 50:00	Newcastle – No Goal before 50:00
1.833	1.833

1st Goal Method

Shot	Header	Penalty	Free Kick	Own Goal	No Goal
1.444	6	7	21	26	13

To Win From Behind

Borussia Dortmund to win from behind	Newcastle to win from behind
10	10

To Win to Nil

Borussia Dortmund to win to nil	Newcastle to win to nil
5	5

To Win Either Half

Borussia Dortmund to win either half	Newcastle to win either half
1.8	1.8

To Win Both Halves

Borussia Dortmund to win both halves	Newcastle to win both halves
9	9

To Score in Both Halves

Borussia Dortmund to score in both halves	Newcastle to score in both halves
3.5	3.5

To Score a Penalty

Borussia Dortmund to score a penalty	Newcastle to score a penalty
6	5.5

To Miss a Penalty

Borussia Dortmund to miss a penalty	Newcastle to miss a penalty
19	19

10 Minute Result

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Newcastle
7.5	1.167	7.5

Goals in First 10 Minutes

Over 0.50	Under 0.50
4.333	1.2

Exact 2nd Half Goals

0 Goals	1 Goal	2 Goals	3 Goals	4 Goals	5+ Goals
4.5	2.875	3.4	6	13	23

Half Time Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw	Draw or Newcastle	Borussia Dortmund or Newcastle
1.364	1.364	1.571

Early Goal

Goal before 27:00	No Goal before 27:00
1.833	1.833

Late Goal

Goal after 75:59	No Goal after 75:59
1.833	1.833

Last Team to Score

Borussia Dortmund	No Goal	Newcastle
2.05	13	1.833

Number of Goals in Match

Under 2 goals	2 or 3 goals	Over 3 goals
4.333	2	2.75

Half with Most Goals

1st Half	2nd Half	Tie
3.1	1.952	3.75

First Half Goals

Over 0.50	Under 0.50	Over 1.50	Under 1.50	Over 2.50	Under 2.50	Over 3.50	Under 3.50
1.333	3.25	2.625	1.444	6.5	1.111	19	1.02

Half Time Correct Score

Borussia Dortmund #3-1	Borussia Dortmund #3-0	Borussia Dortmund #4-1	Borussia Dortmund #3-2	Borussia Dortmund #1-0	Borussia Dortmund #2-1	Borussia Dortmund #4-0	Borussia Dortmund #2-0
51	41	201	126	4.75	21	151	13

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

Draw #3-3	Draw #0-0	Draw #1-1	Draw #2-2	Newcastle #2-1	Newcastle #3-2	Newcastle #4-2	Newcastle #2-0
451	3.25	7.5	41	21	126	501	13

Half Time Correct Score (cont.)

Newcastle #3-0	Newcastle #3-1	Newcastle #4-0	Newcastle #4-1	Newcastle #1-0
41	51	151	201	4.75

Time of First Goal Brackets

1-10	11-20	21-30	31-40	41-50	51-60	61-70	71-80
4.333	4.75	6	7	8	13	17	21

Time of First Goal Brackets (cont.)

81 – Full Time	No Goal
21	13

Draw No Bet

Borussia Dortmund	Newcastle
1.833	1.833

1st Half – Handicap

Borussia Dortmund 1.00	Tie – Newcastle -1.00	Newcastle -1.00
1.364	3.75	9.5

Result/Both Teams to Score

Borussia Dortmund & Yes	Borussia Dortmund & No	Newcastle & Yes	Newcastle & No	Draw & Yes	Draw & No
4.75	5	4.5	5	4.333	13

Total Goals/Both Teams to Score

Over 2.5 & Yes	Over 2.5 & No	Under 2.5 & Yes	Under 2.5 & No
1.952	10	6.5	2.75

Home Team Odd/Even Goals

Borussia Dortmund – Even	Borussia Dortmund – Odd
1.8	1.909

Away Team Odd/Even Goals

Newcastle – Even	Newcastle – Odd
1.8	1.909

Home Team Exact Goals

Borussia Dortmund – 0 Goals	Borussia Dortmund – 1 Goal	Borussia Dortmund – 2 Goals	Borussia Dortmund – 3+ Goals
3.75	2.625	3.6	5

Away Team Exact Goals

Newcastle – 0 Goals	Newcastle – 1 Goal	Newcastle – 2 Goals	Newcastle – 3+ Goals
3.75	2.625	3.6	5

Home Team Highest Scoring Half

Borussia Dortmund – 1st Half	Borussia Dortmund – 2nd Half	Borussia Dortmund – Tie
3.5	2.4	2.4

Away Team Highest Scoring Half

Newcastle – 1st Half	Newcastle – 2nd Half	Newcastle – Tie
3.5	2.4	2.4

Home Team to Score in 1st Half

Borussia Dortmund – Yes	Borussia Dortmund – No
2	1.727

Away Team to Score in 1st Half

Newcastle – Yes	Newcastle – No
2	1.727

Both Teams to Score in 1st Half

Yes	No
4	1.222

Half Time Result/Both Teams to Score

Borussia Dortmund & Yes	Borussia Dortmund & No	Draw & Yes	Draw & No	Newcastle & Yes	Newcastle & No
17	3.6	7	3.25	17	3.6

Half Time Result/Total Goals

Borussia Dortmund & Over 1.5	Borussia Dortmund & Under 1.5	Draw & Over 1.5	Draw & Under 1.5	Newcastle & Over 1.5	Newcastle & Under 1.5
7.5	4.75	7	3.25	7.5	4.75

Home Team to Score in 2nd Half

Borussia Dortmund – Yes	Borussia Dortmund – No
1.667	2.1

Away Team to Score in 2nd Half

Newcastle – Yes	Newcastle – No
1.667	2.1

Both Teams to Score in 2nd Half

Yes	No
2.75	1.4

2nd Half Goals Odd/Even

Odd	Even
1.909	1.8

Both Teams to Score 1st Half – 2nd Half

Yes / Yes	Yes / No	No / Yes	No / No
12	5.5	3.5	1.727

Asian Handicap

Borussia Dortmund 0.00	Newcastle 0.00
1.94	1.96

Goal Line

Over 2.75	Under 2.75
1.95	1.95

1st Half Goal Line

Over 1.00	Under 1.00
1.725	2.15

1st Half Asian Handicap

Borussia Dortmund 0.00	Newcastle 0.00
1.925	1.925

Alternative Asian Handicap

Borussia Dortmund -1.75	Newcastle 1.75	Borussia Dortmund -1.50	Newcastle 1.50	Borussia Dortmund -1.25	Newcastle 1.25	Borussia Dortmund -1.00	Newcastle 1.00
6.6	1.11	5	1.17	4.4	1.2	4	1.23

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

Borussia Dortmund -0.75	Newcastle 0.75	Borussia Dortmund -0.50	Newcastle 0.50	Borussia Dortmund -0.25	Newcastle 0.25	Borussia Dortmund 0.25	Newcastle -0.25
3	1.375	2.5	1.5	2.2	1.65	1.65	2.2

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

Borussia Dortmund 0.50	Newcastle -0.50	Borussia Dortmund 0.75	Newcastle -0.75	Borussia Dortmund 1.00	Newcastle -1.00	Borussia Dortmund 1.25	Newcastle -1.25
1.5	2.5	1.35	3.1	1.225	4.1	1.19	4.5

Alternative Asian Handicap (cont.)

Borussia Dortmund 1.50	Newcastle -1.50	Borussia Dortmund 1.75	Newcastle -1.75
1.17	5	1.11	6.6

Alternative Goal Line

Over 1.25	Under 1.25	Over 1.50	Under 1.50	Over 1.75	Under 1.75	Over 2.00	Under 2.00
1.13	5.9	1.22	4.15	1.26	3.7	1.325	3.3

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Over 2.25	Under 2.25	Over 2.50	Under 2.50	Over 3.00	Under 3.00	Over 3.25	Under 3.25
1.525	2.425	1.7	2.1	2.15	1.675	2.425	1.525

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Over 3.50	Under 3.50	Over 3.75	Under 3.75	Over 4.00	Under 4.00	Over 4.25	Under 4.25
2.675	1.45	3.3	1.325	4.25	1.21	4.65	1.18

Alternative Goal Line (cont.)

Over 4.50	Under 4.50	Over 4.75	Under 4.75
5.25	1.16	6.4	1.115

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap

Borussia Dortmund -0.75	Newcastle 0.75	Borussia Dortmund -0.50	Newcastle 0.50	Borussia Dortmund -0.25	Newcastle 0.25	Borussia Dortmund 0.25	Newcastle -0.25
4.15	1.22	3.1	1.35	2.425	1.525	1.5	2.5

Alternative 1st Half Asian Handicap (cont.)

Borussia Dortmund 0.50	Newcastle -0.50	Borussia Dortmund 0.75	Newcastle -0.75
1.35	3.1	1.22	4.15

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line

Over 0.75	Under 0.75	Over 1.25	Under 1.25	Over 1.50	Under 1.50	Over 1.75	Under 1.75
1.475	2.6	2.15	1.675	2.6	1.475	3.3	1.325

Alternative 1st Half Goal Line (cont.)

Over 2.00	Under 2.00	Over 2.25	Under 2.25	Over 2.50	Under 2.50
5.25	1.16	5.75	1.14	6.4	1.115

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November 6, 2023