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⚽ Match Preview with Interesting Fact

Two teams desperate to open their 2025–26 Primeira Liga accounts face off at Estádio do Desportivo das Aves on Friday, August 15, as AVS welcome Casa Pia.

Despite battling bravely to secure their survival last season, AVS were unable to carry momentum into the new campaign and suffered a 3-1 defeat to Arouca on the opening weekend. Casa Pia, meanwhile, faced a far sterner test against reigning champions Sporting Lisbon and came up short in a 2-0 home loss.

🔍 Interesting Fact: Both of last season’s meetings between AVS and Casa Pia ended in identical 1-1 draws, highlighting how finely balanced this fixture has become.

🔍 Team Analysis

🔴 AVS – Searching for Stability

Recent Form (All Competitions): ❌ D, L, D, L, L, L
Opening Match: Lost 3-1 to Arouca (Away)

AVS return home still searching for stability. While their 2024–25 campaign ended in triumph through the promotion/relegation playoff win over Vizela, recent form suggests an alarming dip. Including pre-season, AVS have now failed to win five of their last six matches, with defensive frailties continuing to haunt them.

⚠️ Last Victory: 3-0 vs Vizela (Home – Playoff First Leg)
⚽ Key Player to Watch: Nené – Scored off the bench last week and is in contention to start. His presence offers much-needed firepower.

🩺 Injuries & Suspensions:
✅ No injury concerns reported after their loss to Arouca.

🔄 Tactical Options:

• Nené could replace Joca as the lead striker.
• Gustavo Mendonça is expected to come in at right-back.
• New signing João Gonçalves may debut in midfield.

📊 Home Form Snapshot (Last Season):

• Wins: ✅
• Draws: 🤝
• Losses: ❌
  While not dominant, AVS’s home ground was key to their survival, especially that 3-0 victory over Vizela which effectively secured another top-flight year.

⚫ Casa Pia – Building on a Historic Season

Recent Form (All Competitions): ✅ ✅ 🤝 ✅ ❌
Opening Match: Lost 2-0 to Sporting Lisbon (Home)

João Pereira’s side were overwhelmed by a dominant Sporting Lisbon in their season opener. However, they have reasons to remain optimistic, having achieved a record points tally (45) and a 9th-place finish last season.

Their pre-season suggested promise – five games unbeaten, showcasing defensive solidity. Yet the abrupt return to reality versus the champions proved how much ground remains to be covered if Casa Pia want to move beyond mid-table mediocrity.

⚠️ Away Woes:

• Winless in their last 8 away matches (D3, L5).
• Their last win on the road came in early 2024.

⚽ Key Player to Watch:

• Cassiano – A consistent forward presence, especially critical with potential absentees around him.
• Nsona – Could be unavailable, but offers electric pace when fit.

🩺 Injuries & Suspensions:

• ❌ Claudio Mendes – Cruciate ligament injury
• ❓ Kiki Silva – Doubtful
• ❓ Kellian Nsona – Doubtful after being subbed off injured vs Sporting

📊 Away Form Snapshot (Last Season):

• Matches: 17
• Wins: 3
• Draws: 4
• Losses: 10

Casa Pia’s inability to deliver consistent away performances was one of their few blemishes in an otherwise progressive season.

🔁 Head-to-Head & Past Encounters

📊 Last 3 Meetings:

• 🤝 AVS 1-1 Casa Pia – May 2025, Primeira Liga
• 🤝 Casa Pia 1-1 AVS – December 2024, Primeira Liga
• ❌ Casa Pia 2-1 AVS – 2023 (Cup)

Despite AVS’s overall struggles, Casa Pia have failed to beat them in either of the last two league meetings. Interestingly, both games ended 1-1, hinting at a potential stalemate again.

Total Competitive Meetings (Last 3 Seasons):

• Draws: 2
• Casa Pia wins: 1
• AVS wins: 0

🧠 Prediction with Goal.mu/Mauri.bet

🔮 Score Prediction:

AVS 1-1 Casa Pia

History often repeats itself, and with both teams out of form and struggling for attacking rhythm, this fixture looks primed for yet another low-scoring draw.

Reasons:

• AVS haven’t won since their playoff triumph.
• Casa Pia haven’t won away since early 2024.
• Two successive 1-1 draws between the sides.

💸 Betting Tips & Explanations

📋 Possible Lineups

AVS (4-2-3-1):
🧤 Simão
🛡️ Mendonça, Santos, Davenish, Kiki
⚙️ Grau, Simão
⚡ Akinsola, Lima, Barbosa
🎯 Nené

Casa Pia (3-4-3):
🧤 Sequeira
🛡️ Fonte, Goulart, Tchamba
⚙️ Larrazabal, Perez, Roberto, Yahia
⚡ Nsona*, Cassiano, Livolant

(*Subject to fitness assessment)

⏳ Half-Time Result Prediction

Prediction: ⚖️ 0-0 Draw at Half-Time
With both teams playing conservatively after early season losses and Casa Pia’s tendency to start slowly on the road, a cagey first half is likely.

📅 Match Details

📅 Match Date: August 15, 2025
🏟 Venue: Estádio do Desportivo das Aves, Portugal
⏰ Kickoff Time: 8:15 PM UK Time

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