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Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano – Prediction and Betting Tips | Nov 24, 2024

Two sides looking to distance themselves from the relegation conversation meet at the Estadio Ramon as Sevilla host Rayo Vallecano. The hosts aim to halt a concerning run of form, while the visitors seek to build on their solid start to the campaign.

Current Form and Standings

Sevilla

  • Position: 13th (15 points)
  • Last 5 matches: L-L-W-D-L
  • Home form: L-W-L-W-L
  • Goals scored: 12
  • Goals conceded: 18

Los Nervionenses are struggling to recapture their former glory, with their attacking output particularly concerning this season.

Rayo Vallecano

  • Position: 12th (16 points)
  • Last 5 matches: L-W-W-D-L
  • Away form: W-D-L-W-D
  • Goals scored: 13
  • Goals conceded: 13

Los Franjirrojos have shown impressive resilience on their travels, collecting eight points from six away fixtures.

Head-to-Head Analysis

Recent meetings:

  • 2023/24: Sevilla 2-2 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2023/24: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Sevilla
  • 2022/23: Sevilla 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2022/23: Rayo Vallecano 0-2 Sevilla

Sevilla has historically dominated this fixture, with Rayo winning just once in their last 17 La Liga encounters.

Team News and Likely Lineups

Sevilla

Significant absences:

  • Tanguy Nianzou (injured)
  • Nemanja Gudelj (injured)
  • Orjan Nyland (injured)
  • Chidera Ejuke (injured)
  • Saul Niguez (injured)
  • Stanis Idumbo (injured)
  • Lucien Agoume (suspended)

Predicted XI (4-3-3): Fernandez; Carmona, Bade, Salas, Pedrosa; Sow, Sanchez, Lokonga; Lukebakio, Romero, Iheanacho

Rayo Vallecano

Key issues:

  • Diego Mendez (knee injury)
  • Alfonso Espino (doubt) Returning:
  • Abdul Mumin (suspension complete)
  • Unai Lopez (suspension complete)

Predicted XI (4-4-2): Batalla; Ratiu, Lejeune, Mumin, Chavarria; De Frutos, Valentin, U Lopez, A Garcia; Palazon, Camello

Key Battles and Tactical Analysis

  1. Romero vs Mumin Sevilla’s striker against Rayo’s returning defender could be crucial.
  2. Midfield Control The return of Unai Lopez strengthens Rayo’s midfield against Sevilla’s depleted options.
  3. Wide Areas De Frutos’ form (3 goals) versus Sevilla’s full-backs could be decisive.

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Betting Markets Analysis

Match Result Prediction

Goal.mu/Mauri.bet predicts: Sevilla 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

Reasoning:

  • Sevilla’s inconsistent home form
  • Rayo’s solid away record
  • Both teams’ scoring difficulties
  • Historical tendency for tight matches

Additional Betting Markets

  1. Both Teams to Score: YES
  • Both teams have scored in 4 of last 5 meetings
  • Rayo scoring in 67% of away games
  • Sevilla conceding in 83% of home matches
  1. Over 2.5 Goals: NO
  • Sevilla’s scoring struggles (12 goals in 13 games)
  • Rayo’s defensive solidity away from home
  • Recent head-to-head pattern
  1. Hot Stats:
  • First Half Under 1.5 Goals: YES
  • Total Cards Over 4.5: YES
  • Both Teams to Score in 2nd Half: YES

Key Factors Influencing Prediction

  1. Sevilla’s Injuries Multiple absences affecting team selection and continuity.
  2. Rayo’s Away Form Impressive road record suggests they won’t be intimidated.
  3. Scoring Issues Both teams struggling for consistent attacking output.
  4. Suspension Returns Rayo strengthened by returning players.

Match Environment

The 3:15 PM kickoff at the Estadio Ramon should provide perfect conditions. The home support will be crucial for a Sevilla side seeking to rebuild confidence.

Conclusion

This encounter appears finely balanced. Sevilla’s injury crisis and recent poor form, combined with Rayo’s impressive away record, suggests a tight contest. The visitors’ defensive organization and Sevilla’s scoring struggles point toward a low-scoring affair.

The return of key players for Rayo could prove crucial, while Sevilla’s need to respond to recent defeats might lead to a more open game than their recent form suggests. The first goal will be vital – neither side has shown consistent ability to chase games this season.

A draw would maintain both teams’ mid-table positions, though both managers will recognize the opportunity to create separation from the relegation conversation with three points.

 

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